RankAlpha logo
Back to Rankings

LEA

LearA
NYSE / Automobiles & Components
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
View Chart
Current thesis
Second-quarter revenue rose 3% year over year to $6.2 billion, core operating earnings rose 7%, and free cash flow rose to $288 million. Sustained E-Systems margin improvement, conversion of awarded programs and repurchases could support upside.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-30 · BMO.
What can break
Customer production weakness, tariffs or disruptions could undermine the July outlook; Lear explicitly excluded future tariff changes and production disruptions from it. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-31]
Momentum
62
Value
68
Sentiment
69
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $124.00 · Bull $146.00 · Bear $91.00Analysis 2026-10-24; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-30 · BMO
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-24 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $144.69
Why
Momentum62 · Δ7d -25.3
Value68 · Δ7d -0.5
Sentiment69 · Δ7d -5.1
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-30 · BMO.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.5.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Customer production weakness, tariffs or disruptions could undermine the July outlook; Lear explicitly excluded future tariff changes and production disruptions from it. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-31]
  • • Jason Cardew is due to leave the CFO role February 28, 2027, with Jared Fedele appointed effective March 1; the transition merits monitoring but the filing does not establish an operating problem. [#8-K-2026-10-19]
  • • Lower production on key Lear platforms partly offset new business in the second quarter.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-30 · BMO

October 30 results test raised outlook

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
62
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-25.3
Δ21d
-27.0
Value
68
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.5
Δ21d
-0.3
Sentiment
69
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-5.1
Δ21d
-7.5
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 61.7 / Value 68.3 / Sentiment 68.8

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-24. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$146.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$124.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$91.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$5.76B
Beta
1.31
Shares Out
49.32M
P/E (TTM)
14.8
P/S (TTM)
0.27
P/FCF (TTM)
11.05
Rev YoY
+3.0%
EPS YoY
+24.1%
Gross Margin
+7.0%
Op Margin
+4.1%
Net Debt
$2.46B
Current Ratio
1.31
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data