B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$124.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
NEM
NewmontCNYSE / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexPost-earnings T+3Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$104.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$82.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-07-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
The current persistence contract does not provide an exact AI reference price. RankAlpha therefore does not calculate scenario return from the live quote. How scenarios are presented
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-07-28
Recent news sentiment (30D)
+24.3
Positive
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
+24.3
Positive
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Weekly research (10D)
-24.0
Negative
Sentiment proxy
+39.4
Score
AI commentary
Post-earnings coverage is high-buzz but mixed-to-soft: a Barron's headline reported the stock down despite strong earnings, while Proactive reported an expected 1.5% opening gain near $95; the RankAlpha anchor was $93.47 on July 27. No usable social context or broad post-print analyst revision set is available. Peer framing uses AEM, Barrick (GOLD), and Kinross (KGC) as direct operating comparators carried forward from the prior baseline, while broad same-sector candidates are excluded. This remains a constructive but monitoring-oriented view rather than a high-conviction chase.
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-07-28
Open post-earnings memoEvidence flagged
peer set is too generic or lacks enough direct operating comparators; later post-earnings follow-up lacks concrete company-source and analyst/market reaction evidence
Impact
tentative
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-07-23eventQ2 earnings were operationally strong but mixed on expectationsMedium impact
Newmont reported Q2 adjusted net income of $2.10 per diluted share, record free cash flow of $2.2 billion, $3.4 billion of net cash, and unchanged 2026 production guidance of 5.3 million attributable gold ounces. Zacks reported an EPS beat but revenue below consensus, while other coverage cited a narrow EPS miss, making the post-print signal mixed. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-23] [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-07-24]
2026-10-26catalystSecond-half execution and Cadia-related spending remain the near-term testMedium impact
Management expects 63% of 2026 development capital spending in the second half, primarily because Cadia Panel Caves spending was deferred after seismic events. This concentrates execution, timing, and cash-flow sensitivity in H2 despite unchanged guidance. [#IR-2026-07-23]
2026-12-31catalystGuidance delivery, capital returns, and Red Chris stage-gating provide upside runwayHigh impact
Newmont remains on track for 5.3 million ounces and $1,680 gold AISC guidance, returned $1.9 billion to shareholders, declared a $0.26 dividend, and received key British Columbia approvals advancing Red Chris toward a final investment decision. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-23] [#IR-2026-07-23]
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-07-28 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology