B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$19.50
+19.9% vs current
JILL
J.JillANYSE / Consumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
Last Price
At close
2026-07-22
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexMost likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$16.75
+3.0% vs current
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$13.25
-18.5% vs current
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-07-21
Recent news sentiment (30D)
-14.2
Negative
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
-14.2
Negative
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Sentiment proxy
+45.9
Score
AI commentary
News tone is mixed-to-negative: the company reported a modest Q1 beat and maintained guidance, but coverage reported a sharp post-print share decline. Social, options, short-interest, employee-review, and analyst-revision data are unavailable or insufficient; the thesis remains cautious and event-driven.
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-07-21
Open full AI memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-06-10eventQ1 beat with FY26 outlook reaffirmedMedium impact
Q1 sales were $144.4 million, adjusted EPS was $0.45, and management reaffirmed full-year FY26 sales and adjusted EBITDA outlook. [#SEC-8K-2026-06-10]
2026-10-19catalystQ2 execution and tariff/margin testMedium impact
Management expects Q2 sales down 1%-3%, comparable sales down 2%-4%, adjusted EBITDA of $18-$20 million, and roughly 100 basis points of gross-margin pressure from tariff costs. [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-06-11]
2027-07-21catalystAssortment and customer-journey resetHigh impact
The company is evolving product assortment, targeting younger customers, improving digital engagement, and piloting the J.Jill Collective loyalty program. Early Q2 assortment reactions were encouraging, but validation remains limited. [#SEC-8K-2026-06-10]
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-07-21 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology