B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$26.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
PAR
PARBNYSE / Software & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexPost-earnings T+3Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$20.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$15.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
The current persistence contract does not provide an exact AI reference price. RankAlpha therefore does not calculate scenario return from the live quote. How scenarios are presented
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-08-17
Recent news sentiment (30D)
+0.7
Mixed
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
-
Unavailable
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Weekly research (10D)
-
Unavailable
Sentiment proxy
+82.5
Score
AI commentary
The post-earnings evidence is constructive because PAR beat its prior internal guidance and raised FY26 targets. However, this is a low-coverage name with no verified post-print analyst revision set in the packet. A recent director open-market purchase at $17.36 is supportive sentiment context but is not operating evidence [#SEC-FORM4-2026-08-13].
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-08-17
Open post-earnings memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-08-06eventQ2 beat and FY26 outlook raiseMedium impact
Q2 revenue reached $133.4 million and adjusted EBITDA $14.3 million, above prior company guidance ranges. PAR raised FY26 revenue guidance to $516-$523 million from $500-$515 million and adjusted EBITDA guidance to $50-$53 million from $44-$47 million [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06].
2026-09-30catalystMargin, leverage, and execution riskHigh impact
Subscription gross margins declined year over year, GAAP losses continued, and long-term debt increased to $422.4 million from $374.1 million at year-end. Any slowdown in delivery of the raised outlook or AI investments could pressure the shares [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06].
2026-12-31catalystExecution against raised outlook and AI deployment goalHigh impact
ARR increased 17% year over year to $338 million, with management stating it remained on track to deploy PAR Intelligence to 50,000 sites by year-end. Follow-through on ARR, margins, and adoption is the main remaining upside test [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06] [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-08-14].
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-08-17 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology