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JILL

J.JillC
NYSE / Consumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q1 management commentary indicated early traction from the strategic reset, while full-year sales and adjusted EBITDA outlook was reaffirmed. A Q2 result within or above the existing guide could support the sequential-improvement narrative.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +1.8.
What can break
Analyst coverage and target-count data are thin, limiting confidence in valuation and revision signals.
Momentum
96
Value
62
Sentiment
38
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $18.00 · Bull $23.00 · Bear $14.00Analysis 2026-09-04; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-04 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $24.50
Why
Momentum96 · Δ7d -1.3
Value62 · Δ7d +1.8
Sentiment38 · Δ7d +7.6
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +1.8.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Analyst coverage and target-count data are thin, limiting confidence in valuation and revision signals.
  • • Assortment, loyalty, digital, and merchandise-planning initiatives have limited validation and delayed benefit timing.
  • • Q1 sales fell 6.0%, comparable sales fell 8.7%, gross margin declined 350 basis points, and adjusted EBITDA fell to $16.7 million from $27.3 million.

Catalyst clock

2026-09-09

Q2 FY26 earnings release scheduled

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
96
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-1.3
Δ21d
-2.6
Value
62
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.8
Δ21d
+1.6
Sentiment
38
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+7.6
Δ21d
+4.5
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 96.2 / Value 62.0 / Sentiment 38.3

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-04. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$23.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$18.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$14.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$335.9M
Beta
0.95
Shares Out
14.86M
P/E (TTM)
6.3
P/S (TTM)
0.35
P/FCF (TTM)
6.85
Rev YoY
-6.0%
EPS YoY
-58.8%
Gross Margin
+63.8%
Op Margin
+7.1%
Net Debt
$183.42M
Current Ratio
1.14
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data