B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$9.25
+7.6% vs current
RLGT
Radiant LogisticsBNYSE American / Transportation
Last Price
At close
2026-06-02
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexPost-earnings T+3Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$8.00
-7.0% vs current
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$6.90
-19.8% vs current
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-05-14
Recent news sentiment (30D)
+24.0
Positive
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
+24.0
Positive
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Sentiment proxy
+42.1
Score
AI commentary
News tone around the May 11, 2026 earnings release was mildly positive because coverage highlighted an earnings beat, but the market reaction was muted: the stock closed at $8.37 on May 13 versus about $8.31 on May 7 before the release, so the tape did not confirm a strong rerating. By this T+3 follow-up, analyst revision visibility is still sparse and coverage is thin, which supports a monitoring stance rather than a high-conviction bullish call.
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-05-14
Open post-earnings memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-05-30catalystPost-earnings setup is balanced rather than clearly bullishMedium impact
Radiant's May 11 earnings release showed fiscal Q3 revenue essentially flat at $214.1 million while adjusted gross profit, adjusted EBITDA, and adjusted EBITDA margin declined year over year; GAAP EPS improved to $0.10 and adjusted EPS was $0.11. By May 13, the stock was $8.37 versus $8.31 on May 7, implying only a muted post-print reaction despite the earnings beat framing. [#8-K-2026-05-11]
2026-09-30eventCapital allocation remains a live support leverMedium impact
Management said the company is essentially debt free on a net basis relative to its $200 million credit facility, and the March 31 10-Q reported $39.7 million of unrestricted cash plus $29.4 million of operating cash flow over the first nine months of fiscal 2026. The company also repurchased 585,050 shares for $3.5 million during the nine-month period, leaving room for further buybacks or tuck-in M&A if freight conditions stabilize. [#10-Q-2026-05-11]
2026-12-31catalystDomestic recovery and internal tech execution could help offset a difficult freight backdropHigh impact
Management described encouraging signs of a supply-driven recovery in North American truckload and intermodal markets and highlighted continued work on the Navegate platform and 'Ray,' its first AI agent. If those tools improve operating efficiency while domestic freight normalizes, RLGT could rebuild margins from the current compressed level, but the same release also described a sharply divergent freight environment, so visibility remains limited. [#8-K-2026-05-11]
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-05-14 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology