MPC

Marathon PetroleumB

NYSE / Energy

At close

2026-07-22

Current thesis

The bull read is that Q1 showed materially stronger refining earnings, improved renewable diesel economics from 45Z clarity, solid cash generation, and another large repurchase authorization, while at least one post-print published revision signal showed Goldman Sachs raising its target to $291 from $264 and maintaining Buy on May 7, 2026.

Posture

Constructive

Lead driver

Momentum

What changed

Momentum remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -2.4.

What can break

Corporate costs rose on stock-comp remeasurement and environmental remediation expense related to historical Martinez refinery operations.

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

0 · Net Neutral

AI TargetsBase $235.00 · Bull $275.00 · Bear $190.00

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-07-22

Fundamentals

As of 2026-07-21 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-07-22 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-05-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

Investment thesis

As of 2026-07-22

Supporting evidence

What

Grade B · Constructive

Confidence Medium · Net Neutral

Target $309.06

Why

Momentum93 · Δ7d -2.4

Value53 · Δ7d -0.7

Sentiment38 · Δ7d -4.3

So what

Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Lead driver: Momentum · See technicals

Momentum

26% active weight

Current posture

7d trendImproving

Δ7d

-2.4

Δ21d

+22.8

Value

39% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

-0.7

Δ21d

-1.8

Sentiment

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-4.3

Δ21d

-20.2

Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 92.6 / Value 53.1 / Sentiment 38.4

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-07-21

Market Cap

$93.35B

Beta

0.74

Shares Out

291.94M

P/E (TTM)

18.7

P/S (TTM)

0.39

P/FCF (TTM)

16.73

Rev YoY

+9.0%

EPS YoY

-832.7%

Gross Margin

+8.5%

Op Margin

+5.0%

Net Debt

$30.69B

Current Ratio

1.18

As of 2026-07-22 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology