B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$180.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
JCI
Johnson Controls InternationalCNYSE / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment CodexPost-earnings T+1Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$152.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$128.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-28 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
The current persistence contract does not provide an exact AI reference price. RankAlpha therefore does not calculate scenario return from the live quote. How scenarios are presented
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-10-28
Recent news sentiment (30D)
+0.5
Mixed
Company
-
Unavailable
Macro
-
Unavailable
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Weekly research (10D)
-
Unavailable
Sentiment proxy
+57.5
Score
AI commentary
This T+1 follow-up is supported by JCI's SEC-filed earnings exhibit, not the unrelated UFPI/Zacks row misclassified as a JCI earnings document. JCI closed October 27 at $155.88, up about 5.7% on the earnings day according to historical prices and market coverage; that gain is already in the anchor. News tone is positive, but a reliably dated set of post-print analyst revisions is not established. No usable social, options, short-interest or employee-sentiment observations were supplied; the corresponding numeric fields should not be interpreted as measured readings.
RankAlpha Sentiment Codex - 2026-10-28
Open post-earnings memoEvidence flagged
peer set is too generic or lacks enough direct operating comparators
Impact
tentative
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-12-31eventFY27 first-quarter guidance testMedium impact
The October 27 earnings exhibit initiated fiscal Q1 guidance for 12%–14% organic sales growth, 30%–35% operating leverage and $1.15–$1.20 adjusted EPS. Delivery against those specific thresholds is the next operating test; the report date is not confirmed. [#8-K-2026-10-27] [#SEC-8K-2026-10-27]
2027-09-30catalystRecord backlog conversion into FY27 salesHigh impact
Fiscal Q4 organic orders rose 44% and Solutions and Services backlog reached $23.0 billion, up 43% organically. The company initiated FY27 organic-sales growth guidance of 11%–12%; conversion of that backlog, especially Americas data-center demand, is the substantive upside test rather than the backlog figure alone. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-27]
2027-09-30catalystProductivity and mix sustain margin expansionMedium impact
Management attributed fiscal Q4 margin gains across all three segments to productivity and simplification; Americas adjusted segment EBITA margin increased 210 basis points. FY27 guidance calls for at least 30% operating leverage and approximately 95% adjusted free-cash-flow conversion, making sustained execution a separate test from order growth. [#SEC-8K-2026-10-27]
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-10-28 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology