B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$54.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-22 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
OII
Oceaneering InternationalBNYSE / Energy
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Subsea Robotics operating income rose 16% and its EBITDA margin reached 39%; Q3 free cash flow was $142 million. The initial 2027 EBITDA range offers upside if bookings convert without margin erosion.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +1.8.
What can break
Manufactured Products margin fell to 15% with a 0.77 trailing-12-month book-to-bill ratio; Aerospace and Defense Technologies margin fell to 11% amid pass-through activity and program costs. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-21]
Momentum
26
Value
57
Sentiment
69
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $46.00 · Bull $54.00 · Bear $36.00Analysis 2026-10-22; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-26 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-22 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-23
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $46.00
Why
Momentum26 · Δ7d +1.6
Value57 · Δ7d +2.8
Sentiment69 · Δ7d +1.8
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +1.8.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Manufactured Products margin fell to 15% with a 0.77 trailing-12-month book-to-bill ratio; Aerospace and Defense Technologies margin fell to 11% amid pass-through activity and program costs. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-21]
- • Q4 EBITDA guidance of $85 million–$95 million implies a sequential step-down from Q3's $119 million; management also expects free cash flow to moderate. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-21]
- • The EPS miss, 26% decline in net income, weaker Manufactured Products margin, and lower Aerospace and Defense Technologies operating income complicate the growth case.
Catalyst clock
2026-10-30
Q3 earnings miss tempers operating gains
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
26
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.6
Δ21d
-7.9
Value
57
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.8
Δ21d
+3.3
Sentiment
69
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.8
Δ21d
-5.3
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 26.4 / Value 56.6 / Sentiment 68.9
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-22. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$46.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-22 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$36.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-22 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-26
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-26
Market Cap
$4B
Beta
1.25
Shares Out
99.43M
P/E (TTM)
11.4
P/S (TTM)
0.92
P/FCF (TTM)
23.38
Rev YoY
+10.0%
EPS YoY
+20.2%
Gross Margin
+19.8%
Op Margin
+10.4%
Net Debt
$177.27M
Current Ratio
2.18
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data