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OLN

OlinA
NYSE / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2 adjusted EBITDA improved year over year to $191.3 million, pricing and cost actions supported results, and merger-related strategic optionality could improve scale. The deterministic prior is directionally positive.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29 · AMC.
What can break
Chemical pricing and demand remain volatile, with weak European Epoxy demand and softer export pricing.
Momentum
22
Value
52
Sentiment
80
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $22.43 · Bull $27.00 · Bear $15.00Analysis 2026-08-05; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-29 · AMC
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-05 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $19.35
Why
Momentum22 · Δ7d +4.7
Value52 · Δ7d -0.3
Sentiment80 · Δ7d -3.4
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29 · AMC.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -3.4.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Chemical pricing and demand remain volatile, with weak European Epoxy demand and softer export pricing.
  • • Freeport VCM repairs or restart could be delayed, extending the earnings impact.
  • • Q3 adjusted EBITDA guidance of $160 million to $200 million is wide and includes the remaining Freeport outage impact, weaker EDC pricing, litigation cash payments, and elevated leverage.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-29 · AMC

Huntsman merger shareholder vote

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
22
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+4.7
Δ21d
+5.9
Value
52
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.3
Δ21d
-0.2
Sentiment
80
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-3.4
Δ21d
-3.4
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 22.0 / Value 52.3 / Sentiment 80.0

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-05. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$27.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$22.43
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$15.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-05 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$1.78B
Beta
1.63
Shares Out
113.98M
P/E (TTM)
46.0
P/S (TTM)
0.36
P/FCF (TTM)
15.41
Rev YoY
-0.9%
EPS YoY
+933.6%
Gross Margin
+7.0%
Op Margin
+0.6%
Net Debt
$2.97B
Current Ratio
1.42
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data