B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$63.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-26 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
RRR
Red Rock ResortsDNasdaq / Consumer Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexMost likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$51.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-26 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$38.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-26 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
The current persistence contract does not provide an exact AI reference price. RankAlpha therefore does not calculate scenario return from the live quote. How scenarios are presented
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-09-26
Recent news sentiment (30D)
-0.3
Mixed
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
-
Unavailable
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Weekly research (10D)
-
Unavailable
Sentiment proxy
+54.6
Score
AI commentary
Tone is cautious. A stored Zacks article reported that Q2 EPS and revenue beat its cited consensus, but shares lost about 6.8% in the following month; that reaction is not a current post-release price measure. No dependable post-print analyst revisions, social coverage, options skew, short interest or employee score were supplied. Zero sentiment-field values denote unavailable data, not neutral readings.
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-09-26
Open full AI memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-09-30catalystDeclared quarterly dividend paymentMedium impact
The declared $0.26 Class A dividend is payable September 30. This is a known capital-return event, not evidence that operating trends have improved [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04].
2026-12-31eventNext results test Las Vegas margin stabilizationHigh impact
Q2 2026 consolidated revenue fell 3.0% year over year to $510.3 million and adjusted EBITDA fell 9.3% to $208.0 million. A subsequent improvement in Las Vegas revenue and EBITDA would challenge the deterioration thesis; another decline would reinforce it. The date is a monitoring window, not a confirmed earnings date [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04].
2026-12-31eventNorth Fork casino openingHigh impact
The June 2026 10-Q estimates a fourth-quarter 2026 opening for the approximately $750 million North Fork project. Red Rock is entitled to a development fee and, under a seven-year agreement beginning at opening, a management fee equal to 30% of project net income. Completion, litigation and operating-ramp risks remain material [#10-Q-2026-08-07] [#SEC-10Q-2026-08-07].
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-09-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology