B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$7.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
NWL
Newell BrandsANasdaq / Consumer Durables & Apparel
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Q2 marked a return to core-sales growth, and management raised its 2026 sales, margin, EPS and cash-flow outlook. Continued growth alongside productivity gains could support a higher valuation [#SEC-8K-2026-07-31].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +21.8.
What can break
Approximately $5.0 billion of debt and higher commodity and transportation costs leave limited room for a sales or margin setback [#SEC-8K-2026-07-31].
Momentum
55
Value
49
Sentiment
76
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $6.20 · Bull $7.50 · Bear $3.80Analysis 2026-10-03; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-30 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-30 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-03 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-30
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-30
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-30. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $6.53
Why
Momentum55 · Δ7d -16.1
Value49 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment76 · Δ7d +21.8
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +21.8.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Approximately $5.0 billion of debt and higher commodity and transportation costs leave limited room for a sales or margin setback [#SEC-8K-2026-07-31].
- • Q2 normalized EPS and margins were materially boosted by tariff recoveries; underlying improvement may be smaller than headline results suggest [#SEC-8K-2026-07-31].
- • Roughly half of Q2 normalized EPS reflected tariff recoveries.
Catalyst clock
2026-10-31
Test whether Q2 sales growth persists
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
55
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-16.1
Δ21d
-5.9
Value
49
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
+0.7
Sentiment
76
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+21.8
Δ21d
+15.0
Why this grade
Composite grade A. Momentum 54.7 / Value 49.5 / Sentiment 75.8
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-03. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$6.20
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$3.80
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-30
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-30
Market Cap
$2.21B
Beta
0.92
Shares Out
425.9M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-7.6
P/S (TTM)
0.22
P/FCF (TTM)
13.14
Rev YoY
+3.0%
EPS YoY
+125.4%
Gross Margin
+35.5%
Op Margin
+8.4%
Net Debt
$5B
Current Ratio
1.11
As of 2026-10-30 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data