B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$315.00
-6.0% vs current
MKSI
MKSDNasdaq / Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment
Last Price
At close
2026-06-03
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment AIMost likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$239.81
-28.4% vs current
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$135.00
-59.7% vs current
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-02-19
Recent news sentiment (30D)
+16.7
Positive
Company
+17.2
Positive
Macro
+20.7
Positive
Pulse
-62.0
Negative
Sentiment proxy
+17.0
Score
AI commentary
Mixed-to-neutral: analyst medians modestly below the market with wide target dispersion; near-term tone is cautious pending earnings and capex signals [#SERP-2][#SERP-6].
RankAlpha Sentiment AI - 2026-02-19
Open full AI memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-05-20catalystQuarterly earnings release and guidance updateMedium impact
Upcoming quarterly results could shift near-term sentiment if guidance diverges from current consensus; market attention driven by semiconductor capex commentary [#SERP-2].
2026-11-30eventMajor customer wins or product qualificationHigh impact
New design wins or broad customer qualifications for MKS products could re-rate shares; assumption uses typical qualification timelines (window end assumed) [#SERP-4].
2027-02-19catalystRecovery in semiconductor capital spending cycleHigh impact
A sustained recovery in equipment orders would meaningfully lift revenues and valuation over the next year; scenario aligned with higher analyst highs [#SERP-6].
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-02-19 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology