B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$200.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
RJF
Raymond James FinancialBNYSE / Financial Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexPost-earnings T+3Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$184.08
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$150.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
The current persistence contract does not provide an exact AI reference price. RankAlpha therefore does not calculate scenario return from the live quote. How scenarios are presented
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-07-27
Recent news sentiment (30D)
+27.1
Positive
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
+27.1
Positive
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Weekly research (10D)
-32.0
Negative
Sentiment proxy
+69.1
Score
AI commentary
News tone is positive after the earnings beat and record operating metrics, but the post-print market response was described as roughly flat in aftermarket trading, suggesting limited immediate surprise. [Morningstar earnings note](https://www.morningstar.com/company-reports/1489344-raymond-james-earnings-solid-results-on-the-back-of-strong-recruiting-market-tailwinds) Social coverage, options skew, short interest, and employee-score data were unavailable in the packet and are not treated as directional evidence.
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-07-27
Open post-earnings memoEvidence flagged
peer set is too generic or lacks enough direct operating comparators
Impact
tentative
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-07-23eventQ3 FY26 earnings beat and record operating scaleMedium impact
The SEC-furnished earnings release reported record $3.93 billion revenue, $3.01 GAAP EPS, $3.14 adjusted EPS, record client assets, and strong fee-based asset growth. The beat supports a constructive near-term reset, though much of the strength may already be reflected in expectations. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-22]
2026-10-28catalystFee-revenue carry-through into fiscal Q4Medium impact
Stored earnings-call context indicates management expects fiscal fourth-quarter asset-management fees to increase approximately 11% sequentially, while aggregate NII and third-party bank fees are expected to be approximately flat. This creates upside support but also a risk of a muted reaction if already anticipated. [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-07-23]
2026-10-28catalystPrivate Client Group flows and adviser recruitingHigh impact
Record fee-based assets, $21.7 billion of domestic net new assets, robust recruiting, and high adviser satisfaction support continued organic wealth-management growth. The durability of flows and recruiting remains the key validation point. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-22]
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-07-27 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology