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OWL

Blue Owl CapitalB
NYSE / Financial Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The Q2 filing supports a constructive scale narrative: AUM reached $319 billion and the business spans three platforms, with a $0.23 quarterly dividend declared. These factors support income appeal, subject to continued fundraising and deployment.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +7.1.
What can break
Fundraising, AUM growth, fee rates, or capital deployment could slow; detailed forward metrics were not supplied.
Momentum
81
Value
46
Sentiment
74
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $12.95 · Bull $14.00 · Bear $10.80Analysis 2026-08-14; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-08 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-14 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-08

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-08. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $13.13
Why
Momentum81 · Δ7d -7.8
Value46 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment74 · Δ7d +7.1
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +7.1.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Fundraising, AUM growth, fee rates, or capital deployment could slow; detailed forward metrics were not supplied.
  • • Only CG is a relatively close candidate in the supplied peer set; the other candidates are broad or structurally different financial companies, limiting relative-valuation confidence.
  • • Private-credit liquidity and valuation concerns could compress sector multiples, while the supplied evidence does not establish a company-specific earnings acceleration, guidance upgrade, or analyst revision cycle.

Catalyst clock

2026-07-30

Q2 2026 results reinforce scale and platform diversification

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
81
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-7.8
Δ21d
-7.8
Value
46
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
-9.4
Sentiment
74
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+7.1
Δ21d
+5.3
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 80.5 / Value 45.5 / Sentiment 74.2

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-14. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$14.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$12.95
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$10.80
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-14 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$18.18B
Beta
1.10
Shares Out
683.91M
P/E (TTM)
171.9
P/S (TTM)
9.01
P/FCF (TTM)
38.45
Rev YoY
+6.9%
EPS YoY
-13.5%
Gross Margin
+87.1%
Op Margin
+16.7%
Net Debt
$3.67B
Current Ratio
1.52
As of 2026-09-08 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data