B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$47.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-26 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
OII
Oceaneering InternationalCNYSE / Energy
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Q3 revenue rose 6% to $785 million and adjusted EBITDA rose 7% to $119 million, in line with management's guidance. Subsea Robotics margin reached 39%, while bookings and initial 2027 EBITDA guidance provide a path to growth.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.9.
What can break
ADTech operating income and margin declined as pass-through activity and program costs increased. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-21]
Momentum
22
Value
56
Sentiment
56
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $39.00 · Bull $47.00 · Bear $31.00Analysis 2026-10-26; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-26 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-26
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $42.75
Why
Momentum22 · Δ7d -13.2
Value56 · Δ7d +2.9
Sentiment56 · Δ7d -0.8
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.9.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • ADTech operating income and margin declined as pass-through activity and program costs increased. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-21]
- • Manufactured Products had a 0.77 trailing-12-month book-to-bill ratio and a lower Q3 margin despite higher revenue. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-21]
- • The prior positive thesis is tempered by Q4 EBITDA guidance of $85 million–$95 million, segment margin pressure and a sharp post-print selloff.
Catalyst clock
2026-12-31
Q4 earnings step-down tests confidence
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
22
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-13.2
Δ21d
-30.2
Value
56
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.9
Δ21d
+3.3
Sentiment
56
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.8
Δ21d
-7.9
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 22.4 / Value 56.3 / Sentiment 56.0
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-26. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$39.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-26 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$31.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-26 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-26
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-26
Market Cap
$4B
Beta
1.25
Shares Out
99.43M
P/E (TTM)
11.4
P/S (TTM)
0.92
P/FCF (TTM)
23.38
Rev YoY
+10.0%
EPS YoY
+20.2%
Gross Margin
+19.8%
Op Margin
+10.4%
Net Debt
$177.27M
Current Ratio
2.18
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data