B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$17.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
NATR
Nature's Sunshine ProductsBNasdaq / Household & Personal Products
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexMost likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$13.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$9.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
The current persistence contract does not provide an exact AI reference price. RankAlpha therefore does not calculate scenario return from the live quote. How scenarios are presented
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-09-30
Recent news sentiment (30D)
0.0
Mixed
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
-
Unavailable
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Weekly research (10D)
-
Unavailable
Sentiment proxy
+62.8
Score
AI commentary
The Q2 release supports a mixed operating picture, not a clean recovery. Stored StockStory coverage reported a fall from $20.34 before earnings to $15.63 when its August 15 article was written; the packet's September 29 price anchor is $12.76. Verified post-print analyst revisions, options skew, short interest, employee sentiment and sufficient social coverage are unavailable; the zero sentiment fields denote unavailable measurements, not neutral observations. A 10% owner reported open-market purchases in August, but these do not establish operating improvement [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-08-15][#SEC-FORM4-2026-08-19].
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-09-30
Open full AI memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-12-31eventReduced 2026 outlook deliveryHigh impact
The company cut its 2026 sales outlook to $490–500 million from $500–515 million and adjusted EBITDA outlook to $48–52 million from $50–54 million, citing a stronger dollar and China softness. The next reported results will test whether those ranges hold; the date is a monitoring horizon, not a confirmed reporting date [#8-K-2026-08-06][#SEC-8K-2026-08-06].
2026-12-31catalystDigital growth and auto-ship retention testMedium impact
North American digital sales rose 26% in Q2, and management cited increased auto-ship adoption. Sustained customer retention and consultant productivity—not digital growth alone—would strengthen the recovery case [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06].
2027-12-31catalystVision for Growth executionHigh impact
Management is investing in digital capabilities, consultant tools, existing-market penetration and new markets. A durable sales and margin payoff remains unproven, particularly after the guidance reduction [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06].
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-09-30 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology