ORN

Orion GroupB

NYSE / Capital Goods

At close

2026-07-18

Current thesis

The bull case is that Orion has moved from turnaround into controlled growth: 2025 revenue rose to $852 million, adjusted EBITDA reached $45.2 million, free cash flow was positive, 2026 guidance implies another step up, and McAmis expands marine capability into higher-value niches with a stated accretive effect.

Posture

Constructive

Lead driver

Momentum

What changed

Momentum remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.7.

What can break

Board retirements disclosed on March 17, 2026 were said not to stem from disagreements, but governance changes can still create headline noise. [#8-K-2026-03-17]

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

0 · Net Neutral

AI TargetsBase $13.25 · Bull $15.50 · Bear $9.25

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-07-18

Fundamentals

As of 2026-07-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-07-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-04-15 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

Investment thesis

As of 2026-07-18

Supporting evidence

What

Grade B · Constructive

Confidence Medium · Net Neutral

Target $17.77

Why

Momentum81 · Δ7d -0.7

Value46 · Δ7d +0.4

Sentiment46 · Δ7d +4.0

So what

Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Lead driver: Momentum · See technicals

Momentum

26% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-0.7

Δ21d

-0.6

Value

39% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

+0.4

Δ21d

+2.0

Sentiment

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendImproving

Δ7d

+4.0

Δ21d

+20.3

Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 81.0 / Value 46.5 / Sentiment 46.1

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-07-17

Market Cap

$518.14M

Beta

1.17

Shares Out

40.48M

P/E (TTM)

43.1

P/S (TTM)

0.50

P/FCF (TTM)

19.08

Rev YoY

+14.7%

EPS YoY

-422.7%

Gross Margin

+12.3%

Op Margin

+2.3%

Net Debt

$47.1M

Current Ratio

1.41

As of 2026-07-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology