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RJF

Raymond James FinancialB
NYSE / Financial Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The earnings beat, record assets, strong PCG flows, recruiting momentum, buybacks, and potential fee carry-through support a constructive medium-term case. Public analyst coverage was mixed rather than uniformly bullish, with both target increases and a target reduction reported after the print.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
9 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-10.
What can break
Capital-markets recovery depends on valuation-gap closure and macro stability.
Momentum
58
Value
55
Sentiment
66
Setup hits (3d)
9 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $184.08 · Bull $200.00 · Bear $150.00Analysis 2026-07-27; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-07-27 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $184.69
Why
Momentum58 · Δ7d -10.6
Value55 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment66 · Δ7d +3.1
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • 9 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-10.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +3.1.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Capital-markets recovery depends on valuation-gap closure and macro stability.
  • • Clark Capital integration and future cross-selling benefits remain execution-dependent.
  • • Capital-markets activity remains below normalized levels, expenses and acquisition-related costs are elevated, NII is not expected to accelerate near term, and the legal defense burden creates execution and valuation risk.

Catalyst clock

2026-07-23

Q3 FY26 earnings beat and record operating scale

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
58
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-10.6
Δ21d
-18.7
Value
55
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
+0.0
Sentiment
66
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+3.1
Δ21d
+0.7
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 57.8 / Value 55.3 / Sentiment 65.8

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-07-27. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$200.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$184.08
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$150.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$34.53B
Beta
1.01
Shares Out
192.36M
P/E (TTM)
16.3
P/S (TTM)
2.07
P/FCF (TTM)
17.98
Rev YoY
+11.8%
EPS YoY
+42.3%
Gross Margin
+88.1%
Op Margin
+18.6%
Net Debt
-$9.31B
Current Ratio
1.98
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data