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RSI

Rush Street InteractiveC
NYSE / Consumer Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The bull view is that April 28, 2026 earnings validated a durable profit inflection rather than a one-quarter spike: record revenue, record EBITDA, accelerating player growth, disciplined marketing, and a full-year raise all support further estimate resets [#8-K-2026-04-28].
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
5 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-12.
What can break
After the post-earnings move, RSI may face de-rating risk if subsequent analyst revisions, demand trends, or second-quarter pacing fail to confirm the beat-and-raise as a durable new run-rate.
Momentum
30
Value
45
Sentiment
62
Setup hits (3d)
5 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $26.00 · Bull $31.00 · Bear $20.00Analysis 2026-04-29; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-04-29 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $36.00
Why
Momentum30 · Δ7d +9.6
Value45 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment62 · Δ7d -1.2
So what
Balanced signals (Net Bullish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • 5 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-12.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -1.2.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • After the post-earnings move, RSI may face de-rating risk if subsequent analyst revisions, demand trends, or second-quarter pacing fail to confirm the beat-and-raise as a durable new run-rate.
  • • Colombia tax uncertainty remains material: the 10-K says a temporary 19% VAT decree on online gaming revenue was preliminarily suspended in January 2026, but courts could overturn that suspension or further decrees could emerge, pressuring margins [#10-K-2026-02-18].
  • • The bear view is that the biggest near-term good news is already recognized: the stock moved sharply higher after earnings, analyst reaction is still only partially visible, and sustaining 40%+ growth while preserving margins gets harder as competition intensifies and new markets mature.

Catalyst clock

2026-05-15

Q1 beat-and-raise resets near-term earnings expectations

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
30
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+9.6
Δ21d
+18.3
Value
45
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+2.3
Sentiment
62
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.2
Δ21d
-2.9
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 30.3 / Value 45.2 / Sentiment 61.6

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-04-29. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$31.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$26.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$20.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$5.9B
Beta
1.55
Shares Out
115.63M
P/E (TTM)
77.1
P/S (TTM)
4.26
P/FCF (TTM)
52.10
Rev YoY
+46.3%
EPS YoY
-19.0%
Gross Margin
+31.9%
Op Margin
+10.1%
Net Debt
-$323.79M
Current Ratio
2.12
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data