B+
Bull case
0%
Probability
Target price
$385.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
MTSI
MACOM SolutionsCNasdaq / Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Post-earnings evidence improved: the company source showed a clear beat-and-raise style setup, Zacks reported adjusted EPS of $1.09 versus a $1.07 consensus and revenue above consensus, and Investing.com-reported Stifel commentary indicated a target increase to $385 from $330 after the print.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
7 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
What can break
Management's stronger second-half framing now raises the bar for Q3 delivery on revenue, gross margin and adjusted EPS.
Momentum
48
Value
48
Sentiment
62
Setup hits (3d)
7 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $305.00 · Bull $385.00 · Bear $240.00Analysis 2026-05-09; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-09 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $395.33
Why
Momentum48 · Δ7d +7.3
Value48 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment62 · Δ7d +0.5
So what
Balanced signals (Net Bullish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • 7 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.5.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Management's stronger second-half framing now raises the bar for Q3 delivery on revenue, gross margin and adjusted EPS.
- • The 10-Q explicitly flags geopolitical conflict, tariffs, sanctions, licensing requirements and broader trade tensions as potential negatives for demand and operations. [#10-Q-2026-05-07]
- • The tape already reflects much of the improved setup.
Catalyst clock
2026-07-03
Q2 print and Q3 outlook reset higher [#8-K-2026-05-07]
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
48
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+7.3
Δ21d
+28.3
Value
48
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-0.7
Sentiment
62
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.5
Δ21d
+11.0
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 47.8 / Value 48.5 / Sentiment 62.0
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-09. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
0%
Probability
Target price
$305.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
0%
Probability
Target price
$240.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$25.01B
Beta
1.44
Shares Out
76.37M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
94.4
P/S (TTM)
13.23
P/FCF (TTM)
83.52
Rev YoY
+35.8%
EPS YoY
+166.7%
Gross Margin
+55.0%
Op Margin
+18.1%
Net Debt
-$217.26M
Current Ratio
2.34
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data