B+
Bull case
0%
Probability
Target price
$27.00
+67.1% vs current
PWP
Perella Weinberg PartnersDNasdaq / Financial Services
Last Price
At close
2026-06-02
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexMost likely
B
Base case
1%
Probability
Target price
$24.00
+48.5% vs current
B-
Bear case
0%
Probability
Target price
$17.00
+5.2% vs current
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-05-04
Recent news sentiment (30D)
+18.4
Positive
Company
+23.6
Positive
Macro
+18.6
Positive
Pulse
-32.0
Negative
Sentiment proxy
+91.9
Score
AI commentary
Tone is mixed-to-cautious. The primary company release was operationally constructive on backlog, hiring, UK expansion, liquidity, and capital return, but the immediate market reaction was negative after the May 1, 2026 print; secondary coverage framed the stock move as a roughly 14% drop tied to an adjusted EPS miss versus consensus. By the May 1, 2026 anchor close of $20.61, the stock had already reset, but T+3 analyst revision evidence remains limited, so this still looks more like a monitoring setup than a high-conviction post-earnings long.
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-05-04
Open full AI memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-05-15catalystQ1 earnings miss is still being digestedMedium impact
PWP's May 1, 2026 earnings release reported revenue of $148.9 million, down 30% year over year, GAAP diluted EPS of $0.02, adjusted EPS of $0.05, and an adjusted pre-tax loss of $3 million; secondary post-print coverage said shares fell about 14% on the miss versus consensus. [#8-K-2026-05-01]
2026-06-15catalystCapital return and balance-sheet supportMedium impact
As of March 31, 2026, PWP had $77.7 million of cash, no outstanding debt, an undrawn revolver, $60.2 million remaining on its repurchase authorization, and a declared $0.07 quarterly dividend payable June 15, 2026, which can cushion downside while advisory activity recovers. [#10-Q-2026-05-01]
2026-08-02eventBacklog conversion at the next quarterly updateHigh impact
Management said client dialogue remained exceptionally strong and announced and pending backlog was at a two-year quarterly high, but the Q1 revenue decline was driven by fewer fee-paying clients and fewer closings across M&A and financing/capital solutions; the next quarterly print needs to show that backlog converting into closings. [#8-K-2026-05-01]
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-05-04 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology