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PBA

Pembina PipelineC
NYSE / Energy
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2026-06-02
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2026-05-14
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Earnings documents stored for PBA.

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Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-14

Pembina Pipeline Q1 Earnings Beat Estimates, Dividend Raised

Zacks

Pembina Pipeline Corporation PBA reported first-quarter 2026 earnings per share of 59 cents, which beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 52 cents and increased from the year-ago quarter’s level of 56 cents. This improvement was primarily driven by strong underlying operational performance and volume growth across the Pipelines and Facilities divisions. PBA’s Pipelines and Facilities volumes for the period were 2833 thousand barrels of oil equivalent per day (mboe/d) and 899 mboe/d, respectively, beating the consensus estimates of 2794 mboe/d and 277 mboe/d. This Calgary-based oil and gas storage and transportation company’s quarterly sales of $1.5 billion decreased about 3.5% year over year, caused by weak revenue performance in the Pipelines and Marketing & New Ventures segments. However, the metric beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 18.7%. Pembina Pipeline Corp. price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | Pembina Pipeline Corp. Quote The company’s operating cash flow decreased approximately 60% to C$335 million. Adjusted EBITDA decreased 3% year over year to C$1.1 billion. Pembina Pipeline’s board of directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of 73.5 Canadian cents per share, representing an increase of approximately 3.5 percent, to its common shareholders of record as of June 15. The payout will be made on June 30, 2026. Near the end of the first quarter of 2026, the company successfully commissioned the Wapiti Expansion, both on schedule and within budget, which added 115 million cubic feet per day of natural gas processing capacity at the Wapiti Plant and the 28-megawatt K3 Cogeneration Facility at PGI’s K3 Plant. In the first quarter, the oil and gas storage and transportation company witnessed volumes of 4,083 mboe/d compared with 4,073 mboe/d reported in the prior-year quarter. Pipelines: Adjusted EBITDA of C$647 million decreased about 4.4% from the year-ago quarter’s level. This was caused primarily by lower net revenues on the Alliance Pipeline (C$26 million) due to the negotiated settlement between Alliance and its shippers and higher interruptible volumes on the Cochin Pipeline due to wider condensate price differentials. Volumes in this segment saw a 0.9% year-over-year increase to 2,833 mboe/d. Facilities: Adjusted EBITDA of C$363 million increased from the year-ago quarter’s C$345 million, driven primarily by a higher contribution from certain PG...

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-14

Pembina Pipeline Q1 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat

Interested in Pembina Pipeline Corp.? Here are five stocks we like better. Pembina raised its 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance to CAD 4.35 billion to CAD 4.55 billion after a strong first quarter, and it also increased its quarterly dividend by 3.5%. Management said better marketing conditions and solid volumes helped offset some headwinds. First-quarter results were mixed but supported by volume growth, with adjusted EBITDA of CAD 1.131 billion. Strong pipeline and facilities volumes were partially offset by the new Alliance Pipeline toll structure and weaker marketing margins. The company continues to advance several major projects, including RFS IV, Cedar LNG, and the Greenlight Electricity Centre. Pembina also highlighted ongoing commercial wins in Western Canada, including about 110,000 barrels per day of renewed or new Peace Pipeline contracts. Opportunity Knocks: Buy the Dip on Permian Resources Stock? Pembina Pipeline (NYSE:PBA) reported a strong start to 2026, with management raising its full-year adjusted EBITDA outlook after first-quarter results benefited from solid volumes across key systems and an improved marketing outlook. President and Chief Executive Officer Scott Burrows said the company generated first-quarter adjusted EBITDA of CAD 1.131 billion, describing the period as “a strong start to 2026 operationally, commercially, and financially.” He said Pembina’s fee-based business is tracking to plan, while overall results are outperforming budget because of a spike in key commodity markets that began in March. → Rocket Lab Just Hit a New All-Time High—Time to Buy or Let It Breathe? Pembina revised its 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance range to CAD 4.35 billion to CAD 4.55 billion. At the midpoint, Burrows said the updated outlook represents a CAD 175 million, or 4.1%, increase from the prior forecast. The company also announced a CAD 0.025 per-share, or 3.5%, increase to its quarterly common share dividend beginning with the dividend payable in June. Chief Financial Officer Cameron Goldade said adjusted EBITDA declined CAD 36 million, or 3%, from the first quarter of 2025. He said strong operational performance and volume growth in the pipelines and facilities divisions were offset by the impact of a new toll structure and revenue-sharing mechanism on the Alliance Pipeline, as well as a lower contribution from the marketing business due to narrowe...

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-09

Pembina Pipeline Reports Voting Results from 2026 Annual Meeting of Shareholders

Business Wire

CALGARY, Alberta, May 08, 2026--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Pembina Pipeline Corporation ("Pembina" or the "Company") (TSX: PPL; NYSE: PBA) reported the voting results from its annual meeting of shareholders held virtually on May 8, 2026 (the "Meeting"). Each of the matters voted upon at the Meeting is discussed in detail in the Company's Management Information Circular dated March 19, 2026 (the "Information Circular"), which is available on SEDAR+ at www.sedarplus.ca, on EDGAR at www.sec.gov, and on the Company's website under Investors – Notice and Access at www.pembina.com. A total of 350,946,183 common shares representing 60.37 percent of the Company's issued and outstanding common shares were voted in person and by proxy in connection with the Meeting. The voting results for each matter presented at the Meeting are provided below: 1. Election of Directors The following 10 nominees were appointed as directors of Pembina to serve until the next annual meeting or until their successors are elected or appointed: 2. Appointment of Auditors KPMG LLP, Chartered Professional Accountants, were appointed to serve as the auditors of the Company until the next annual meeting, at remuneration to be fixed by the Company's board of directors. The resolution was approved with approximately 91.16 percent of votes cast in favour. 3. Acceptance of Company's Approach to Executive Compensation On an advisory basis and not to diminish the role and responsibility of the board of directors, the Company's approach to executive compensation as disclosed in the Information Circular was approved with approximately 96.56 percent of votes cast in favour. Additional details in respect of the Meeting's voting results can be found on Pembina's profile at www.sedarplus.ca and www.sec.gov. and on the Company's website at www.pembina.com. About Pembina Pembina Pipeline Corporation is a leading energy transportation and midstream service provider that has served North America's energy industry for more than 70 years. Pembina owns an extensive network of strategically located assets, including hydrocarbon liquids and natural gas pipelines, gas gathering and processing facilities, oil and natural gas liquids infrastructure and logistics services, and an export terminals business. Through our integrated value chain, we seek to provide safe and reliable energy solutions that connect producers and consume...

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-08

Pembina Pipeline Q1 Adjusted Earnings Rise, Revenue Declines - Shares Up Pre-Bell

MT Newswires

Pembina Pipeline (PBA) reported late Thursday Q1 adjusted earnings of 0.81 Canadian dollars ($0.59)

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-08

Pembina Pipeline Reports Results for the First Quarter of 2026, Raises Quarterly Common Share Dividend, and Updates Full Year Guidance

Business Wire

All financial figures are in Canadian dollars unless otherwise noted. This news release refers to certain financial measures and ratios that are not specified, defined or determined in accordance with Generally Accepted Accounting Principles ("GAAP"), including net revenue; adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization ("adjusted EBITDA"); adjusted earnings; adjusted earnings per common share; adjusted cash flow from operating activities; and adjusted cash flow from operating activities per common share. For more information see "Non-GAAP and Other Financial Measures" herein. CALGARY, Alberta, May 07, 2026--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Pembina Pipeline Corporation ("Pembina" or the "Company") (TSX: PPL; NYSE: PBA) announced today its financial and operating results for the first quarter of 2026. Highlights Quarterly Results - reported first quarter earnings of $498 million, adjusted earnings of $505 million, adjusted EBITDA of $1,131 million, and adjusted cash flow from operating activities of $790 million ($1.36 per share). Guidance - Pembina has updated its 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance range to $4.35 billion to $4.55 billion (previously $4.125 billion to $4.425 billion), primarily reflecting the impact of stronger commodity prices on Pembina's marketing business. Common Share Dividend Increase - the board of directors declared a common share cash dividend for the second quarter of 2026 of $0.735 per share, representing an increase of approximately 3.5 percent to be paid, subject to applicable law, on June 30, 2026, to shareholders of record on June 15, 2026. PGI Projects Enter Service - the Wapiti Expansion, which increases natural gas processing capacity at the Wapiti Plant by 115 million cubic feet per day ("MMcf/d") (gross to PGI), and the K3 Cogeneration Facility, a 28 megawatt facility at PGI's K3 Plant, were placed into service near the end of the first quarter of 2026, on time and on budget. Peace Pipeline Recontracting - in 2026 to date, Pembina has renewed existing contracts, and executed incremental new contracts, totaling approximately 110,000 barrels per day ("bpd") of transportation capacity on Peace Pipeline. Financial and Operational Overview for the Three Months Ended March 31 Financial and Operational Overview by Division Executive Overview and Business Update Strong First Quarter Results Driven by Solid Results from Fee-Bas...

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-08

Pembina Pipeline (PBA) Q1 Earnings and Revenues Beat Estimates

Zacks

Pembina Pipeline (PBA) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.59 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.52 per share. This compares to earnings of $0.56 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items. This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of +14.19%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this oil and gas transportation and services company would post earnings of $0.5 per share when it actually produced earnings of $0.56, delivering a surprise of +12%. Over the last four quarters, the company has surpassed consensus EPS estimates two times. Pembina Pipeline, which belongs to the Zacks Oil and Gas - Production and Pipelines industry, posted revenues of $1.54 billion for the quarter ended March 2026, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 18.73%. This compares to year-ago revenues of $1.59 billion. The company has topped consensus revenue estimates two times over the last four quarters. The sustainability of the stock's immediate price movement based on the recently-released numbers and future earnings expectations will mostly depend on management's commentary on the earnings call. Pembina Pipeline shares have added about 17.8% since the beginning of the year versus the S&P 500's gain of 7.6%. While Pembina Pipeline has outperformed the market so far this year, the question that comes to investors' minds is: what's next for the stock? There are no easy answers to this key question, but one reliable measure that can help investors address this is the company's earnings outlook. Not only does this include current consensus earnings expectations for the coming quarter(s), but also how these expectations have changed lately. Empirical research shows a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions. Investors can track such revisions by themselves or rely on a tried-and-tested rating tool like the Zacks Rank, which has an impressive track record of harnessing the power of earnings estimate revisions. Ahead of this earnings release, the estimate revisions trend for Pembina Pipeline was mixed. While the magnitude and direction of estimate revisions could change following the company's just-released earnings report, the current status translates into a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) for the stock. So, the shares are expected to perform in line with the market in the near fu...

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-08

Pembina Pipeline: Q1 Earnings Snapshot

Associated Press

CALGARY, Alberta (AP) — CALGARY, Alberta (AP) — Pembina Pipeline Corp. (PBA) on Thursday reported first-quarter profit of $363 million. On a per-share basis, the Calgary, Alberta-based company said it had profit of 58 cents. Earnings, adjusted for non-recurring costs, came to 59 cents per share. The results beat Wall Street expectations. The average estimate of three analysts surveyed by Zacks Investment Research was for earnings of 52 cents per share. The oil and gas transportation and services company posted revenue of $1.54 billion in the period. _____ This story was generated by Automated Insights (http://automatedinsights.com/ap) using data from Zacks Investment Research. Access a Zacks stock report on PBA at https://www.zacks.com/ap/PBA

TranscriptFY2026 Q12026-05-08

FY2026 Q1 earnings call transcript

Earnings source - 77 paragraphs
Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for joining us and welcome to Pembina Pipeline Corporation Q1 2026 results. After today's prepared remarks, we will host a question and answer session. I will now hand the conference over to Dan Tucunel, Vice President, Capital Markets. Dan, please go ahead.

Dan Tucunel

Thank you, Jen. Good morning, everyone. Welcome to Pembina's conference call and webcast to review highlights from the first quarter of 2026. On the call today, we have Scott Burrows, President and Chief Executive Officer, and Cameron Goldade, Chief Financial Officer, along with other members of Pembina's leadership team. I would like to remind you that some of the comments made today may be forward-looking in nature and are based on Pembina's current expectations, estimates, judgments, and projections. Forward-looking statements we may express or imply today are subject to risks and uncertainties, which could cause actual results to differ materially from expectations. Some of the information provided refers to non-GAAP measures. To learn more about these forward-looking statements and non-GAAP measures, please see Pembina Management's discussion and analysis dated May 7, 2026, for the period ended March 31, 2026.

Dan Tucunel

As well as the press release we issued yesterday. All of which are available online at pembina.com and on both SEDAR plus and EDGAR. I will now turn things over to Scott.

Scott Burrows

Thanks, Dan Tucunel. Yesterday, we reported first quarter results, which were highlighted by adjusted EBITDA of CAD 1.131 billion. It was a strong start to 2026 operationally, commercially, and financially. The fee-based business is tracking to plan and overall results are outperforming budget given the spike in key commodity markets that began in March. Operationally, we saw volume strength across key systems, including Alliance Pipeline, Cochin Pipeline, and the conventional pipeline systems. First quarter results have kept us on track to realize our 2023 to 2026 fee-based adjusted EBITDA per share compound annual growth of approximately 5% and within the target range provided at our 2024 investor day.

Scott Burrows

As Cam will discuss in more detail, due primarily to the stronger marketing outlook, we have updated our 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance range to CAD 4.35 billion-CAD 4.55 billion. At the midpoint, which is where we are currently tracking to, this is an increase of CAD 175 million or 4.1%. Supported by continued growth in our low-risk fee-based business, we were pleased yesterday to announce a CAD 0.025 per share or 3.5% increase to the quarterly common share dividend, beginning with the dividend to be paid in June. In addition to strong financial results, Pembina continues to reliably execute its portfolio of projects under construction, realize continued commercial success, and advance projects under development in service of its growth strategy.

Scott Burrows

Highlights of 2026 to date include placing the Wapiti expansion and K3 cogeneration facility into service on time and on budget. In addition, construction of RFS IV, a 55,000 barrel per day propane plus fractionator at the existing Redwater complex, is nearing completion. The rail facility was placed into service in February and commissioning of the fractionator is underway. The project is trending under budget, and the fractionator is expected to be placed into service by the end of May. Cedar LNG continues to progress on time and on budget. The construction of the floating LNG vessel is now more than 50% complete, and with winter now behind us, the onshore construction teams have resumed activities with the focus of executing on an eventful 2026 construction season.

Scott Burrows

With many of the onshore teams having only recently returned to site, it's already exciting to witness the progress being made. Commercially, in 2026 to date, Pembina has renewed existing contracts and executed incremental new contracts totaling approximately 110,000 barrels per day of transportation capacity on the Peace Pipeline, demonstrating the value customers place on the reliable and value-enhancing service provided by our leading transportation network and integrated value chain. We recently closed an open season for the proposed short-haul point-to-point transportation service of the Canadian segment of the Alliance Pipeline System. The proposed expansion would provide natural gas delivery to a new meter station in Fort Saskatchewan with an anticipated in-service date in the fourth quarter of 2029. The successful proponents have been awarded capacity conditional on the project being sanctioned.

Scott Burrows

The project continues to progress towards a final investment decision with ongoing work streams focused on regulatory and engineering activities. On the project development front, Pembina and Kineticor are progressing the Greenlight Electricity Centre, a proposed multi-phase natural gas-fired combined cycle power generation facility. We are advancing various work streams related to the approximately 900 megawatts per space. Ongoing activities include finalizing a lump sum EPC agreement, finalizing a commercial agreement with the customer, and project financing. A final investment decision is expected by the end of the second quarter of 2026. Finally, before turning the call over to Cam, I want to quickly recap our recent business update call held on April seventh.

Scott Burrows

Amidst the backdrop of expanding market access and growing demand for Canadian energy, we were very excited to provide our thoughts where Pembina is positioned, why its business is advantaged, and how the company's strategy can create value through 2030 and beyond. Our update focused on 3 key themes. The first was reaffirming the company's long-standing commitment to disciplined execution, including strong performance against financial targets. Placing CAD billions of capital projects into service on time and on or under budget, adhering to its financial guardrails and delivering a reliable, growing dividend without interruption. The second was outlining the company's three C strategy, Capture, Connect, and Catalyze, which is underpinned by energy fundamentals and the advantages of its differentiated platform.

Scott Burrows

Pembina is poised to benefit from growing global energy demand, increasing strategic relevance of Canadian energy and emerging demand drivers such as LNG, petrochemical and data center power demand. The advantages of Pembina's integration, scale, superior market access and entrepreneurial approach and track record of execution uniquely position it to further strengthen and extend its unmatched industry-leading value chain. The third was providing a financial outlook to the end of the decade, including 5% to 7% compound annual fee-based adjusted EBITDA per share growth through 2030. This outlook is underpinned by higher utilization across existing assets, contributions from sanctioned projects entering service, and a portfolio of development opportunities designed to extend the franchise.

Scott Burrows

The recent announcement of Shell's proposed acquisition of ARC Resources is a compelling proof point that further validates our outlook for the WCSB, and the transaction benefit Shell has highlighted mirrors some of the same themes we covered in our business update. Shell has identified the Montney Basin as a key growth platform within their global portfolio, given its long duration and advantage cost structure. Similarly, our market update highlighted the importance of capturing volumes from premier high-growth areas and connecting them to the best global markets. There's also focus on the interrelationship between growing oil sands demand for condensate and growing demand for natural gas as being two ends of the energy flywheel. Shell stated rationale for the ARC acquisition, driven by liquids first and supported by natural gas, is a proof point of this concept.

Scott Burrows

As a global energy leader and the number one LNG operator in Canada, we see in Shell a customer whose model and outlook aligns well with ours, and we look forward to their growing presence in our basin. We encourage those that have not already done so to visit our website at pembina.com to access a replay of our business update call and the related presentation. It was a strong and eventful first quarter that sets us up very well for the remainder of the year and beyond. I'll now turn things over to Cam to discuss in more detail the financial highlights for the quarter.

Cameron Goldade

Thanks, Scott. As Scott noted, Pembina reported first quarter adjusted EBITDA of CAD 1.131 billion. Relative to the first quarter of 2025, strong operational performance and volume growth across the pipelines and facilities divisions was offset by the impact of the new toll structure and revenue sharing mechanism on the Alliance Pipeline, as well as lower contribution from the marketing business due to narrower NGL frac spreads. The net result of the first quarter was a CAD 36 million or 3% decrease over the same period in the prior year.

Cameron Goldade

Looking at quarter-over-quarter results by division, the major factors impacting the quarter in pipelines included lower net revenue on the Alliance Pipeline of CAD 26 million due to the net effect of the negotiated settlement between Alliance and its shippers, which became effective on November 1, 2025, partially offset by an increase in interruptible and seasonal revenue on the Alliance Pipeline, driven by higher demand for natural gas in the U.S. Midwest during the first quarter of 2026. As well as higher revenue on the Cochin Pipeline due to wider condensate price differentials. In facilities, factors impacting the first quarter included a higher contribution from certain PGI assets, primarily due to higher volumes.

Cameron Goldade

In marketing and new ventures, first quarter results reflect the net impact of narrower WCSB and U.S. NGL frac spreads, resulting from lower NGL prices combined with higher U.S. natural gas prices, partially offset by the benefits from exposure to premium propane prices in Asian markets through West Coast exports. In the corporate segment, first quarter results were lower than prior period due to higher long-term incentive costs, partially offset by lower non-compensation related expenses. Earnings in the first quarter were CAD 498 million. This represents a 1% decrease over the same period in the prior year. In addition to the factors impacting adjusted EBITDA, the decrease in earnings in the first quarter was primarily due to a lower share of loss from Cedar LNG compared to the same period in the prior year.

Cameron Goldade

Adjusted earnings were CAD 505 million or a 6% increase over the same period in the prior year. Compared to the factors noted previously related to earnings, the change in adjusted earnings excludes the lower share of loss from Cedar LNG, driven primarily by unrealized gains on derivative instruments, partially offset by higher unrealized foreign exchange losses. Total volumes in the pipelines and facilities divisions were 3.7 million barrels of oil equivalent per day in the first quarter. This represents an increase of 1% over the same period in the prior year. Higher first quarter pipelines volumes were driven primarily by higher interruptible and contracted volumes on certain pipelines, primarily driven by favorable condensate pricing and higher demand from colder weather in the U.S.

Cameron Goldade

Higher first quarter facilities volumes were driven primarily by higher volumes from certain PGI assets, primarily at the Dawson assets and at the Duvernay complex, largely offset by lower volumes at the Cutbank complex, as well as a decrease in oxable volumes due to lower ethane extraction. Yesterday, Pembina announced a revised 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance range of CAD 4.35 billion-CAD 4.55 billion. The revised midpoint of the 2026 guidance range, which is where we are currently trending, is an increase of CAD 175 million versus the original guidance, primarily due to the outlook for the marketing business for the remainder of the year. The revised 2026 outlook for the marketing business includes a stronger contribution from the crude oil marketing business and wider Canadian and U.S. frac spreads.

Cameron Goldade

In particular, Pembina and its customers are benefiting from exposure to premium propane prices in Asian markets through Pembina's 20,000 barrel per day Prince Rupert terminal and 20,000 barrels per day of long-term contracted capacity at third-party facilities that became effective April 1, 2026. Further, as previously disclosed, approximately 65% of Pembina's 2026 frac spread exposure has been hedged. On a quarterly basis, for the remainder of the year, Pembina has hedged approximately 90% in the second and third quarters and 40% in the fourth quarter. The lower and upper ends of the 2026 guidance range are framed primarily as a function of commodity prices and the resulting contribution from the marketing business, interruptible volumes on key systems, the U.S. Canadian dollar exchange rate, and Pembina's share price performance and its impact on incentive compensation costs.

Cameron Goldade

As a result of the updated outlook for 2026, Pembina now expects the 2026 year-end proportionally consolidated debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio to be approximately 3.5-3.7 times. Excluding debt related to construction of the Cedar LNG facility, which is expected to enter service in late 2028, this ratio would be approximately 3.3-3.5 times. I'll now turn things back to Scott.

Scott Burrows

Thanks, Cam. In closing, I want to remind you that Pembina will host its annual meeting of shareholders today at 2:00 P.M. Mountain Time, 4:00 P.M. Eastern Time. It will be a virtual-only meeting conducted via live audio webcast. Participants are recommended to register for the virtual webcast at least 10 minutes before the presentation start time. For further information on the annual meeting, please visit the Investors tab at www.pembina.com. Thank you for joining us this morning. Operator, please go ahead and open up the line for questions.

Operator

Thank you. We will now begin the question and answer session. Please limit yourself to one question and one follow-up. If you would like to ask a question, please press star one to raise your hand. To withdraw your question, press star one again. We ask that you pick up your handset when asking a question to allow for optimum sound quality. If you are muted locally, please remember to unmute your device. Please stand by while we compile the Q&A roster. Your first question comes from the line of Aaron MacNeil with TD Cowen. Your line is open. Please go ahead.

Aaron MacNeil

Hey, morning all. Thanks for taking my questions. I've been thinking more about-

Cameron Goldade

Thanks

Aaron MacNeil

the business update. We're starting to see early signs of some pretty meaningful incremental basin egress coming together. As projects move toward FID, when would you expect Pembina to begin to see the second order impacts from that? Which parts of your existing asset footprint are likely to see those expansion opportunities first? Maybe just to give you some specifics in terms of what I'm thinking about, like, how would you position to bring more condensate to Fort McMurray, either via Cochin or Peace? As well as how should we be thinking about sort of the alignment with your new partner at PGI when it comes to deploying incremental capital?

Jaret Sprott

Morning, Aaron. Jared here. I'll take the first part out with respect to the liquids and the condensate. If you think about our current expansions that we have ongoing that we announced just recently, we have the Fox to the Namao pump station increase. That's going to increase our C3+ by roughly 70,000 barrels. That asset today is essentially full, let's kind of think of that as your first de-bottleneck from Edmonton going west. Our Taylor to Gordondale asset. From Gordondale down into Fox Creek, we have a lot of runway currently for it's fully built out for our condensate platform and our crude platform. It's where we get constrained is starting to cross the border into Northeast B.C., where we anticipate a lot of those liquids to be coming from.

Jaret Sprott

Taylor to Gordondale is kind of your first segment. Birch to Taylor is your next segment. That gives us a tremendous amount of runway as new LNG facilities come on for that gas egress. That'll allow the condensate and the NGLs to get into the Edmonton market. With respect to Cochin, you know, fortunately for us, we've been very successful at expanding the capacity of Cochin. Previous owner ran that asset around 90,000 barrels a day. We currently routinely and reliably and safely operate that at about 120,000 barrels a day. Now we're just looking for smaller type optimizations because we really have fully optimized that segment. With respect to PGI assets, it was recently announced that we have a new owner, Apollo. We've met with them.

Jaret Sprott

We think the relationship's going to be very similar to our previous partnership, very much aligned on growing the business. One of the areas that PGI, I believe, has advantage, not only from their position of where the assets are, but it's also the capabilities. Pembina has a extensive capability with respect to sour gas processing. Faith is one of the largest sulfur recovery facilities in Alberta. K3 is extremely large sulfur recovery. We have other various.

Jaret Sprott

Sour processing facilities. Recently, the Wapiti expansion, we just brought that on. You know, I'm very proud of the team. We kinda glossed over it. Scott mentioned that it came into service. That came into service and was up and running and accepting about 60% of nameplate in just a couple of days. I don't think a lot of operators can say that they can provide their customers with that backstopping. Long story short, we'll be fully built out in our Peace Pipeline being able to accept all the NGLs in the Edmonton market, and then we'll continue to grow our processing footprint, and you'll see probably a lot of expansion in that sour area.

Aaron MacNeil

Okay. Nope, thanks for all that. That was a ton. Appreciate it. I might embarrass myself with the next question. I'm not an expert on this by any means. There seems to be a range of views in terms of solvent assisted SAGD among the oil sands producers. What sort of technical or commercial proof points do you need to see in order to wrap your head around this butane enhancement opportunity? What stage are you at in that process today?

Jaret Sprott

It's not an embarrassing question, Aaron, because I think a lot of the SAGD producers have been talking about the solvent opportunities, but they haven't been giving a lot of details. We do believe that butane is a contributing solvent that is being used. Obviously, Alberta is long butane, the opportunity is there. We're honestly just waiting to see how we can provide our customers in a different segment, different types of. Like, we produce primarily field-grade butane. Is there opportunities to upgrade that to ISO and normal?

Jaret Sprott

We're just honestly in the early stages of seeing how these pilots are gonna work out and how we can supply those customers the product that they need to enhance their oil recovery, which ultimately will require more condensate, and you get back into Scott's flywheel comment earlier.

Aaron MacNeil

Okay. Gotcha. Thanks, everybody. I'll turn it back.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Jeremy Tonet with JPMorgan. Your line is open. Please go ahead. Your next question comes from the line of Saumya Jain with UBS. Your line is open. Please go ahead.

Saumya Jain

Hi. Good morning. I was just wondering, it was reported this week that Mark Carney planning changes to ease the process for natural resource projects, including pipelines. Could you provide any color on how you have seen the permitting process change since he's come into office and the sorts of discussions you are seeing in regards to project timelines and if that impacts the way you guys are looking into projects down the line?

Scott Burrows

Yeah. Scott here. To date, I can't say that we've seen any material change. You know, a recent example of that was our Taylor to Gordondale that took the full timeline to get permitted. We haven't seen it necessarily in action yet, but we are optimistic changes are coming. When we think about our strategy and where our focus is long term, it's really on LNG on the West Coast. You know, any incremental LNG that can be built out would be positive. As well as, you know, some of the proposed pipelines for crude oil will also have a knock on second order effect on our base business. We would like to see those projects go.

Scott Burrows

You know, like I said, we haven't seen changes yet. If there are changes, I think we would welcome those and view them very positively.

Saumya Jain

Okay. Great. Then just wanted to ask on the LPG market. With global tensions right now, could you provide some color on the sorts of discussions you're having with customers and how shipping timeline costs have changed for vessels, and how are you seeing demand for propane specifically at Prince Rupert?

Chris Scherman

It's Chris. Yeah, obviously a topical question with everything that's going on in the market. Scott, or sorry, pardon me, Cam mentioned it earlier. We've got export capacity through our own facility, obviously at Prince Rupert as well as third-party facilities. Both of those opportunities are doing very well in this environment. You know, Far East pricing has been very strong, especially relative to Edmonton and North America, so those positions have served us really well. We've got freight certainty for some time, so we don't have any exposure to some of the price increases and sort of compression that's coming into certain areas as a result of that freight increase.

Chris Scherman

We're in good shape on that front for some time and really taking advantage of the opportunity. Just quick reminder, like, our Prince Rupert facility has vessels dedicated to it, handy size. At the moment we'll be upgrading those to midsize carriers. In both cases, we've got long-term certainty on that pricing, and then our third-party facilities have similar arrangements.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Robert Catellier with CIBC Capital Markets. Your line is open. Please go ahead.

Robert Catellier

Hey, good morning, congratulations on the quarter and the dividend increase. That came in a touch ex-higher than we expected. Looking forward, you know, the 3.5% increase is below what you're expected to generate in terms of your fee-based CAGR. Obviously you'd wanna keep it that way to some extent just for a margin of safety. I'm just, you know, once you get beyond the sort of the inflection in spending in 2026 and 2027, how should we be looking at that sort of medium or long-term dividend growth rate? Because it seems to me there's enough momentum at Pembina specifically and in the industry in general to increase the capital project roster.

Cameron Goldade

Hey, Robert, it's Cam here. A really good question. You know, as you pointed out, the dividend increase for 2026 at 3.5%, you know, is slightly below the 5% to 7% that we talked about from 2026 to 2030. You know, I would say that it aligns well with the sort of more near-term profile. As a reminder, going back to what we said in our April 7th business update, you know, we did signal that growth throughout that period would be slightly shallower in, you know, the next couple years and then obviously slightly above that range for the 2028 to 2030 period and obviously sort of working out to the 5% to 7% over the period.

Cameron Goldade

We, we would see this increase for 2026 as aligning very closely with the growth in our fee-based business. I think as we, as we look forward to, you know, the future, that continues to be a major anchor for our dividend, our dividend policy and our capital allocation policy. I think we're always mindful of, one, you know, the value that our investors are placing on the dividend, and so that has, in the past, caused us to add some color around that. You know, if we think that's not being rewarded, obviously we wanna be thoughtful about it. Secondly, also, the extent to which our capital program, you know, is relative to our free cash flow profile.

Cameron Goldade

I think, you know, you make the comment that the outlook is clearly improving, and the backlog across the industry is growing. I think we're thoughtful about that as we, you know, think about what cash flow we need to retain to continue to fund those projects accretively. Ultimately, the primary anchor continues to be that fee-based cash flow growth, with adjustments as I described. I would tend to think about it and orient it that way as we get towards the latter half of this decade, recognizing we're also trying to create stability as well and sort of not, you know, big erratic changes year to year. Consistency and predictability is big as well.

Robert Catellier

Yeah, that's a prudent perspective. Just as my follow-up, you know, the flip side of the coin is to your fee-based growth is of course risk management. So, you know, you have a long history of bringing projects on on time and under budget. I'm just curious, how are you thinking about construction and cost inflation risk today versus where we were 12 to 18 months ago and, you know, how that's impacted how you approach risk management on on those major projects?

Jaret Sprott

Rob, Jaret. Yeah, when you think of kind of the short term, you know, we're obviously seeing pressures on consumables like diesel, et cetera. You know, a large portion of our contracts, that's recoverable, but we're always trying to focus on, offsetting inflation for our customers on all of our operating assets, regardless of the contract. When I think about where, you know, I start to get, you know, asking a little bit more questions is kind of on your critical spares, your long lead items, electrical equipment, and materials that you need for future construction, steel for pipelines and those types of things. I'll break it into two buckets, the way we're thinking about it.

Jaret Sprott

If I think about our Latour pipeline or Birch to Taylor or Taylor to Gordondale, the majority of those materials have been procured and the construction services also been negotiated. Cedar obviously is well in flight. That was 70% lump sum. Now when I'm starting to think about the new backlog, that's really where our teams, you know, we set up a couple of years ago kind of inventory management and a forward-looking amount of capital that we put aside to start really getting ahead of some of these long lead items and procure costs prior to inflation that, you know, that our supply chain teams were forecasting. It's an area that is hyper-focused, and it is gonna take some innovation from our execution teams to be able to maintain margins.

Jaret Sprott

Not gonna lie, we're gonna see continued cost in that area, but we're confident that we will be able to maintain our margins by different partnerships, different contracting strategies, and it's gonna take some work from the owners coming up.

Robert Catellier

Okay, great. Thank you.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Robert Hope with Scotiabank. Your line is open. Please go ahead.

Robert Hope

Morning, everyone. 2 questions on some project outlooks. Yellowhead wasn't in the initial release. Can you maybe provide an update on how you're thinking about the Dow project, the Yellowhead project or as well, or other ethane opportunities?

Chris Scherman

Rob, it's Chris. Yeah, I mean, that project continues to progress along. I mean, you know, I think in general, I'd say we're really pleased with the entirety of the BD backlog. Those projects we talked about, you know, the deal we're doing with Dow, how Yellowhead fits into that as well as Greenlight are all really trending where we want them and on pace to progress here nicely through this quarter. Not in a position yet to announce anything there obviously or we would have. We're really close and excited about what's coming here shortly.

Robert Hope

All right. Appreciate that. Maybe a similar question. The Alliance expansion, looks like the open season was sufficient to move it forward to the next gating item. Can you maybe update us on, you know, the timing of when you think this could be sanctioned as well as potential capital cost?

Jaret Sprott

Rob. Yeah, like Scott said in his opening, we did have a successful open season that closed on the 20th. Can't speak to the commercial specifics obviously at this time, we are continuing to advance engineering and regulatory. Obviously this is a CER-regulated project, we'll have to go through that. Once we get a little bit more clarity on the timelines there, we'll be able to give a little bit more color on when we FID. I will say, you know, we're highly confident, you know, of the process. The demand is required. It's being extremely supported by everyone. All new natural gas consumption in order to generate, you know, liquids is obviously well supported by governments and municipalities and our customers, et cetera.

Chris Scherman

We're confident that slow expansion will go forward, actually with or without Greenlight. We see a lot of industrial demand in the Alberta industrial heartland and we believe that this is gonna be required.

Robert Hope

Great. Thank you.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Maurice Choy with RBC Capital Markets. Your line is open. Please go ahead.

Maurice Choy

Thank you, and good morning, everyone. Since you mentioned Greenlight, I'll start there. You highlighted that there is a potential FID at the end of this quarter. I guess just taking a step back, as this journey towards an FID approaches an end and you start looking back at the journey thus far, you know, what has been the part of the process that's taken most time, that's been the most complex, and if there's anything you could have done differently?

Chris Scherman

Maurice, it's Chris. Yeah, you know, we mentioned it in the intro and you touched on it. Things are progressing nicely there. Looking to get, you know, more info out, you know, this quarter for sure. When we look back, you know, we think there's some things that have gone exceptionally well on the project. We positioned ourselves really strategically in the market with how we, you know, positioned ourselves vis-à-vis land, interconnects, acquiring existing capacity on the system to facilitate the project. When you think about projects of this size and this nature, honestly, when it comes to the engineering and the project development side and it comes to the commercial, they're not off the shelf, they're not vanilla, and they just simply take time.

Chris Scherman

We're all in all pretty, or I should say very positive on the progress we've made. We'll of course take learnings and apply that to the next one. You know, we don't control the data center build-out. We don't control the fiber build-out. You know, remind everyone that those aren't the businesses we're in. We're the power generation piece, and so we don't have control over the entirety of the timeline. Our customer needs to progress those work streams as well. That's all coming together nicely here in Q2 and we're on pace.

Maurice Choy

Maybe just a quick follow-up on that thought, like, because you mentioned the future phases, is it then fair that, you know, the additional learnings that you get should lead to better returns in the future phases?

Chris Scherman

What I'll say is I think we're positioned well for future phases. I think that leadership position we've developed in this space is really in service of having success here on the first phase and positioning us to have that opportunity to do future phases. You know, there'll undoubtedly be synergies between them and advantages as you continue to layer that on. That's been consistent across our business, and I don't think this is any different. In particular, when you start to think about some of the integrated components, I'd certainly expect that as we move into the next phase, we'll see continued improvement in the economics and the advantage of the integrated business.

Cameron Goldade

Maybe, Maurice, Cam, I'll just add one thing to that. I think one of the things that we see as we really gain a foothold in this type of opportunity and, you know, hopefully do more of it is, like we've done in other situations where we step into a new market or a new business, we're looking to mitigate risk in a bunch of different ways.

Cameron Goldade

Just like we did with Cedar, and we're looking at here, you know, part of that is the capital cost risk through a lump sum EPC. In the future, if you think about no additional phases, you know, one opportunity for margin or return improvement is obviously as we get comfortable with the construction, you know, doing something which obviously has a little more risk in it and not pursuing a lump sum. Obviously the trade-off is not paying that lump sum premium. Potential there for us to improve margins by doing that.

Maurice Choy

Makes sense and good to know. If I could just finish off with a comment you made earlier about the recent upstream M&A within the basin. I wonder if you could expand that a little bit more and talk about direct or indirect impacts to Pembina, given your commercial relationships with those parties, if any at all.

Scott Burrows

Maurice, I don't have the exact numbers, but if you look back at some of the recent upstream deals, you know, whether it was CNRL going into the Duvernay, you know, some of the comments we've seen out of Ovintiv with their recent acquisitions, and there's probably a few examples that I'm forgetting about. We've generally seen production increase quite quickly after acquisitions close. Most people aren't making acquisitions to just hold production flat. We're pretty optimistic that, you know, history will prove itself out here going forward. As people enter the basin and merge or buy new companies, we've seen that volume growth increase. We're pretty optimistic about that.

Maurice Choy

No, that's really encouraging. Thank you so very much.

Scott Burrows

Thank you.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Ben Pham with BMO. Your line is open. Please go ahead.

Ben Pham

Hey, good morning. I'm just wondering with the Western Canadian gas production rising, yet the LPG and the NGLs as well, and part of that is also the ethane side of things which doesn't seem to have a big home right now other than the Dow side of things. Is there opportunity then for you, Pembina, to maybe capitalize on that opportunity, or you think it's more gonna be reinjection into the gas stream, that part of it?

Chris Scherman

It's Chris, Ben. I think there's undoubtedly opportunity in that. When you look, when you look at how our business has built up over time and you look at the wave of, you know, gas production that's coming, condensate production, associated gas and NGL, I think there's a huge opportunity to continue to extract and capture that those liquids in the province and continue to grow our core business on the back of that. So, you know, our expectation and certainly the efforts we're putting in in and around the core business are in service of capturing that growth on the liquid side along with the gas growth.

Ben Pham

Okay. Got it. I know it's early days with your new, newest partnership with the PGI, but anything you can share qualitatively in terms of the business there, your expansion plan, just where you're planning to allocate capital within that partnership?

Scott Burrows

No, you know, first of all, the deal hasn't closed, but, you know, based on our conversations and getting to know our new partners, we're really optimistic, and we know they wanna grow the business, and we wanna grow the business as well. We're pretty excited to work together with them.

Ben Pham

Okay, got it. I'll leave it there. Thank you.

Operator

There are no further questions at this time. I will now turn the call back to Scott Burrows for closing remarks.

Scott Burrows

Well, thank you everyone for taking the time to listen to our call, and thank you to our employees, customers, contractors, and communities for a strong start to the year. like I said, the AGM is this afternoon, so please feel free to dial into that and we'll chat soon. Thanks.

Operator

This concludes today's call. Thank you for attending. You may now disconnect.

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-07

Plains All American to Report Q1 Earnings: What's in Store?

Zacks

Plains All American Pipeline, L.P. PAA is set to report first-quarter 2026 results on May 8, before market open. The firm reported a negative earnings surprise of 14.89% in the last quarter. Let us discuss the factors that are likely to be reflected in the upcoming quarterly results. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings is pegged at 41 cents per share, implying 5.13% year-over-year growth. The consensus estimate for revenues is pinned at $12.54 billion, indicating an increase of 4.39% from the year-ago reported figure. Plains All American Pipeline’s first-quarter earnings are expected to have benefited from synergies stemming from its Cactus III acquisition, supporting its pure-play crude midstream transition strategy. This is likely to improve service quality and drive EBITDA growth, supporting the upcoming earnings results. PAA's continuous focus on operational efficiency and cost optimization is likely to have acted as a tailwind to its performance in the to-be-reported quarter. This is expected to have lowered expenses, improved returns and boosted first-quarter earnings per share. The company's disciplined cost allocation plans, along with its widespread network of pipelines and storage assets across major North American oil-producing regions, are expected to have supported revenue growth and strengthened first-quarter earnings performance. However, the loan taken to fund the Cactus III acquisition is likely to have increased interest expenses, which may have offset some positives in first-quarter earnings. Our proven model does not predict an earnings beat for Plains All American Pipeline this time around. The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold) increases the odds of an earnings beat. That is not the case here, as you will see below. PAA’s Earnings ESP: The firm has an Earnings ESP of 0.00% at present. You can uncover the best stocks to buy or sell before they’re reported with our Earnings ESP Filter. PAA’s Zacks Rank: Currently, Plains All American Pipeline carries a Zacks Rank #3. You can see the complete list of today's Zacks #1 Rank stocks here. Plains All American Pipeline, L.P. price-eps-surprise | Plains All American Pipeline, L.P. Quote Investors may consider the following players from the same sector, as these have the right combination of elements to post an earnings beat this repo...

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-06

Canadian Natural to Report Q1 Earnings: What's in the Offing?

Zacks

Canadian Natural Resources Limited CNQ is set to release first-quarter 2026 results on May 7. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings is pegged at 74 cents per share on revenues of $7.5 billion. Let us delve into the factors that might have influenced CNQ’s performance in the to-be-reported quarter. Before that, it is worth taking a look at the company’s performance in the last reported quarter. In the last reported quarter, the Calgary-based oil and gas equipment and services company’s earnings beat the consensus mark, but decreased from 66 cents per share in the year-ago quarter due to lower realized oil and natural gas liquid prices. CNQ reported adjusted earnings per share of 59 cents, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 53 cents. Total revenues of $6.9 billion beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $6.6 billion. The company’s earnings beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate in each of the trailing four quarters, delivering an average surprise of 13.3%. This is depicted in the chart below: Canadian Natural Resources Limited price-eps-surprise | Canadian Natural Resources Limited Quote The Zacks Consensus Estimate for first-quarter 2026 earnings has been revised 19.4% upward in the past 30 days. The estimated figure indicates an 8.6% year-over-year decrease. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues implies a 1.7% decrease from the year-ago period. Canadian Natural entered the first quarter of 2026 with strong operational momentum, highlighted by record production levels and continued cost efficiencies across its asset base. The company achieved significant production growth of 15% in 2025, supported by high-margin liquids output and industry-leading low operating costs, which enhance profitability even in volatile markets and the same uptick is expected to have continued in the quarter to be reported. Robust reserve replacement exceeding 200% and a large base of long-life, low-decline assets are expected to have provided stable and predictable cash flows. Additionally, accretive acquisitions and increased 2026 production guidance, coupled with reduced capital spending, position the company for improved margins in the to-be-reported quarter. On the bearish side, CNQ’s earnings could have faced pressure from macro uncertainties and operational constraints. Regulatory uncertainty has already led to deferral of major growth projects, potentially limiting near-...

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-01

Pembina Pipeline (PBA) Expected to Beat Earnings Estimates: Can the Stock Move Higher?

Zacks

Pembina Pipeline (PBA) is expected to deliver a year-over-year decline in earnings on lower revenues when it reports results for the quarter ended March 2026. This widely-known consensus outlook gives a good sense of the company's earnings picture, but how the actual results compare to these estimates is a powerful factor that could impact its near-term stock price. The stock might move higher if these key numbers top expectations in the upcoming earnings report, which is expected to be released on May 8. On the other hand, if they miss, the stock may move lower. While management's discussion of business conditions on the earnings call will mostly determine the sustainability of the immediate price change and future earnings expectations, it's worth having a handicapping insight into the odds of a positive EPS surprise. This oil and gas transportation and services company is expected to post quarterly earnings of $0.52 per share in its upcoming report, which represents a year-over-year change of -7.1%. Revenues are expected to be $1.29 billion, down 18.7% from the year-ago quarter. The consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has been revised 11.61% higher over the last 30 days to the current level. This is essentially a reflection of how the covering analysts have collectively reassessed their initial estimates over this period. Investors should keep in mind that the direction of estimate revisions by each of the covering analysts may not always get reflected in the aggregate change. Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise Estimate revisions ahead of a company's earnings release offer clues to the business conditions for the period whose results are coming out. This insight is at the core of our proprietary surprise prediction model -- the Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction). The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the quarter; the Most Accurate Estimate is a more recent version of the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate. The idea here is that analysts revising their estimates right before an earnings release have the latest information, which could potentially be more accurate than what they and others contributing to the consensus had predicted earlier. Thus, a positive or negative Earnings ESP reading theoretically indicates the likely deviation of the actual earnings from the consensus estimate. Howe...

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-04-23

CIBC Names Keyera, Pembina as Top Energy Infrastructure Picks Ahead of Q1 Earnings Season

MT Newswires

CIBC Capital Markets on Wednesday named Keyera (KEY.TO) and Pembina Pipeline (PPL.TO) as its top ene

As of 2026-05-30 • Updated weeklySource: Earnings sourceIngestion runbook