B+
Bull case
0%
Probability
Target price
$25.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
KIM
Kimco RealtyBNYSE / Equity Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The bull case is that Q1 validated Kimco’s leasing and occupancy thesis: new-lease spreads were strong, occupancy improved, credit loss assumptions improved, and the signed-not-opened pipeline provides visible embedded rent growth. If commencements convert smoothly, the modest April guidance lift could prove conservative.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-25.
What can break
10-K risk factors still include macro slowdown, tenant insolvency, e-commerce and shopping-pattern shifts, and capital-market access risk for a REIT model. [#10-K-2026-02-20]
Momentum
58
Value
62
Sentiment
52
Setup hits (3d)
3 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $24.25 · Bull $25.50 · Bear $21.50Analysis 2026-05-03; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-29 · BMO
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-03 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-26
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $25.76
Why
Momentum58 · Δ7d +4.5
Value62 · Δ7d -
Sentiment52 · Δ7d -2.3
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • 3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-25.
- • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29 · BMO.
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • 10-K risk factors still include macro slowdown, tenant insolvency, e-commerce and shopping-pattern shifts, and capital-market access risk for a REIT model. [#10-K-2026-02-20]
- • Despite strong liquidity, Kimco remains exposed to financing conditions, interest-rate volatility, and execution risk around acquisitions, dispositions, redevelopment, and structured investments.
- • The bear case is that this remains a steady REIT story rather than a re-rating story.
Catalyst clock
2026-10-29 · BMO
Q1 print modestly improved 2026 outlook
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
58
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+4.5
Δ21d
+16.9
Value
62
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Sentiment
52
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-2.3
Δ21d
-17.3
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 58.3 / Value 62.0 / Sentiment 51.7
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-03. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
1%
Probability
Target price
$24.25
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
0%
Probability
Target price
$21.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-23
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$15.84B
Beta
1.09
Shares Out
670.79M
P/E (TTM)
24.2
P/S (TTM)
6.42
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
227.12
Rev YoY
+4.4%
EPS YoY
-5.8%
Gross Margin
+41.0%
Op Margin
+34.5%
Net Debt
$8.43B
Current Ratio
0.97
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data