PD

PagerDutyB

NYSE / Software & Services

At close

2026-07-21

Current thesis

The bull case is that PagerDuty has crossed into sustained profitability, generated $102.7 million of free cash flow in FY2026, ended January 31, 2026 with about $469.8 million of cash, cash equivalents, and investments, and is trying to use AI agents, MCP integrations, and usage-based pricing to widen platform value [#8-K-2026-03-12][#10-K-2026-03-12].

Posture

Constructive

Lead driver

Momentum

What changed

Momentum remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +11.6.

What can break

Dollar-based net retention fell to 98% from 106%, signaling continued pressure on expansion and renewal quality [#8-K-2026-03-12].

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

0 · Net Neutral

AI TargetsBase $6.75 · Bull $11.50 · Bear $4.75

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-07-21

Fundamentals

As of 2026-07-21 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-07-21 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-05-07 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

Investment thesis

As of 2026-07-21

Supporting evidence

What

Grade B · Constructive

Confidence Medium · Net Neutral

Target $9.29

Why

Momentum91 · Δ7d +11.6

Value61 · Δ7d +0.7

Sentiment26 · Δ7d +2.2

So what

Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Lead driver: Momentum · See technicals

Momentum

26% active weight

Current posture

7d trendImproving

Δ7d

+11.6

Δ21d

+1.2

Value

39% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

+0.7

Δ21d

+0.0

Sentiment

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendImproving

Δ7d

+2.2

Δ21d

-10.1

Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 90.8 / Value 60.7 / Sentiment 25.5

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-07-21

Market Cap

$724.18M

Beta

0.67

Shares Out

77.12M

P/E (TTM)

7.6

P/S (TTM)

2.27

P/FCF (TTM)

10.22

Rev YoY

+1.0%

EPS YoY

-281.3%

Gross Margin

+85.1%

Op Margin

-2.1%

Net Debt

-$56.51M

Current Ratio

1.88

As of 2026-07-21 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology