B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$195.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
NXST
Nexstar Media GroupBNasdaq / Media & Entertainment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexMost likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$182.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$145.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
The current persistence contract does not provide an exact AI reference price. RankAlpha therefore does not calculate scenario return from the live quote. How scenarios are presented
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-09-09
Recent news sentiment (30D)
+0.6
Mixed
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
-
Unavailable
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Weekly research (10D)
-
Unavailable
Sentiment proxy
+68.2
Score
AI commentary
News tone is moderately constructive because official Q2 results and management commentary were positive, while the recent price anchor of $169.15 does not establish a verified post-print market reaction or attribution. Social, options, short-interest, employee, and analyst-revision data are unavailable or insufficient; neutral placeholders should not be interpreted as positive evidence. Confidence is positive but not high.
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-09-09
Open full AI memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-12-31eventSustain strong second-half free cash flowHigh impact
Nexstar reported record Q2 revenue of $1.993 billion, adjusted EBITDA of $633 million, adjusted free cash flow of $238 million, and $409 million of debt repayment. Management stated it remains positioned for strong second-half 2026 free-cash-flow generation. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06]
2026-12-31catalystLeverage, litigation, and execution overhangHigh impact
Acquisition-related leverage, financing costs, integration demands, and ongoing litigation challenging the TEGNA acquisition could constrain rerating or pressure the shares if cash-flow delivery weakens. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06]
2026-12-31catalystTEGNA integration and advertising monetizationHigh impact
TEGNA integration, political advertising, FIFA World Cup inventory, local streaming growth, CW distribution partnerships, and expanded ATSC 3.0 deployment could support revenue, cash flow, and valuation if execution remains disciplined. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06]
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology