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OWL

Blue Owl CapitalB
NYSE / Financial Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The Q2 filing supports a constructive scale narrative: AUM reached $319 billion and the business spans three platforms, with a $0.23 quarterly dividend declared. These factors support income appeal, subject to continued fundraising and deployment.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29 · BMO.
What can break
Fundraising, AUM growth, fee rates, or capital deployment could slow; detailed forward metrics were not supplied.
Momentum
21
Value
45
Sentiment
79
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $12.95 · Bull $14.00 · Bear $10.80Analysis 2026-08-14; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-29 · BMO
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-14 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $12.74
Why
Momentum21 · Δ7d +3.1
Value45 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment79 · Δ7d -2.2
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29 · BMO.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -2.2.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Fundraising, AUM growth, fee rates, or capital deployment could slow; detailed forward metrics were not supplied.
  • • Only CG is a relatively close candidate in the supplied peer set; the other candidates are broad or structurally different financial companies, limiting relative-valuation confidence.
  • • Private-credit liquidity and valuation concerns could compress sector multiples, while the supplied evidence does not establish a company-specific earnings acceleration, guidance upgrade, or analyst revision cycle.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-29 · BMO

Q2 2026 results reinforce scale and platform diversification

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
21
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+3.1
Δ21d
-2.1
Value
45
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-0.0
Sentiment
79
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-2.2
Δ21d
-2.2
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 21.1 / Value 45.5 / Sentiment 78.8

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-14. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$14.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$12.95
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$10.80
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$14.59B
Beta
1.10
Shares Out
683.91M
P/E (TTM)
171.9
P/S (TTM)
9.01
P/FCF (TTM)
38.45
Rev YoY
+6.9%
EPS YoY
-13.5%
Gross Margin
+87.1%
Op Margin
+16.7%
Net Debt
$3.67B
Current Ratio
1.52
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data