B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$1,035.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
PH
Parker-HannifinCNYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Primary-source evidence improved after earnings: PH delivered a beat-and-raise quarter with record cash flow, positive orders across all reported businesses, and record backlog, which supports a constructive medium-term monitoring view despite the weak immediate tape. The packet's median target of about $1,050.55 implies upside versus the $882.23 anchor, but analyst target count and post-print revision detail are unavailable in the packet.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
4 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-10.
What can break
Diversified Industrial margins were softer year over year in both North America and International on a GAAP basis, and Latin America organic sales were down 7.5% in Q3, indicating not all end markets are equally strong [#10-Q-2026-05-01].
Momentum
66
Value
52
Sentiment
62
Setup hits (3d)
4 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $945.00 · Bull $1,035.00 · Bear $780.00Analysis 2026-05-03; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-03 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-10
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $1,182.82
Why
Momentum66 · Δ7d +14.9
Value52 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment62 · Δ7d +2.6
So what
Balanced signals (Net Bullish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • 4 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-10.
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.6.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Diversified Industrial margins were softer year over year in both North America and International on a GAAP basis, and Latin America organic sales were down 7.5% in Q3, indicating not all end markets are equally strong [#10-Q-2026-05-01].
- • Post-earnings price action was negative despite the beat, with shares dropping from $947.50 on 2026-04-29 to $909.42 on 2026-04-30 and $882.23 on 2026-05-01, signaling fragile near-term sentiment.
- • The T+3 market verdict is still mixed: shares fell sharply after the print even though adjusted results were strong, suggesting valuation, sell-the-news behavior, or concern that the guidance lift was not large enough versus expectations.
Catalyst clock
2026-05-15
Q3 earnings digestion after beat-and-raise but weak tape reaction
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
66
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+14.9
Δ21d
+0.6
Value
52
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+0.7
Sentiment
62
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.6
Δ21d
+8.3
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 65.8 / Value 51.5 / Sentiment 61.7
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-03. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$945.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$780.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$132.86B
Beta
1.25
Shares Out
126.09M
P/E (TTM)
32.3
P/S (TTM)
5.71
P/FCF (TTM)
45.66
Rev YoY
+9.8%
EPS YoY
+19.3%
Gross Margin
+37.9%
Op Margin
+21.9%
Net Debt
$8.23B
Current Ratio
1.26
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data