B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$198.00
+17.6% vs current
RJF
Raymond James FinancialBNYSE / Financial Services
Last Price
At close
2026-07-18
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment AIMost likely
B
Base case
65%
Probability
Target price
$182.87
+8.6% vs current
B-
Bear case
10%
Probability
Target price
$166.00
-1.4% vs current
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-01-29
Recent news sentiment (30D)
+23.2
Positive
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
+24.7
Positive
Pulse
-30.0
Negative
Sentiment proxy
+55.6
Score
AI commentary
Consensus is cautiously constructive: 12-month median targets sit modestly above the anchor, implying measured upside. Coverage notes emphasize fee-income resilience and EPS beats as positives, while flow volatility and guidance remain near-term risks.
RankAlpha Sentiment AI - 2026-01-29
Open full AI memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-02-28eventQ4/FY2025 earnings releaseMedium impact
Quarterly results and guidance that typically reprice brokerage and wealth-management expectations; recent notes show mixed revenue vs. EPS drivers that can move the stock on beats/misses.
2026-04-29catalystAUM momentum (near-term flows)High impact
Near-term inflows/outflows into wealth and asset-management businesses that affect fee revenue and margins; AUM strength is a key driver of fair-value revisions.
2027-01-29catalystMargin expansion from fee mix & productivityHigh impact
Multi-quarter cost efficiencies and a higher-fee mix in wealth management could lift multiples if sustained; analyst ranges imply upside with execution.
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-01-29 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology