B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$27.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
OLN
OlinBNYSE / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexMost likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$22.43
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$15.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
The current persistence contract does not provide an exact AI reference price. RankAlpha therefore does not calculate scenario return from the live quote. How scenarios are presented
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-08-05
Recent news sentiment (30D)
+24.3
Positive
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
+24.3
Positive
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Weekly research (10D)
-24.0
Negative
Sentiment proxy
+96.0
Score
AI commentary
News tone is modestly positive because of improved adjusted EBITDA, cost actions, and merger progress, but the immediate outlook is mixed because of the Freeport outage and wide Q3 guidance. Social, options, short-interest, employee-review, and analyst-revision coverage is unavailable, so confidence remains moderate and the thesis is monitoring-oriented.
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-08-05
Open full AI memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-08-25eventHuntsman merger shareholder voteHigh impact
Olin reported progress toward its planned Huntsman merger, with a special shareholder meeting scheduled for August 25, 2026. [#EARNINGS-TRANSCRIPT-2026Q2]
2026-11-03catalystFreeport VCM outage remains a Q3 earnings dragMedium impact
The unplanned Freeport VCM shutdown reduced Q2 adjusted EBITDA by $40 million, with an estimated $20 million Q3 impact while the facility operates at reduced rates. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-30]
2026-12-31catalystStructural cost actions and operating normalizationHigh impact
Beyond250 structural cost actions are supporting Chlor Alkali and Vinyls, while management expects full VCM operating rates late in Q3 and ongoing improvement in Epoxy and Winchester. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-30]
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-08-05 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology