NEM

NewmontA

NYSE / Materials

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AI scenario view

RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

B+

Bull case

25%

Probability

Target price

$138.00

Analysis reference price unavailable

Analysis 2026-10-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

Most likely

Base case

50%

Probability

Target price

$119.00

Analysis reference price unavailable

Analysis 2026-10-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

B-

Bear case

25%

Probability

Target price

$90.00

Analysis reference price unavailable

Analysis 2026-10-27 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

The current persistence contract does not provide an exact AI reference price. RankAlpha therefore does not calculate scenario return from the live quote. How scenarios are presented

AI sentiment snapshot

Latest data as of 2026-10-27

AI commentary

News tone is mixed: a third-party report described a roughly 1.4% immediate after-hours rise following the October 22 release, while the supplied October 26 anchor is $110.39; the packet does not establish a clean post-print closing-return series or prove the initial reaction held. Immediate-reaction coverage The October 22 Freedom downgrade preceded the release, and verified T+3 post-print analyst revisions are unavailable. The earnings documents labeled investor releases are Zacks and MarketBeat articles, not official company releases. Zero-valued sentiment fields denote unavailable measurements, not neutral observations; there is no sufficient social, options, short-interest or employee-score coverage. Relationship extraction has pending and review-required work, so uncertain observations are not treated as confirmed completed transactions.

RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-10-27

Open full AI memo

Evidence flagged

peer set is too generic or lacks enough direct operating comparators

Impact

tentative

Confidence

AI events

2026-11-13catalystQ3 beat and improved cost outlook face post-print reassessmentMedium impact

Newmont's October 22 earnings release reported $2.20 adjusted EPS, $1.9 billion free cash flow and improved 2026 by-product AISC guidance of $1,520 per ounce while maintaining roughly 5.3 million attributable gold ounces of production guidance. Zacks' stored third-party report puts EPS above its $1.94 consensus; consensus varies by provider. The initial after-hours rise must be weighed against the later $110.39 anchor, rather than treated as a sustained rerating. [#8-K-2026-10-22] [#SEC-8K-2026-10-22] Company release

2026-12-31eventQ4 production and cost bridgeMedium impact

The company projects its strongest 2026 production quarter at about 1.365 million attributable gold ounces, but Q4 AISC of roughly $1,900 per ounce versus the $1,520 full-year outlook. Higher grades and ramp-up at Tanami, Cerro Negro, Ahafo North and Lihir must offset weaker Peñasquito silver credits, heavier capital spending and possible El Niño-related water constraints at Lihir. This is the clearest near-term test of the earnings thesis. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-22] SEC exhibit

2026-12-31eventNGM contribution and cash-payment closingMedium impact

The October company release expects a $1.95 billion payment to Barrick in Q4 under the amended Nevada Gold Mines arrangement, after reporting $3.2 billion of September-quarter net cash. The September 30 filing describes Newmont's 38.5% proportionate NGM interest; the August arrangement and contributions remain announced rather than confirmed completed in the supplied relationship evidence. Assess closing, cash use and any revised project economics without treating the payment as already made. [#REL-41be9236-2bf5-49b8-81d0-92da770162a0] [#REL-fbaa2e26-f26c-4f9d-a000-219eaefca821] [#SEC-8K-2026-10-22] SEC exhibit

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Recommendation

N/A

No formal recommendation provided.

Open AI Memo

As of 2026-10-27 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology