ONB

Old National BancorpB

Nasdaq / Banks

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AI scenario view

RankAlpha Sentiment AI

B+

Bull case

20%

Probability

Target price

$30.00

Analysis reference price unavailable

Analysis 2026-01-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI

Most likely

Base case

60%

Probability

Target price

$26.20

Analysis reference price unavailable

Analysis 2026-01-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI

B-

Bear case

20%

Probability

Target price

$24.00

Analysis reference price unavailable

Analysis 2026-01-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI

The current persistence contract does not provide an exact AI reference price. RankAlpha therefore does not calculate scenario return from the live quote. How scenarios are presented

AI sentiment snapshot

Latest data as of 2026-01-24

AI commentary

Market tone is cautiously constructive: sell-side targets cluster modestly above the current price, implying limited upside if NIM and provisions only stabilize [#SERP-6][#SERP-2]. Near-term attention centers on deposit repricing and reserve headlines, which could create volatility around earnings [#SERP-2]. Overall coverage tilts toward ‘buy’ but remains conditional on regional funding and macro stability [#SERP-1].

RankAlpha Sentiment AI - 2026-01-24

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Evidence flagged

No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.

Impact

standard

Confidence

AI events

2026-04-24eventQ4 2025 / FY 2025 earnings releaseHigh impact

Quarterly results that will reveal net interest margin trends, loan-loss provisions, and capital metrics; may shift consensus quickly if surprises occur [#SERP-6].

2026-04-24catalystRegional NIM and deposit repricing cycleMedium impact

Short-term margin compression or stabilization driven by deposit costs and Fed rate path; sensitive to local funding competition [#SERP-1].

2027-01-24catalystM&A / integration outcomes and strategic executionHigh impact

Longer-term impact from past acquisitions and efficiency programs on earnings power and ROE; execution risk persists through integration windows.

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Recommendation

N/A

No formal recommendation provided.

Open AI Memo

As of 2026-01-24 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology