LION

Lionsgate StudiosB

NYSE / Media & Entertainment

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AI scenario view

RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

B+

Bull case

30%

Probability

Target price

$15.50

Analysis reference price unavailable

Analysis 2026-09-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

Most likely

Base case

50%

Probability

Target price

$12.30

Analysis reference price unavailable

Analysis 2026-09-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

B-

Bear case

20%

Probability

Target price

$9.40

Analysis reference price unavailable

Analysis 2026-09-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

The current persistence contract does not provide an exact AI reference price. RankAlpha therefore does not calculate scenario return from the live quote. How scenarios are presented

AI sentiment snapshot

Latest data as of 2026-09-04

AI commentary

Primary-source earnings evidence is constructive, but analyst revision data, post-print target changes, social coverage, and verified market-reaction attribution are unavailable. The peer set is loose and the valuation target sample is incomplete, so this remains a monitoring-style bullish view rather than a high-conviction rerating call.

RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-09-04

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Evidence flagged

No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.

Impact

standard

Confidence

AI events

2026-08-06eventQ1 FY2027 earnings reset fundamentals higherHigh impact

Lionsgate reported Q1 revenue of $776.6 million, up 48% year over year, adjusted OIBDA of $79.3 million, adjusted free cash flow of $128.9 million, and record first-quarter Motion Picture segment profit of $105 million. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06]

2027-03-31catalystFiscal 2027 scripted-delivery rampHigh impact

Management continues to anticipate doubling scripted deliveries in fiscal 2027 versus fiscal 2026, creating an execution-dependent path to stronger television earnings. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06]

2027-03-31catalystLibrary monetization, backlog conversion, and deleveragingHigh impact

Trailing twelve-month library revenue was $987 million, filmed-entertainment backlog rose 21% year over year to $1.5 billion, and leverage improved to 4.3x trailing twelve-month adjusted OIBDA, supporting potential medium-term rerating if cash conversion persists. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06]

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Recommendation

N/A

No formal recommendation provided.

Open AI Memo

As of 2026-09-04 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology