SAIA

SaiaF

Nasdaq / Transportation

At close

2026-07-18

Current thesis

The post-earnings bull case is that Saia delivered higher first-quarter revenue, matched prior-year EPS, showed shipment growth and March improvement, and continued to de-lever while holding 2026 capex well below 2025. If that translates into better network absorption over the next quarter, the stock can defend more of its premium multiple.

Posture

Defensive

Lead driver

Value

What changed

Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.3.

What can break

Higher group health claims, workers' compensation, purchased transportation, fuel expense, and depreciation were explicit first-quarter cost headwinds.

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

0 · Net Neutral

AI TargetsBase $406.00 · Bull $485.00 · Bear $335.00

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-07-18

Fundamentals

As of 2026-07-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-07-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-05-03 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

Investment thesis

As of 2026-07-18

Supporting evidence

What

Grade F · Defensive

Confidence Medium · Net Neutral

Target $472.65

Why

Momentum24 · Δ7d +3.1

Value48 · Δ7d -0.3

Sentiment40 · Δ7d -6.3

So what

Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals

Momentum

26% active weight

Current posture

7d trendImproving

Δ7d

+3.1

Δ21d

-17.6

Value

39% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

-0.3

Δ21d

+0.2

Sentiment

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-6.3

Δ21d

-2.5

Why this grade

Composite grade F. Momentum 24.3 / Value 48.2 / Sentiment 39.5

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-07-17

Market Cap

$11.65B

Beta

2.09

Shares Out

26.67M

P/E (TTM)

33.4

P/S (TTM)

2.91

P/FCF (TTM) · Derived

60.14

Rev YoY

+2.4%

EPS YoY

+0.0%

Gross Margin

+10.4%

Op Margin

+12.1%

Net Debt

$285.27M

Current Ratio

1.52

As of 2026-07-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology