B+
Bull case
15%
Probability
Target price
$4.75
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
NCMI
National CineMediaDNasdaq / Media & Entertainment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexMost likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$1.95
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
40%
Probability
Target price
$1.35
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
The current persistence contract does not provide an exact AI reference price. RankAlpha therefore does not calculate scenario return from the live quote. How scenarios are presented
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-08-13
Recent news sentiment (30D)
+0.6
Mixed
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
-
Unavailable
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Weekly research (10D)
-
Unavailable
Sentiment proxy
+45.9
Score
AI commentary
News tone is moderately positive after the Q2 release and Captivate announcement, but the stock reaction cannot be attributed from the supplied evidence. Social, options, short-interest, employee, and post-print analyst revision data are unavailable; this supports monitoring rather than a high-conviction bullish view.
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-08-13
Open full AI memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-11-11eventCaptivate acquisition progressHigh impact
NCM announced an agreement to acquire Captivate, which could expand the platform to more than 48,000 screens across 185 designated market areas upon closing. Closing timing and execution details remain uncertain. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-11]
2026-11-11eventQ2 growth and improved adjusted OIBDAHigh impact
Fiscal Q2 revenue rose 12.7% year over year to $58.4 million, while adjusted OIBDA increased to $2.1 million from $0.7 million. However, operating loss widened, so follow-through remains important. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-11]
2026-11-11catalystRecent insider selling overhangHigh impact
SEC Form 4 filings show open-market sales by the CEO in June and August 2026 and by the CFO in July 2026. This is a sentiment and supply overhang, not evidence of operating deterioration. [#SEC-FORM4-2026-08-04]
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-08-13 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology