B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$2.80
+100.7% vs current
PLBY
PlayboyANasdaq / Consumer Durables & Apparel
Last Price
At close
2026-06-02
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexMost likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$1.80
+29.0% vs current
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$0.75
-46.2% vs current
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-05-29
Recent news sentiment (30D)
0.0
Mixed
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
-
Unavailable
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Sentiment proxy
+77.4
Score
AI commentary
Primary filings keep the tone mildly constructive, but the setup remains filing-led and low coverage. Q1 operating improvement and the Miami lease relief are real positives, yet there is no fresh analyst revision signal in the packet and no reliable post-print market-reaction data, so confidence stays capped.
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-05-29
Open full AI memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-08-15catalystQ1 revenue growth and loss narrowing improved near-term runwayHigh impact
Q1 2026 net revenues rose to $30.2m from $28.9m, with operating loss improving to $1.6m from $6.3m and adjusted EBITDA at $5.0m; unrestricted cash was $30.2m at quarter-end, so the next two quarters need to show the operating improvement is durable [#10-Q-2026-05-11].
2026-09-30catalystLicensing agreement replacement needs to offset expirationsMedium impact
Licensing net revenues declined 5% year over year because several agreements expired, and management said some are expected to be replaced in subsequent quarters, making contract renewal timing a key driver of whether the top line holds after Q1 [#10-Q-2026-05-11].
2026-12-31catalystCash preservation and dilution avoidance remain the rerating gateHigh impact
The 2025 10-K said liquidity should cover obligations for at least one year, but the Q1 cash balance still fell from year-end to $30.2m, so the stock likely needs continued margin improvement and licensing stability to avoid renewed financing pressure [#10-K-2026-03-16][#10-Q-2026-05-11].
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-05-29 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology