PBF

PBF EnergyF

NYSE / Energy

At close

2026-06-03

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AI scenario view

RankAlpha Sentiment AI

B+

Bull case

20%

Probability

Target price

$42.00

+0.4% vs current

Most likely

Base case

60%

Probability

Target price

$33.34

-20.3% vs current

B-

Bear case

20%

Probability

Target price

$22.00

-47.4% vs current

AI sentiment snapshot

Latest data as of 2026-02-14

AI commentary

Mixed and cautious: the anchor price ($34.54) sits modestly above our base target (33.335), implying limited upside absent sustained refining-margin improvement or clear execution wins. Analyst targets span $22–$42, reflecting divergent views; upside requires margin persistence and successful operational execution, while downside aligns with low-end scenarios if cracks reverse or outages persist.

RankAlpha Sentiment AI - 2026-02-14

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Evidence flagged

No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.

Impact

standard

Confidence

AI events

2026-05-15eventNext quarterly earnings (estimated)High impact

Upcoming quarterly results could drive a material re-rate via refining margins and throughput; Q4 was reported as a beat and analysts show divergent targets which could amplify moves (earnings date not published; assumption: next quarter within 90 days) [#SERP-1] [#SERP-2].

2026-05-15catalystAnalyst target updates / broker notesHigh impact

Broker note revisions and target updates (consensus spread Low $22 — High $42) can compress or widen market valuation quickly; analysts' median/avg signals base case near current levels [#SERP-2] [#SERP-6].

2027-02-14catalystOperational/capacity changes or refinery upgradesHigh impact

Major refinery project completions or capacity changes (multi-quarter) could materially increase midcycle earnings power; timing uncertain but modelled conservatively to 1 year out [#SERP-6].

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Recommendation

N/A

No formal recommendation provided.

Open AI Memo

As of 2026-02-14 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology