B+
Bull case
0%
Probability
Target price
$25.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
KIM
Kimco RealtyCNYSE / Equity Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The bull case is that Q1 validated Kimco’s leasing and occupancy thesis: new-lease spreads were strong, occupancy improved, credit loss assumptions improved, and the signed-not-opened pipeline provides visible embedded rent growth. If commencements convert smoothly, the modest April guidance lift could prove conservative.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
What can break
10-K risk factors still include macro slowdown, tenant insolvency, e-commerce and shopping-pattern shifts, and capital-market access risk for a REIT model. [#10-K-2026-02-20]
Momentum
44
Value
64
Sentiment
52
Setup hits (3d)
3 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $24.25 · Bull $25.50 · Bear $21.50Analysis 2026-05-03; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-03 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $27.07
Why
Momentum44 · Δ7d +11.4
Value64 · Δ7d -
Sentiment52 · Δ7d +7.9
So what
Balanced signals (Net Bullish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • 3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +7.9.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • 10-K risk factors still include macro slowdown, tenant insolvency, e-commerce and shopping-pattern shifts, and capital-market access risk for a REIT model. [#10-K-2026-02-20]
- • Despite strong liquidity, Kimco remains exposed to financing conditions, interest-rate volatility, and execution risk around acquisitions, dispositions, redevelopment, and structured investments.
- • The bear case is that this remains a steady REIT story rather than a re-rating story.
Catalyst clock
2026-04-30
Q1 print modestly improved 2026 outlook
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
44
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+11.4
Δ21d
+5.0
Value
64
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Sentiment
52
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+7.9
Δ21d
+4.5
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 44.5 / Value 63.9 / Sentiment 52.3
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-03. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
1%
Probability
Target price
$24.25
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
0%
Probability
Target price
$21.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$16.34B
Beta
1.09
Shares Out
670.79M
P/E (TTM)
24.2
P/S (TTM)
6.42
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
234.23
Rev YoY
+4.4%
EPS YoY
-5.8%
Gross Margin
+41.0%
Op Margin
+34.5%
Net Debt
$8.43B
Current Ratio
0.97
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data