MOS
MosaicCNYSE / Materials
Last Price
At close
2026-07-18
Current thesis
The post-earnings bull case is that revenue held up better than feared at $2.998 billion versus a $2.897 billion consensus cited by Benzinga, potash remained profitable, 2026 potash production guidance was maintained, and lower capex plus cost actions could help cash generation if input-cost pressure eases. The packet’s median target of about $31.07 still sits well above the $22.78 anchor price.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.3.
What can break
Mosaic Fertilizantes still faces Brazil-specific pressure from lower sales volumes, weaker distribution margins, and ongoing customer credit constraints [#8-K-2026-05-11].
Momentum
39
Value
57
Sentiment
58
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $25.00 · Bull $30.00 · Bear $18.50
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-18
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-14 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-07-18
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-18
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $26.76
Why
Momentum39 · Δ7d -15.4
Value57 · Δ7d -0.3
Sentiment58 · Δ7d -6.6
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
39
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-15.4
Δ21d
-3.3
Value
57
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.3
Δ21d
-0.0
Sentiment
58
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-6.6
Δ21d
+0.2
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 38.8 / Value 56.8 / Sentiment 57.8
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-07-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-17
Market Cap
$7.03B
Beta
0.97
Shares Out
317.85M
P/E (TTM)
6.5
P/S (TTM)
0.66
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-9.13
Rev YoY
+14.4%
EPS YoY
-208.4%
Gross Margin
+13.3%
Op Margin
+8.6%
Net Debt
$5.48B
Current Ratio
1.25
As of 2026-07-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology