B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$12.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-31 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
QUAD
Quad/GraphicsBNYSE / Commercial & Professional Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Q2 revenue returned to year-over-year growth, adjusted EPS improved sharply, guidance was reaffirmed, and packaging, Wakefern, automation, and integrated marketing initiatives provide potential medium-term operating leverage. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-28]
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +4.5.
What can break
Adjusted EBITDA was essentially flat to slightly lower despite higher adjusted EPS.
Momentum
85
Value
68
Sentiment
61
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $9.90 · Bull $12.00 · Bear $7.50Analysis 2026-07-31; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-07-31 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $13.17
Why
Momentum85 · Δ7d +0.2
Value68 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment61 · Δ7d +4.5
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +4.5.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Adjusted EBITDA was essentially flat to slightly lower despite higher adjusted EPS.
- • Execution risk remains around the Salt Lake City facility and Wakefern’s 30-store rollout.
- • Adjusted EBITDA declined slightly, year-to-date sales remain lower, and print and agency demand have not clearly reaccelerated.
Catalyst clock
2026-08-14
Q2 results were mixed-positive with full-year guidance reaffirmed
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
85
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.2
Δ21d
-7.0
Value
68
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
-0.2
Sentiment
61
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+4.5
Δ21d
+0.2
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 85.3 / Value 67.7 / Sentiment 61.1
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-07-31. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$9.90
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-31 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$7.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-31 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$521.17M
Beta
1.09
Shares Out
51.5M
P/E (TTM)
14.1
P/S (TTM)
0.12
P/FCF (TTM)
6.09
Rev YoY
+1.0%
EPS YoY
-3623.8%
Gross Margin
+18.5%
Op Margin
+5.1%
Net Debt
$380.7M
Current Ratio
0.87
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data