RIVN

Rivian AutomotiveD

Nasdaq / Automobiles & Components

At close

2026-06-02

View Chart

AI scenario view

RankAlpha Sentiment AI

B+

Bull case

20%

Probability

Target price

$26.25

+51.8% vs current

Most likely

Base case

60%

Probability

Target price

$17.44

+0.9% vs current

B-

Bear case

20%

Probability

Target price

$10.00

-42.2% vs current

AI sentiment snapshot

Latest data as of 2026-02-14

AI commentary

Sentiment is mixed-to-neutral: median targets cluster near current levels while a wide high/low spread signals divergent views on execution and financing risk [#SERP-2][#SERP-3]. Near-term tone centers on upcoming earnings and delivery cadence; longer-term views hinge on margin and scale progress [#SERP-5].

RankAlpha Sentiment AI - 2026-02-14

Open full AI memo

Evidence flagged

No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.

Impact

standard

Confidence

AI events

2026-05-15catalystNext quarterly earningsHigh impact

Quarterly results and guidance are the primary near-term volatility driver; consensus shows a tight median with wide high/low dispersion that can amplify moves [#SERP-2][#SERP-3].

2026-05-15catalystAnalyst target/consensus revisionsHigh impact

Analyst revisions to the consensus median (~17.44) or range (≈10–26.25) can shift sentiment around earnings and events [#SERP-2][#SERP-5].

2027-02-14catalystFull-year production/guidance updateHigh impact

Progress on production, deliveries and FY-2026 guidance could materially re-rate valuation; date conservatively set a year out to capture guidance cycles.

View full catalyst timeline

Recommendation

N/A

No formal recommendation provided.

Open AI Memo

As of 2026-02-14 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology