ONB

Old National BancorpC

Nasdaq / Banks

At close

2026-07-18

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AI scenario view

RankAlpha Sentiment AI

B+

Bull case

20%

Probability

Target price

$30.00

+12.2% vs current

Most likely

Base case

60%

Probability

Target price

$26.20

-2.0% vs current

B-

Bear case

20%

Probability

Target price

$24.00

-10.2% vs current

AI sentiment snapshot

Latest data as of 2026-01-24

AI commentary

Market tone is cautiously constructive: sell-side targets cluster modestly above the current price, implying limited upside if NIM and provisions only stabilize [#SERP-6][#SERP-2]. Near-term attention centers on deposit repricing and reserve headlines, which could create volatility around earnings [#SERP-2]. Overall coverage tilts toward ‘buy’ but remains conditional on regional funding and macro stability [#SERP-1].

RankAlpha Sentiment AI - 2026-01-24

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Evidence flagged

No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.

Impact

standard

Confidence

AI events

2026-04-24eventQ4 2025 / FY 2025 earnings releaseHigh impact

Quarterly results that will reveal net interest margin trends, loan-loss provisions, and capital metrics; may shift consensus quickly if surprises occur [#SERP-6].

2026-04-24catalystRegional NIM and deposit repricing cycleMedium impact

Short-term margin compression or stabilization driven by deposit costs and Fed rate path; sensitive to local funding competition [#SERP-1].

2027-01-24catalystM&A / integration outcomes and strategic executionHigh impact

Longer-term impact from past acquisitions and efficiency programs on earnings power and ROE; execution risk persists through integration windows.

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Recommendation

N/A

No formal recommendation provided.

Open AI Memo

As of 2026-01-24 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology