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RIVN

Rivian AutomotiveB
Nasdaq / Automobiles & Components
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Bull: timely production ramps, margin expansion and stronger demand de-risk capital needs and push valuation toward the analyst high; execution would enable a meaningful re-rate [#SERP-3].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +7.1.
What can break
Demand weakness or pricing pressure
Momentum
50
Value
36
Sentiment
78
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $17.44 · Bull $26.25 · Bear $10.00Analysis 2026-02-14; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-08 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-02-14 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-08

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-08. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $18.61
Why
Momentum50 · Δ7d -2.6
Value36 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment78 · Δ7d +7.1
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +7.1.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Demand weakness or pricing pressure
  • • High cash burn / need for dilution
  • • Bear: production delays, sustained cash burn or weak demand force downward revisions and push valuation toward the analyst low absent clear operational improvement [#SERP-2].

Catalyst clock

2026-05-15

Next quarterly earnings

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
50
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
-2.6
Δ21d
+44.5
Value
36
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+0.2
Sentiment
78
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+7.1
Δ21d
-4.0
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 49.7 / Value 36.2 / Sentiment 77.8

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-02-14. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$26.25
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$17.44
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$10.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$21.53B
Beta
1.78
Shares Out
1.45B
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-4.8
P/S (TTM)
4.12
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-5.36
Rev YoY
+27.2%
EPS YoY
-35.0%
Gross Margin
+2.1%
Op Margin
-60.1%
Net Debt
-$887M
Current Ratio
2.10
As of 2026-09-08 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data