PD

PagerDutyC

NYSE / Software & Services

At close

2026-07-18

Current thesis

The bull case is that PagerDuty has crossed into sustained profitability, generated $102.7 million of free cash flow in FY2026, ended January 31, 2026 with about $469.8 million of cash, cash equivalents, and investments, and is trying to use AI agents, MCP integrations, and usage-based pricing to widen platform value [#8-K-2026-03-12][#10-K-2026-03-12].

Posture

Mixed

Lead driver

Momentum

What changed

Momentum remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +4.8.

What can break

Dollar-based net retention fell to 98% from 106%, signaling continued pressure on expansion and renewal quality [#8-K-2026-03-12].

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

0 · Net Neutral

AI TargetsBase $6.75 · Bull $11.50 · Bear $4.75

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-07-18

Fundamentals

As of 2026-07-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-07-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-05-07 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

Investment thesis

As of 2026-07-18

Supporting evidence

What

Grade C · Mixed

Confidence Medium · Net Neutral

Target $9.43

Why

Momentum90 · Δ7d +4.8

Value60 · Δ7d +0.0

Sentiment18 · Δ7d -1.5

So what

Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Lead driver: Momentum · See technicals

Momentum

26% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

+4.8

Δ21d

+0.2

Value

39% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

+0.0

Δ21d

-0.7

Sentiment

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-1.5

Δ21d

-10.5

Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 89.9 / Value 60.3 / Sentiment 17.9

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-07-17

Market Cap

$794.36M

Beta

0.67

Shares Out

77.12M

P/E (TTM)

7.6

P/S (TTM)

2.27

P/FCF (TTM)

10.22

Rev YoY

+1.0%

EPS YoY

-281.3%

Gross Margin

+85.1%

Op Margin

-2.1%

Net Debt

-$56.51M

Current Ratio

1.88

As of 2026-07-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology