B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$42.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
PBF
PBF EnergyDNYSE / Energy
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment AIMost likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$33.34
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$22.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
The current persistence contract does not provide an exact AI reference price. RankAlpha therefore does not calculate scenario return from the live quote. How scenarios are presented
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-02-14
Recent news sentiment (30D)
+40.3
Positive
Company
+2.0
Mixed
Macro
+40.5
Positive
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Weekly research (10D)
+22.0
Positive
Sentiment proxy
0.0
Score
AI commentary
Mixed and cautious: the anchor price ($34.54) sits modestly above our base target (33.335), implying limited upside absent sustained refining-margin improvement or clear execution wins. Analyst targets span $22–$42, reflecting divergent views; upside requires margin persistence and successful operational execution, while downside aligns with low-end scenarios if cracks reverse or outages persist.
RankAlpha Sentiment AI - 2026-02-14
Open full AI memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-05-15eventNext quarterly earnings (estimated)High impact
Upcoming quarterly results could drive a material re-rate via refining margins and throughput; Q4 was reported as a beat and analysts show divergent targets which could amplify moves (earnings date not published; assumption: next quarter within 90 days) [#SERP-1] [#SERP-2].
2026-05-15catalystAnalyst target updates / broker notesHigh impact
Broker note revisions and target updates (consensus spread Low $22 — High $42) can compress or widen market valuation quickly; analysts' median/avg signals base case near current levels [#SERP-2] [#SERP-6].
2027-02-14catalystOperational/capacity changes or refinery upgradesHigh impact
Major refinery project completions or capacity changes (multi-quarter) could materially increase midcycle earnings power; timing uncertain but modelled conservatively to 1 year out [#SERP-6].
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-02-14 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology