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MET

MetLifeD
NYSE / Insurance
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The primary-source quarter was broadly strong: adjusted EPS growth, double-digit ex-PRT top-line growth, favorable underwriting in Group Benefits and RIS, strong Asia growth, and capital return above $1.1B support a constructive post-earnings read.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
9 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-26.
What can break
Commercial mortgage and office exposure remain a standing monitoring issue for life insurers despite management's disclosure that those balances have been reduced.
Momentum
72
Value
48
Sentiment
46
Setup hits (3d)
9 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $90.00 · Bull $96.00 · Bear $72.00Analysis 2026-05-09; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-26 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-09 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $109.20
Why
Momentum72 · Δ7d -7.6
Value48 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment46 · Δ7d +0.7
So what
Weak posture (Net Bullish). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • 9 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-26.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.0.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Commercial mortgage and office exposure remain a standing monitoring issue for life insurers despite management's disclosure that those balances have been reduced.
  • • Corporate & Other stayed loss-making, leaving some sensitivity to foregone earnings, investment margins, and expense variability.
  • • The immediate counterpoint is that revenue underwhelmed consensus in checked secondary coverage, variable investment income was unusually strong and may normalize, Latin America had tax drag, and Corporate & Other remained a loss bucket, so a clean post-print rerating is not guaranteed.

Catalyst clock

2026-05-06

1Q26 earnings and capital return reset the near-term tape

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
72
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-7.6
Δ21d
-13.5
Value
48
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-0.1
Sentiment
46
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.7
Δ21d
-12.2
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 72.2 / Value 48.4 / Sentiment 45.8

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-09. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$96.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$90.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$72.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-26
Market Cap
$63.57B
Beta
0.76
Shares Out
635.48M
P/E (TTM)
15.4
P/S (TTM)
0.75
P/FCF (TTM)
4.17
Rev YoY
+11.4%
EPS YoY
+5.4%
Gross Margin
-
Op Margin
+7.7%
Net Debt
-$1.5B
Current Ratio
4.83
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data