B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$17.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
MPAA
Motorcar Parts of AmericaANasdaq / Automobiles & Components
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexPost-earnings T+3Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$13.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$9.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
The current persistence contract does not provide an exact AI reference price. RankAlpha therefore does not calculate scenario return from the live quote. How scenarios are presented
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-08-13
Recent news sentiment (30D)
+60.0
Positive
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
-
Unavailable
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Weekly research (10D)
-
Unavailable
Sentiment proxy
+92.0
Score
AI commentary
News tone is moderately positive because management reaffirmed fiscal 2027 guidance and highlighted Centric Parts and new-business opportunities, but the actual Q1 results were mixed to negative. The stock was $12.14 on August 12, 2026; a reliable post-print price-reaction attribution, analyst revisions, options data, short interest, and social coverage are unavailable. Low coverage and missing revision evidence reduce confidence rather than provide positive evidence.
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-08-13
Open post-earnings memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-08-10eventPost-earnings guidance reaffirmation and order-timing recoveryMedium impact
Fiscal 2027 Q1 sales were $168.0 million, while management reaffirmed full-year sales guidance of $780-$800 million and operating income guidance of $86-$91 million. Management said delayed customer orders and competitor-inventory liquidation effects had begun to reverse. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-10]
2026-09-30catalystNear-term margin, FX, and execution pressureMedium impact
Q1 gross margin fell to 16.2% from 18.0%, with foreign exchange cited as a roughly $3.5 million headwind. Reported net loss was $13.4 million, and Canadian heavy-duty relocation and customer order timing could delay recovery. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-10]
2027-03-31eventCentric Parts relaunch and new-business rampHigh impact
The company cited significant new-business commitments, additional opportunities from the Centric Parts brand relaunch, and more than $100 million of potential additional annualized sales by fiscal 2027 year-end. Timing and margin contribution remain unquantified. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-10]
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-08-13 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology