MOS
MosaicDNYSE / Materials
Last Price
At close
2026-06-02
Current thesis
The post-earnings bull case is that revenue held up better than feared at $2.998 billion versus a $2.897 billion consensus cited by Benzinga, potash remained profitable, 2026 potash production guidance was maintained, and lower capex plus cost actions could help cash generation if input-cost pressure eases. The packet’s median target of about $31.07 still sits well above the $22.78 anchor price.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.8.
What can break
Mosaic Fertilizantes still faces Brazil-specific pressure from lower sales volumes, weaker distribution margins, and ongoing customer credit constraints [#8-K-2026-05-11].
Momentum
15
Value
57
Sentiment
57
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $25.00 · Bull $30.00 · Bear $18.50
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-06-02
Fundamentals
As of 2026-06-01 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-06-02 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-14 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-06-02
Investment thesis
As of 2026-06-02
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $31.07
Why
Momentum15 · Δ7d +3.0
Value57 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment57 · Δ7d -0.8
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
15
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+3.0
Δ21d
+8.2
Value
57
32% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
-0.1
Sentiment
57
33% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.8
Δ21d
-40.3
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 14.9 / Value 57.5 / Sentiment 56.8
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-06-01
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-06-01
Market Cap
$7.42B
Beta
0.97
Shares Out
317.41M
P/E (TTM)
6.5
P/S (TTM)
0.66
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-15.49
Rev YoY
+22.8%
EPS YoY
+236.7%
Gross Margin
+15.6%
Op Margin
+8.6%
Net Debt
$3.95B
Current Ratio
1.14
As of 2026-06-02 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology