B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$15.90
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
OPXS
OptexANasdaq / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
OPXS has $6.2 million of cash, no revolving-credit debt, improving margins, completed units awaiting shipment, and reiterated full-year guidance. Successful Q4 delivery conversion could demonstrate that recent weakness was primarily timing-related.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
What can break
Competition in standard periscopes may pressure demand, pricing, or contract wins.
Momentum
99
Value
59
Sentiment
75
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $11.50 · Bull $15.90 · Bear $7.50Analysis 2026-09-13; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-13 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-11
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $15.90
Why
Momentum99 · Δ7d -
Value59 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment75 · Δ7d -
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Competition in standard periscopes may pressure demand, pricing, or contract wins.
- • Customer concentration and OPXS's micro-cap size can amplify earnings and share-price volatility.
- • Q3 revenue fell to $9.7 million, nine-month revenue declined to $28.5 million, and new orders fell 19.1%.
Catalyst clock
2026-12-03
Delayed periscope deliveries convert into Q4 revenue
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
99
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
59
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
-1.0
Sentiment
75
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade
Composite grade A. Momentum 99.3 / Value 59.4 / Sentiment 75.4
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-13. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$11.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$7.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$78.09M
Beta
0.66
Shares Out
6.96M
P/E (TTM)
17.8
P/S (TTM)
2.22
P/FCF (TTM)
14.27
Rev YoY
-12.4%
EPS YoY
-15.3%
Gross Margin
+30.7%
Op Margin
+13.2%
Net Debt
-$4.54M
Current Ratio
7.09
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data