B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$100.00
+9.3% vs current
MNDY
monday.comDNasdaq / Software & Services
Last Price
At close
2026-06-02
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexPost-earnings T+3Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$80.00
-12.6% vs current
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$52.00
-43.2% vs current
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-05-14
Recent news sentiment (30D)
+0.6
Mixed
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
-
Unavailable
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Sentiment proxy
+32.2
Score
AI commentary
Post-earnings tone improved materially, with Yahoo Finance reporting that MNDY shares surged more than 22% on May 11, 2026 after the earnings beat and upgraded outlook. By T+3, however, the reaction had become more mixed in analyst channels: UBS turned cautious on guidance quality, while other firms reportedly maintained positive stances but still trimmed targets. No usable social-context packet was provided, so this remains a filing-and-news driven monitoring view rather than a high-conviction sentiment call.
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-05-14
Open post-earnings memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-05-11eventQ1 2026 beat-and-raise improved the near-term setupHigh impact
On May 11, 2026, monday.com reported Q1 revenue of $351.3M (+24% y/y), record GAAP and non-GAAP operating income, RPO up 33% y/y, and raised FY2026 revenue guidance to $1.466B-$1.474B with adjusted free cash flow guidance of $280M-$290M [#6K-2026-05-11].
2026-05-19catalystMay 19, 2026 management fireside chat is the next post-print checkpointMedium impact
The company said members of management will participate in a fireside chat on May 19, 2026, with a webcast on the IR site; this is a chance to clarify demand, AI pricing adoption, and post-earnings messaging, but conference remarks are usually incremental rather than thesis-changing [#PR-2026-05-13].
2026-08-10catalystAI Work Platform rollout and seats-plus-credits pricing are the main medium-term upside leverHigh impact
On May 6, 2026, management launched the AI Work Platform with native agents, AI connectors, and broader AI workflow tooling; the May 11 earnings release tied that launch to a new consumption-based pricing model, but management has not yet quantified revenue contribution, so this remains a monitoring catalyst rather than a proven inflection [#PR-2026-05-06] [#6K-2026-05-11].
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-05-14 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology