B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$27.72
+186.1% vs current
OWL
Blue Owl CapitalBNYSE / Financial Services
Last Price
At close
2026-06-03
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment AIMost likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$19.00
+96.1% vs current
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$11.63
+20.0% vs current
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-02-08
Recent news sentiment (30D)
+18.4
Positive
Company
+23.6
Positive
Macro
+18.6
Positive
Pulse
-32.0
Negative
Sentiment proxy
+100.0
Score
AI commentary
Market consensus shows a bullish analyst median near $19 with a wide high/low spread, indicating divergent views on growth and fee sustainability [#SERP-4]. Aggregators and quote pages reflect interest in upside toward the high‑20s while noting downside vulnerability to low‑teens if AUM or credit performance disappoints [#SERP-1]. Current positioning appears mixed with significant analyst dispersion and cautious near‑term uncertainty [#SERP-6].
RankAlpha Sentiment AI - 2026-02-08
Open full AI memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-05-09catalystQ1 / Early‑calendar 2026 quarterly resultsMedium impact
Quarterly earnings and AUM/fee disclosure that can re‑rate NAV/earnings; timing estimated (conservative) as Q2 reporting window; see analyst estimate summaries [#SERP-4].
2026-06-30eventStrategic M&A or portfolio consolidation eventHigh impact
Potential acquisition or strategic deal could re‑rate business mix; date is an assumed window end (Q2 2026) due to lack of a disclosed date [#SERP-1].
2027-02-08catalystPrivate‑credit AUM growth & fee expansion thesisHigh impact
Sustained growth in private credit and fees could materially lift multiple over a 12‑month+ horizon; outcome tied to capital raising and market conditions [#SERP-6].
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-02-08 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology