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PAR

PARD
NYSE / Software & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2 revenue rose 18.7% to $133.4 million, ARR reached $338 million, and adjusted EBITDA rose to $14.3 million. PAR raised FY2026 revenue guidance to $516 million–$523 million and adjusted EBITDA guidance to $50 million–$53 million.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-11-04.
What can break
Failure to deliver Q3 or raised FY2026 revenue and adjusted EBITDA guidance [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06].
Momentum
39
Value
40
Sentiment
46
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $15.50 · Bull $19.00 · Bear $9.50Analysis 2026-09-25; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-11-04
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-27 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-28 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-25 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-28

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-28. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $24.94
Why
Momentum39 · Δ7d +58.8
Value40 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment46 · Δ7d +5.6
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-11-04.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +5.6.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Failure to deliver Q3 or raised FY2026 revenue and adjusted EBITDA guidance [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06].
  • • GAAP losses and year-over-year non-GAAP subscription-service gross-margin compression despite improving adjusted EBITDA [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06].
  • • The company still reported a $16.9 million Q2 GAAP net loss, while non-GAAP subscription-service gross margin fell 130 basis points year over year.

Catalyst clock

2026-11-04

Q3 delivery against company outlook

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
39
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+58.8
Δ21d
+63.2
Value
40
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
0.0
Sentiment
46
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+5.6
Δ21d
-22.0
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 39.3 / Value 39.8 / Sentiment 45.7

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-25. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$19.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$15.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$9.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-27
Market Cap
$698.2M
Beta
1.35
Shares Out
41.36M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-8.1
P/S (TTM)
3.34
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-43.86
Rev YoY
+18.7%
EPS YoY
-21.2%
Gross Margin
+39.4%
Op Margin
-9.5%
Net Debt
$322.21M
Current Ratio
2.14
As of 2026-10-28 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data