B+
Bull case
28%
Probability
Target price
$16.80
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
PATH
UiPathCNYSE / Software & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Q1 showed 17% revenue growth, 12% ARR growth, first-quarter GAAP profitability for the first time in company history, $130M of non-GAAP adjusted free cash flow, and raised Q2/FY2027 outlooks. Bulls can argue that the agentic product portfolio and coding-agents launch give UiPath a credible path to deeper enterprise platform adoption if recent pilots move into production.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +31.2.
What can break
ARR growth of 12% and dollar-based net retention of 109% may not be enough for a major multiple expansion without clearer acceleration.
Momentum
93
Value
53
Sentiment
60
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $13.20 · Bull $16.80 · Bear $8.90Analysis 2026-05-29; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-29 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $17.37
Why
Momentum93 · Δ7d -2.9
Value53 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment60 · Δ7d +31.2
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +31.2.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • ARR growth of 12% and dollar-based net retention of 109% may not be enough for a major multiple expansion without clearer acceleration.
- • Agentic launches and partnerships still need proof of monetization, production adoption, and durable ARR lift.
- • The print still points to moderate ARR growth, dollar-based net retention of 109% rather than a sharp expansion inflection, and a post-print news framing that included an EPS miss.
Catalyst clock
2026-05-28
Q1 fiscal 2027 beat-and-raise with first GAAP profitability
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
93
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-2.9
Δ21d
-1.3
Value
53
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+1.4
Sentiment
60
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+31.2
Δ21d
+14.2
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 92.8 / Value 53.1 / Sentiment 59.6
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-29. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
47%
Probability
Target price
$13.20
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$8.90
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$8.28B
Beta
1.08
Shares Out
518.12M
P/E (TTM)
37.7
P/S (TTM)
5.52
P/FCF (TTM)
27.51
Rev YoY
+17.3%
EPS YoY
-203.9%
Gross Margin
+82.7%
Op Margin
+6.3%
Net Debt
-$1.39B
Current Ratio
2.20
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data