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JCAP

Jefferson CapitalD
Nasdaq / Financial Services
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2026-06-02
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2026-05-15
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Earnings documents stored for JCAP.

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Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-15

Jefferson Capital Inc (JCAP) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Highlights: Record Collections and Revenue ...

GuruFocus.com

This article first appeared on GuruFocus. Revenue: $176 million, up 14% year-over-year. Collections: $310 million, up 19% year-over-year. Estimated Remaining Collections (ERC): $3.4 billion, up 18% year-over-year. Cash Efficiency Ratio: 73% for the quarter. Adjusted EPS: $0.73 for the quarter. Operating Expenses: $96 million, up 47% year-over-year. Adjusted Pre-Tax Income: $58 million, with an adjusted pre-tax IOE of 50.8%. Adjusted Cash EBITDA: $235 million, up 12% year-over-year. Net Debt to Adjusted Cash EBITDA: Improved to 1.79 times. Quarterly Dividend: $0.24 per share, representing a 4.6% annualized yield. Portfolio Purchases: $150 million for the quarter. Warning! GuruFocus has detected 2 Warning Signs with KLC. Is JCAP fairly valued? Test your thesis with our free DCF calculator. Release Date: May 14, 2026 For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript. Jefferson Capital Inc (NASDAQ:JCAP) reported record collections of $310 million, a 19% increase compared to the prior-year period. Revenue for the quarter reached a record $176 million, up 14% year-over-year. The company achieved a sector-leading cash efficiency ratio of 73%, driven by strong collections from recent portfolio purchases. Estimated remaining collections grew 18% to $3.4 billion, indicating strong future cash flow potential. The company's leverage improved to 1.79 times, positioning it well for future growth and strategic opportunities. Operating expenses increased by 47% year-over-year, primarily due to growth in collections. Court costs rose significantly by 86% year-over-year, reflecting increased legal channel volumes. The company's portfolio purchases for the quarter were $150 million, down from $175 million in the first quarter of 2025. The level of personal savings among consumers is substantially lower than pre-pandemic averages, potentially impacting future consumer liquidity. There is a pronounced increase in insolvencies in both the United States and Canada, which could pose challenges despite presenting opportunities. Q: Can you provide commentary on the visibility of future forward flow arrangements and whether you're seeing an expansion of sellers entering into flow deals? A: David Burton, CEO, explained that forward flow commitments increased by 28% from December 31 to March 31, reflecting deeper client relationships and...

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-15

Jefferson Capital Reports First Quarter 2026 Results

GlobeNewswire

Record Quarterly Collections Grow 19% to $309.9 Million Estimated Remaining Collections (“ERC”) up 18% to $3.4 Billion Pre-tax Income of $51.1 Million with Net Income of $37.6 Million and EPS of $0.61 Adjusted Pre-tax Income of $58.4 Million with Adjusted Net Income of $44.9 Million and Adjusted EPS of $0.73 Board of Directors Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend of $0.24 per Share MINNEAPOLIS, May 14, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Jefferson Capital, Inc. (“Jefferson Capital”), a leading analytically driven purchaser and manager of charged-off, insolvency and active consumer accounts, today announced its first quarter 2026 financial results. “Jefferson Capital delivered excellent performance for the quarter with record collections and record revenue,” said David Burton, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer. “The strength of our business model with a differentiated investment strategy, disciplined underwriting and best-in-class efficiency positions us well to drive shareholder value now and in the future.” “The investment environment remains favorable: consumer credit is at near record levels across all asset classes with elevated delinquencies and charge-offs, which create a long runway for portfolio supply. At the same time, the unemployment rate remains low which supports collection performance on our existing book and allows us to confidently deploy capital. We have never been better positioned to take advantage of the opportunities ahead with low leverage and ample capital resources.” First Quarter 2026 Highlights (vs. First Quarter 2025) Record collections grew 19% to $309.9 million ERC rose 18% to $3.4 billion Record revenue up 14% to $176.4 million Sector-leading Cash Efficiency Ratio of 73.0% Leverage ratio* improved to 1.79x as compared to 2.17x Pre-tax Income of $51.1 million with Net Income of $37.6 million and EPS of $0.61 Adjusted Pre-tax Income* of $58.4 million with Adjusted Net Income* of $44.9 million and Adjusted EPS of $0.73 Collections The following table summarizes total collections by geographic area: Collections from purchased receivables increased 18.8% or $49.0 million to $309.9 million during the first quarter of 2026 versus $260.9 million during the same quarter in 2025 Collections in the United States included $54.5 million from the Bluestem portfolio purchase which closed in the fourth quarter of 2025 Estimated Remaining Collections The f...

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-15

Jefferson Capital, Inc. Common Stock Q1 2026 Earnings Call Summary

Moby

Our analysts just identified a stock with the potential to be the next Nvidia. Tell us how you invest and we'll show you why it's our #1 pick. Tap here. Record collections of $310 million were driven by strong 2024-2025 deployments and the successful integration of the Bluestem and Conn's portfolios. Management attributes the 73% cash efficiency ratio to a differentiated operating model that outsources commoditized call center functions while retaining high-value analytical and proprietary technology in-house. A strategic pivot toward accelerating legal channel collections is underway, utilizing process improvements to compress the time between account placement and lawsuit filing. The market environment is characterized by depleted consumer excess savings and elevated delinquencies, particularly in the auto finance sector where negative equity and extended loan terms are rising. The company maintains a unique competitive advantage in the insolvency market due to the specialized data sets and technological platforms required for Canadian and U.S. insolvency servicing. Portfolio performance remains resilient to labor market headwinds as management notes their liquidation rates are less sensitive to unemployment changes than those of original creditors. Management expects to collect $1.1 billion of the current $3.4 billion ERC balance over the next 12 months, with 52% of total ERC expected to be realized by 2027. To maintain current ERC levels, the company estimates a global deployment requirement of approximately $563 million over the next year, supported by $216 million already contracted via forward flows. Legal channel expenses are expected to remain at current elevated levels throughout the year to support the increased inventory of suit-eligible accounts generated by recent portfolio growth. The company plans to maintain its 2026 bonds until maturity to capitalize on the attractive 6% coupon, having already pre-funded the repayment with a 2025 unsecured issuance. Strategic capital allocation will prioritize portfolio purchases at attractive risk-adjusted returns, while maintaining a long-term target leverage ratio of 2.0x to 2.5x. The cash efficiency ratio was temporarily aided by the Bluestem and Conn's portfolios; excluding these, the core efficiency ratio stands at 68.1%. Core costs increased 86% year-over-year, reflecting the upfront investment requi...

TranscriptFY2026 Q12026-05-14

FY2026 Q1 earnings call transcript

Earnings source - 61 paragraphs
Operator

Good afternoon, and welcome to Jefferson Capital's Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Conference Call. With us today are David Burton, Founder and Chief Executive Officer, and Christo Realov, Chief Financial Officer. As a reminder, this conference call is being recorded. This call may contain forward-looking statements regarding the company's plans, initiatives, and strategies and the anticipated financial performance of the company, including, but not limited to, sales and profitability, expected benefits of the Bluestem acquisition, expectations on the market and macroeconomic factors, and expected collections and growth in certain collections. Such statements are based upon management's current expectations, projections, estimates, and assumptions. Words such as expect, believe, anticipate, think, outlook, hope, and variations of such words and similar expressions identify such forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements involve known risks and unknown risks and uncertainties that may cause future results to differ materially from those suggested by the forward-looking statements.

Operator

Such risks and uncertainties are further disclosed in the company's most recent filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Shareholders, potential investors, and other readers are urged to consider these factors carefully in evaluating the forward-looking statements made herein and are cautioned not to place undue reliance on such forward-looking statements. The company does not undertake to update the forward-looking statements except as required by law. Also, during this conference call, the company will be presenting certain non-GAAP financial measures. Reconciliations of the company's historical non-GAAP financial measures to their most directly comparable GAAP financial measures appear in today's earnings press release. Now I'll turn the call over to David Burton. Please go ahead.

David Burton

Thank you, operator, and thanks everyone for joining our investor call. Let's dive into our first quarter financial performance highlights. We again generated strong results for shareholders. We delivered record collections of $310 million, up 19% versus the prior year period, and we continued to perform well versus our underwriting expectations. Our estimated remaining collections grew 18% to $3.4 billion, driven by our continued deployment performance and attractive anticipated returns. Revenue for the quarter was a record $176 million, up 14% versus the prior year period. We delivered a sector-leading cash efficiency ratio of 73%, driven in part by strong collections from the Bluestem Brands and Conn's portfolio purchases.

David Burton

We generated strong cash flow in the quarter, which improved our leverage to 1.79 times, a level which positions us well for future growth and creates significant strategic optionality. Adjusted EPS for the quarter was $0.73. Turning to the next slide, I'd like to offer a brief market update and cover some of the macroeconomic indicators to provide better context for why we remain confident in the investment opportunity for our business. Delinquency trends remained elevated across all non-mortgage consumer asset classes and create favorable portfolio supply trends. An asset class we continue to watch closely is auto finance. Receivables have grown steadily to a record of $1.68 trillion, with an average monthly new vehicle loan payment of $806, up 52% compared to pre-pandemic as a result of higher vehicle prices and elevated interest rates.

David Burton

In March of 2026, nearly 1/3 of used vehicle trade-ins carried negative equity. In addition, 72-month loans accounted for 40.5% of all financed vehicle sales, and 84-month loans accounted for 12.8%. Continued strain on the consumer and deteriorating credit quality for originators, in some instances coupled with financing headwinds, all set the stage for increasing portfolio supply. We remain uniquely positioned to offer solutions across the spectrum of performing, charged off, and insolvency auto finance portfolios for both secured and unsecured accounts. The next important component to better understand the state of the consumer is the current level of personal savings. During the pandemic, consumers accumulated abnormally high savings as a result of the unprecedented levels of government stimulus, which served as a financial cushion against life's unexpected events.

David Burton

By the end of 2022, the excess savings had been depleted, and in fact, the current level of personal savings at $857 billion is substantially lower than the long-term pre-pandemic average from 2013 through 2019 of $1.1 trillion, a dynamic which is even more pronounced when adjusted for inflation. This suggests that consumers have a more limited ability to absorb unanticipated temporary financial hardships, which is an important driver for delinquency and charge-off volumes. Next, regarding the insolvency market, we have seen a well-pronounced increase in the number of insolvencies both in the U.S. and in Canada from the pandemic trough in 2021, which in turn has fueled the resurgence in supply of insolvency portfolios. Insolvency valuation and servicing requires highly specialized expertise, a robust data set to develop accurate forecasts, and a technologically advanced servicing platform.

David Burton

We remain one of the very few debt buyers in the U.S., and by far the largest debt buyer in Canada, that can capitalize on this market opportunity. Finally, this backdrop is also underpinned by a low level of unemployment, which supports the expected liquidation rates on our existing portfolio and gives us confidence in underwriting new purchases. Our portfolio performance is less sensitive to changes in unemployment compared to an originator. Despite the recent labor market headwinds, the overall employment level is still favorable for our business. All of these trends point in one direction, elevated levels of consumer delinquencies and charge-offs, which we're seeing across all consumer asset classes and which we believe create a long runway for a robust portfolio supply over the coming quarters, coupled with continued strong collection performance on our existing book and on any future portfolio purchases.

David Burton

Moving on, I'd like to review in more detail some of the key performance trends for the quarter. Our collections, as I mentioned, were $310 million, up 19% year-over-year, driven by strong deployments in 2024 and 2025. $54.5 million of collections for the quarter were attributable to the Bluestem portfolio purchase, and $31 million were attributable to the Conn's portfolio purchase. More broadly, our collection performance on the overall portfolio continues to reflect the accuracy of our underwriting models, and we did see the typical seasonal impact of tax refunds on consumer liquidity in the U.S. A key trend in collection performance has been the increase in legal channel collections.

David Burton

Jefferson Capital utilizes legal channel as a means of last resort in instances where we believe the account holder has the ability but not the willingness to engage or pay. We have achieved a number of important process improvements, specifically in the U.S., which have significantly compressed the timing from placement of the account to filing of the lawsuit, which in turn has accelerated suit volumes. This inventory of suit-eligible accounts has increased given the significant growth in deployments over the past three years. Over time, we expect to see continued growth in legal collections. Our portfolio purchases for the quarter were $150 million compared to $175 million in the first quarter of 2025. Returns remain attractive, and we remain confident in the deployment landscape.

David Burton

I will note that our deployments in the year-ago first quarter benefited from a $28.5 million insolvency back book purchase in Canada. More broadly, our business is subject to pronounced seasonality. The fourth quarter is typically the largest quarter for deployments as credit originators aim to dispose of non-performing portfolios ahead of year-end. Deployments tend to decelerate in the first quarter as portfolio sales activity declines as originators want to take advantage of consumer liquidity related to tax refunds in the U.S. As of March 31st, we had $353 million of deployments locked in through forward flows, which is an important building block of our deployment strategy for the coming quarters.

David Burton

Our estimated remaining collections as of March 31st were $3.4 billion, up 18% year-over-year, with ERC related to Bluestem and Conn's comprising $238 million and $105 million of U.S. distressed respectively. Our ERC is relatively short in duration, due in part to the lower average balance accounts in our portfolio, with 52% of our ERC expected to be collected through 2027. We expect to collect $1.1 billion of our March 31st ERC balance during the next 12 months. Based on the average purchase price multiples recorded in the first quarter, we'd need to deploy approximately $563 million globally over the same time frame to replace this runoff and maintain current ERC levels.

David Burton

I would note that as of March 31st, we had $216 million of deployments contracted via forward flows for the next 12 months. Lastly, I'd like to review in more detail another core pillar of our business model and a critical building block for our differentiated return profile, our best-in-class operating efficiency. We seek to own the high value-added aspects of the purchasing and collection process, including portfolio and consumer payment performance data, extensive analytical and modeling capabilities, certain proprietary technological capabilities, and the collection processes and techniques that we believe create both a competitive advantage for the company as well as a significant barrier to entry. Conversely, we seek to outsource the aspects of the collections value chain that we view as commoditized or operationally intensive and do not produce a competitive advantage, such as running large domestic call centers.

David Burton

We utilize champion challenger performance measures to allocate portfolio segments to the best servicers, and our internal collection platform competes for market share against external collection service providers. Our mostly variable cost structure provides flexibility to scale deployments depending on market conditions. The benefits of our relentless pursuit of operating efficiency are evident in our efficiency metrics relative to the rest of the sector. As I mentioned, our cash efficiency ratio for the quarter was 73%. It was aided by collections on the Bluestem and Conn's portfolios, which carry a lower cost to collect given the significant portion of paying accounts. Excluding Bluestem and Conn's portfolio collections and expenses, the cash efficiency ratio would have been 68.1%, which is also materially higher than other public companies in the sector.

David Burton

Our leading operating efficiency is a powerful competitive advantage and coupled with the strong returns of our differentiated investment strategy, supports consistent, attractive shareholder returns. With that, I'd now like to hand it over to Christo for a more detailed look at our financial results.

Christo Realov

Thank you, David. Taking a closer look at the financial details for the first quarter, revenue was $176 million, up 14% year-over-year, driven by continued strong deployments and higher net yields. Changes in recoveries were $7 million for the quarter, reflecting collection over performance in the U.S. related to the seasonal impact of tax refunds. Operating expenses were $96 million, up 47% year-over-year, with the increase due to the significant growth in collections. Expenses remain well controlled relative to the growth in collections, with our cash efficiency ratio at 73% for the quarter. Court costs increased to $17.3 million or 86% year-over-year as a result of the trends in increased legal channel volumes that David reviewed in his comments.

Christo Realov

This is an upfront expense to support future collections through the legal channel and the accelerated time to suit pulled forward these expenses. We expect court costs to remain at approximately this level given the increased inventory of suit-eligible accounts resulting from the significant overall portfolio growth over the past several years. Adjusted pre-tax income was $58 million for the quarter, resulting in an adjusted pre-tax ROE of 50.8%. We realized a material level of collections on portfolios purchased in 2024 and 2025, including the Bluestem and Conn's portfolio purchases, which in turn drove adjusted cash EBITDA to $235 million for the quarter, up 12% year-over-year. Finally, for the first quarter, Jefferson Capital re-recognized portfolio revenue of $15.3 million and net operating income of $7.9 million related to the Bluestem portfolio purchase.

Christo Realov

Separately, we recognized portfolio revenue of $11.2 million, servicing revenue of $1.2 million, and net operating income of $7.7 million related to the Conn's portfolio purchase. Our credit profile remains strong and positions us well for future opportunities. As of March 31st, our net debt to adjusted cash EBITDA improved to 1.79x, a level which is significantly lower than our publicly traded peers. Over the long term, our target leverage ratio is in the range of 2-2.5x on a sustained basis. Our balance sheet is solid with ample liquidity to support growth, create strategic optionality, and pay our quarterly dividend. On April 22nd, we completed an amendment of our senior secured revolving trade facility, increasing aggregate committed capital by $150 million-$1.15 billion.

Christo Realov

We added two new partners to the bank group, each committing $75 million. There were no material changes to terms. The facility had $254 million drawn at March 31st, and we have earmarked $300 million of capacity to repay our 2026 bonds. Given the maturity was fully prefunded with the $500 million unsecured issuance in 2025, at this point, we're not taking on any market risk. We plan to keep the bonds outstanding as long as possible to take advantage of the attractive 6% coupon. The strong liquidity profile is a critical component of our value proposition to sellers who value certainty of closing periods when portfolio activity increases, the funding markets could be constrained or unavailable. With regard to our capital allocation priorities, our primary focus remains on deploying capital to purchase portfolios at attractive risk-adjusted returns.

Christo Realov

Our board has declared a regular quarterly dividend of $0.24 per share, which represented a 4.6% annualized yield as of April month-end. The dividend offers an attractive component of shareholder return, which is not available from other public companies in the sector and also reinforces long-term discipline around investment returns. In conjunction with the follow-on equity offering in January, we also repurchased 3 million shares or approximately 5% of the total legal issued shares for $59 million. This was a tactical share repurchase where the company used its capital to support the offering and to further reduce the sponsor overhang. We will evaluate open market share repurchases at the appropriate time while also aiming to maintain trading liquidity in the stock. Finally, we have a long history of successful M&A, but we intend to remain disciplined and opportunistic.

Christo Realov

Now, we'll be happy to answer any questions that you may have. Operator, please open up the lines.

Operator

We will now begin the question and answer session. To ask a question, you may press star then one on your telephone keypad. If you are using a speakerphone, please pick up your handset before pressing the keys. To withdraw your question, please press star then two. At this time, we will pause momentarily to assemble our roster. Our first question today is from David Scharf with Citizens Capital Markets. Please go ahead.

David Scharf

Hey, good afternoon. Congrats on a strong start to the year. Thanks for taking my questions. David, appreciate the kind of the macro commentary. It's clearly kind of consistent with what we've heard from lenders during this reporting season. I'm wondering, though, as we think about the visibility of future forward flow arrangements, can you provide any commentary on, I guess, A, in addition to just how much is under contract, whether you're seeing an expansion of the number of sellers that are entering into flow deals? Secondly, you know, just based on your history and experience, if there is some increased macro pressure, whether through higher unemployment or whatnot, do you tend to see sellers enter into more flow deals or fewer? If you can just provide some context, maybe.

David Burton

Thanks for the question, David. I'll first start by, you know, commenting that our forward flow, our committed forward flows were up about 28% between 12/31 and 3/31. I think that reflects, you know, a number of factors, including, you know, deepening our client relationships. In some markets that are historically have been spot sale-oriented, working with clients to convince them to be a more programmatic seller and the advantages associated with that. To your point about the dynamic that might occur with sellers going more toward a forward flow orientation versus spot sale as it relates to things like unemployment, I, you know, my own experience has been that in an environment of rising prices, you tend to see sellers more interested in shorter term forward flows.

David Burton

In an environment where prices decrease, especially when that's connected to rising unemployment, that's when you see sellers try to de-risk future recoveries by locking in longer term forward flows. I suppose that's probably a dynamic that you would imagine would happen. At this moment, I don't think we're seeing any significant changes in sellers' appetite to really modify their, the percentage of their debt sales that are subject to a forward flow agreement versus spot sales. I don't know that there's been a market change that's, that at least I can discern.

David Scharf

Got it. No, that's helpful context. I think the close to 30% increase in flow dollars year-over-year kinda speaks for itself. Maybe just one follow-up question. Maybe it's more for Christo. As we think about sort of forecasting the efficiency ratio sort of near term, if we kind of exclude Conn's and Bluestem and think about that 68, low 68 as sort of the benchmark today. Does the increasing mix of legal collections, does the outsized growth of the legal channel inherently put a little downward pressure on the cost to collect Or I'm sorry, actually maybe downward pressure on that cash efficiency margin? I mean, as long as legal is growing as quickly as it should we be thinking about that 68.1 going up near term, or is it best to sort of keep it flat?

Christo Realov

I'll think of this in two ways. The company has had a history of constantly improving that underlying cost to collect and in turn the cash efficiency ratio through a very sort of broad range of cost savings and efficiency initiatives, and we continue to do that day in and day out. The mix of legal channel collections would not have a material impact. Keep in mind that the 68%, 68.1% kind of adjusted cash efficiency ratio to exclude Conn's and Bluestem already includes the current level of court costs. We believe, as I said in the prepared remarks, that those will remain relatively stable over the course of the year.

David Scharf

Got it. Thank you very much.

Operator

The next question is from Robert Dodd with Raymond James. Please go ahead.

Robert Dodd

Hi guys, congrats on the quarter. First following up on kind of the legal thing to you point, Christo. I mean, you already indicated you expect the legal expenses to stay at kind of this level through the course of this year. I mean, just not asking about 2028, I think, but when we think about how much portfolio has been acquired or ERC has been acquired, the increased amount of legal eligible accounts, et cetera, all the things you've outlined. I mean, is this year the elevated court costs enough to kind of run through the increase of the number of eligible accounts?

Robert Dodd

Is there still, do you think, gonna be a kind of a, lack of a better word, a backlog even when you get to the end of the year and these elevated expenses could stay there for some extended period of time beyond just the next nine months?

David Burton

Yeah. A good question, Robert. I do. It's a complicated question because what we don't know is what we're gonna buy for the rest of this year and how much of that will be expected to be legal eligible, legal profitable that would where the timing would be optimized by having that litigated next year. I think we're careful to not comment on things that are beyond our horizon, which is harder for us to anticipate. I do wanna flag, though, that when we underwrite portfolios, we anticipate the volume and timing of accounts that are to be litigated, and that cost is embedded in our, in the, you know, our pricing and the net IRRs.

David Burton

You know, we're deploying capital obviously at attractive returns and the timing for, the incurrence of court costs, you know, matters on our P&L. What matters most to us, of course, is that we generate attractive cash on cash returns, and those are determined at the time of the purchase.

Robert Dodd

Understood. Understood. Thank you. Just on the purchase volume, I mean, obviously Q1, I mean, you mentioned obviously Canada had a tough comp 'cause you got a lot of purchase volume last year. The U.S. didn't have a tough comp per se. Yes, it's seasonal, understood, like Q4 to Q1 isn't necessarily right comp, but Q1 to Q1 last year. Was there anything unusual about the volumes or the sellers this quarter? I mean, did people, you know Is there any slippage, I guess, is I'm kinda asking. Like, did things spill over into Q2 without asking for a number? I mean, just it did look a little in the U.S., a little softer than I expected. One quarter is not a trend, but I'm just trying to get a feel on how that shook out.

David Burton

Yeah. Thanks for the question. I will highlight that, you know, we've had, you know, good growth in deployments in a number of areas, including, you know, LATAM and the U.K. I also want to make sure that you don't derive any level of concern regarding the robustness of deployment opportunities in the U.S. I would not discern from the first quarter in any kind of year-over-year comparison that we feel anything but confidence in the deployment opportunities in the U.S.

David Burton

You know, we've not been in a better position, with more clients and more asset classes and more capabilities across performing, charge-off and insolvency portfolios that we feel. The backdrop of the consumers being under increasing levels of pressure, that certainly provides a favorable backdrop as we think about deployments in the U.S. this year.

Robert Dodd

Got it. Thank you.

Operator

The next question is from Randy Binner with Texas Capital. Please go ahead.

Randy Binner

Hey, I just have this is super helpful disclosure. Appreciate it. On the revolver, was it $250 that was drawn overall, Christo? I just didn't catch that part of your commentary.

Christo Realov

$254 million was drawn. Yeah.

Randy Binner

254. Okay, cool. Yeah, I guess I'll try to ask the looking into the future question a little bit higher level is just, you know, just with larger, bulkier opportunities. Are there, you know, with your commentary of the market and particularly with auto and the opportunities that are coming in, is it possible to just take a little bit more look or commentary into larger potential deals that could be out there?

David Burton

Let's see how to answer that without making a forward-looking statement. I guess I'll go back to the comments that I provided earlier about just the level of indebtedness in auto in particular. And the delinquency trends, which are more pronouncedly higher in auto than they are in other asset classes, but they're also elevated in other asset classes. The backdrop is favorable. Whether that results in large, medium or small opportunities, I think, all indicators point to, you know, all of the above. Any specific, you know, transactions and sizes, you know, they're done sort of one at a time. Our goal obviously is building client relationships to so that we're in a position to add that value.

David Burton

As the dynamic is such that, it's hard to know the timing and the size of, you know, very far in advance, of those opportunities being presented to us, or as we cultivate them. I do realize that, you know, we do large transactions and, frankly, we like all transactions, whether they're large, medium or small, as we cultivate stronger relationships with our clients and make ourselves and capital available whenever their needs arise or as they seek to optimize their profitability.

David Burton

I realize this is not really what you were hoping for, but I think it paints hopefully, at least the perspective that we take in kind of continually expanding our pipeline of opportunities and deepening our client relationships so that as large opportunities or small opportunities become available, that we're in the right position to execute and be aware of them.

Randy Binner

I appreciate the response. And there's one other one, I guess, on the just your regular way business, the smaller, you know, the smaller accounts that come in. Do you all disclose like a transaction count per quarter? If I missed that, I apologize. Are you getting like a higher volume of like smaller deals, or is it a lower volume of somewhat-

Christo Realov

Um-

Randy Binner

Just kind of like the data, you know, the kind of the regular week in, week out transactions that you see.

Christo Realov

Yeah, look, we do not disclose any sort of transaction count. We have commented previously that we purchase 50-70 portfolios a month.

Randy Binner

Yeah.

Christo Realov

That the average transaction size tends to be kind of in the less than a million sort of area, right? If that's helpful. The other thing we have commented on is that historically, you know, over approximately 50% of our deployments are coming in through forward flow purchases, right? It'll be 50-70 portfolios. About half of them are coming into forward flows and the rest is spot purchases. That excludes the sort of the large episodic transactions that we did in 2024 and 2025.

Randy Binner

All right. Got it. Thanks, thanks for the answers.

David Burton

Of course.

Operator

The next question is from Yuna Sohn with Jefferies. Please go ahead.

Yuna Sohn

Hello. Thanks for taking my question. We see from earlier competitors' earnings announcement that there's some positive momentum in the overall space. wanted to hear what you have seen about any interest rates from the competitors, any changes in dynamic and especially when it comes to changes in interest in non-credit card space receivable. Thank you.

David Burton

Yeah. Thanks for the question. I think I'll start off that answer by speaking about what we're seeing in terms of sort of the level of competition. I would say that pricing has continued to be stable and attractive. That's really true across all, you know, asset classes and also insolvency and charge-offs. Then with respect to the various sectors that we play in, I think it's, I think if there is a trend and it's that there are more sellers today than there were a year or two ago, and that includes, you know, auto and telecom and installment loan, and even, I would say, credit card as well. I think there's a broad trend of there being more comfort and understanding for the profit optimizing option that debt sales offer credit grantors.

Yuna Sohn

Got it. Thank you. Just going back to the investment in the legal channels, with the upfront investments that you're making, would it make sense for you to expand your market to be looking into higher balance receivables down the line? Would that be kind of a consideration for you?

David Burton

Yes. Thanks for that question. You're right, it is an important capability to have both an effective, you know, voluntary channel or as well as a legal channel to support, you know, really all balance ranges, but particularly higher balance ranges, which often require greater percentage of a portfolio to result in the legal channel. We feel like we have that capability today. Oftentimes the higher balance prime originated credit card portfolios don't meet our return thresholds. That is much less a function of like a capacity or capability and more a function of really market pricing mechanism. We're completely capable and, you know, certainly interested in higher balance portfolios as well.

David Burton

I do suspect that, you know, over time, it is, you know, possible that, you know, a higher percentage of our deployments in the future could be from higher balance portfolios, as that dynamic, potentially, you know, changes.

Yuna Sohn

Great. Thank you so much.

Operator

This concludes our question and answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to David Burton for any closing remarks.

David Burton

Thank you very much. Looking forward, we're excited about the growth prospects of our business for the remainder of this year and beyond. We've built an outstanding platform over the past 23 years, and we're in a great position to capitalize on opportunities as the market continues to evolve. Thank you all for joining us today, and we look forward to providing another update on our second quarter earnings call.

Operator

The conference is now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-05-01

Jefferson Capital to Announce First Quarter 2026 Results

GlobeNewswire

MINNEAPOLIS, April 30, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Jefferson Capital, Inc. (NASDAQ: JCAP) (“Jefferson Capital”), a leading analytically driven purchaser and manager of charged-off, insolvency and active consumer accounts, today announced that it will release financial results for the first quarter 2026 after the market close on Thursday, May 14, followed by a webcast at 5:00 pm Eastern Time that day to discuss the Company’s results. The live webcast and archived replay can be accessed in the investor relations section of the Company's website at https://investors.jcap.com/news-events/events. About Jefferson Capital, Inc. Founded in 2002, Jefferson Capital is an analytically driven purchaser and manager of charged-off, insolvency and active consumer accounts with operations in the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom and Latin America. It purchases and services both secured and unsecured assets, and its growing client base includes Fortune 500 creditors, banks, fintech origination platforms, telecommunications providers, credit card issuers and auto finance companies. Jefferson Capital is headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota with additional offices and operations located in Sartell, Minnesota, Denver, Colorado and San Antonio, Texas (United States); Basingstoke, England, London, England and Paisley, Scotland (United Kingdom); London, Ontario and Toronto, Ontario (Canada); as well as Bogota (Colombia). Contacts: Investor Relations [email protected]

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-03-13

Jefferson Capital Reports Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Results

GlobeNewswire

Record Quarterly Collections Grow 41% to $245.3 Million and Record Deployments Grow 6% to $380.5 Million Fourth Quarter Pre-tax Income up 50% to $44.1 Million with Net Income of $37.7 Million and EPS of $0.58 Fourth Quarter Adjusted Pre-tax Income up 15% to $51.1 Million with Adjusted Net Income of $44.7 Million and Adjusted EPS of $0.69 Board of Directors Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend of $0.24 per Share MINNEAPOLIS, March 12, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Jefferson Capital, Inc. (“Jefferson Capital”), a leading analytically driven purchaser and manager of charged-off, insolvency and active consumer accounts, today announced its fourth quarter and full year 2025 financial results. “We finished the year with record collections, deployments and estimated remaining collections, or ERC - exceptional performance across all key operating aspects of the business,” said David Burton, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer. “We feel confident in our momentum going into 2026 as we continue to focus on driving profitable growth and maximizing shareholder value.” “The Bluestem portfolio purchase closed on December 4th, and we believe the transaction solidifies our leadership position as a strategic acquirer of a wide spectrum of dislocated consumer credit assets. We are pleased with portfolio performance to date and expect Bluestem to be a meaningful contributor to our financial results in 2026.” “Following quarter end, we executed a follow-on equity offering, which reduced the ownership of J.C. Flowers to 53% and substantially increased our float and liquidity. The company repurchased $58.9 million of stock to support that transaction.” Fourth Quarter 2025 Highlights (vs. Fourth Quarter 2024) Record collections grew 41% to $245.3 million Record deployments up 6% to $380.5 million Record ERC rose 23% reaching $3.4 billion Record revenue up 30% to $154.8 million Sector-leading Cash Efficiency Ratio of 71.0% Leverage ratio* improved to 1.82x as compared to 2.72x Pre-tax Income up 50% to $44.1 million with Net Income of $37.7 million and EPS of $0.58 Adjusted Pre-tax Income* increased 15% to $51.1 million Adjusted Net Income* of $44.7 million, and Adjusted EPS of $0.69 Full Year 2025 Highlights (vs. Full Year 2024) Collections grew 71% to $998.7 million Deployments up 15% to $832.1 million Strong revenue growth of 42% to $613.3 million Sector-leading Cash Efficiency Ratio of 7...

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-03-13

Jefferson Capital, Inc. (JCAP) Reports Q4 Earnings: What Key Metrics Have to Say

Zacks

For the quarter ended December 2025, Jefferson Capital, Inc. (JCAP) reported revenue of $154.8 million, representing no change compared to the same period last year. EPS came in at $0.58, compared to $0 in the year-ago quarter. The reported revenue compares to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $158.49 million, representing a surprise of -2.33%. The company delivered an EPS surprise of -18.31%, with the consensus EPS estimate being $0.71. While investors scrutinize revenue and earnings changes year-over-year and how they compare with Wall Street expectations to determine their next move, some key metrics always offer a more accurate picture of a company's financial health. As these metrics influence top- and bottom-line performance, comparing them to the year-ago numbers and what analysts estimated helps investors project a stock's price performance more accurately. Here is how Jefferson Capital, Inc. performed in the just reported quarter in terms of the metrics most widely monitored and projected by Wall Street analysts: Total Collections: $245.3 million versus the two-analyst average estimate of $238.25 million. Revenues- Servicing revenue: $9.06 million versus the two-analyst average estimate of $9.46 million. Revenues- Total portfolio revenue: $144 million versus the two-analyst average estimate of $147.35 million. View all Key Company Metrics for Jefferson Capital, Inc. here>>> Shares of Jefferson Capital, Inc. have returned -5.9% over the past month versus the Zacks S&P 500 composite's -2.3% change. The stock currently has a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold), indicating that it could perform in line with the broader market in the near term. Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report Jefferson Capital, Inc. (JCAP) : Free Stock Analysis Report This article originally published on Zacks Investment Research (zacks.com). Zacks Investment Research

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-03-13

Jefferson Capital (JCAP) Earnings Transcript

Motley Fool

Image source: The Motley Fool. Thursday, March 12, 2026 at 5 p.m. ET Chief Executive Officer — David Burton Chief Financial Officer — Christo Realov Need a quote from a Motley Fool analyst? Email [email protected] David Burton: Thank you, operator, and thanks, everyone, for joining our investor call. On January 9, we completed our first follow-on offering post IPO, which substantially improved our float and liquidity and reduced the J.C. Flowers ownership to 53%. I'd like to welcome our new investors to the call. We appreciate your support, and we look forward to delivering on the investment thesis we laid out in the road show. Let's dive into our fourth quarter financial performance highlights. We again generated strong results for shareholders. We delivered record collections at $245 million, up 41% versus the prior year period, and we continued to perform well on our underwriting expectations. We generated record deployments with $381 million invested, up 6% versus the fourth quarter of 2024, which had also been a record quarter. Our estimated remaining collections also reached a new record at $3.4 billion, up 23% year-over-year, driven by our continued deployment performance and attractive anticipated returns. Revenue for the quarter was a record $155 million, up 30% versus the prior year period. We delivered a sector-leading cash efficiency ratio of 71%, driven in part by strong collections from the Conn's portfolio purchase. Adjusted EPS for the quarter was $0.69. The previously announced Bluestem portfolio purchase closed on December 4, and we believe the transaction solidifies our leadership position as a strategic acquirer of a wide spectrum of dislocated consumer credit portfolios. We're pleased with the portfolio's performance to date and expect Bluestem to be a meaningful contributor to our financial results in 2026. Next, I'd like to offer a brief market update and cover some of the macroeconomic indicators to provide better context for why we remain confident in the investment opportunity for our business. I'll start with delinquency trends, which remain elevated across all nonmortgage consumer asset classes and create favorable portfolio supply trends. An important component to better understand the state of the consumer is the current level of personal savings. During the pandemic, consumers accumulated abnormally high savings as a result of the un...

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-03-13

Jefferson Capital, Inc. Common Stock Q4 2025 Earnings Call Summary

Moby

Record collections of $245 million were driven by strong deployments in 2023 and 2024, alongside the integration of the Conn's and Bluestem portfolios. Management attributes the favorable supply environment to elevated non-mortgage consumer delinquencies and the depletion of pandemic-era excess savings. The company maintains a sector-leading cash efficiency ratio of 71%, supported by a variable cost structure that outsources operationally intensive call center functions. Strategic focus on the insolvency market in the U.S. and Canada provides a competitive moat due to the specialized data and technological requirements for servicing. Legal channel collections are accelerating due to internal process improvements that compressed the time from account placement to filing suits. The business model is less sensitive to unemployment fluctuations than originators, as charge-offs are typically triggered by individual life events rather than macro shifts. Diversification across geographies and asset classes has widened the funnel for evaluating dislocated consumer credit portfolios. Management expects to collect $1.1 billion of the current $3.4 billion ERC balance within the next 12 months, reflecting a short-duration portfolio. To maintain current ERC levels, the company needs to deploy approximately $582 million globally over the next year, with $225 million already contracted via forward flows. The Bluestem portfolio is expected to become a meaningful contributor to financial results starting in 2026 following the completion of servicer transitions. Future efficiency ratios are expected to revert toward the high 60s as the high-margin Conn's and Bluestem portfolios naturally run off. The company has earmarked $300 million of its $1 billion credit facility to repay its 2026 bonds in May 2026, though it currently plans to keep the bonds outstanding as long as possible to benefit from the 6% coupon. A tactical share repurchase of 3 million shares was executed in January to support the follow-on offering and reduce sponsor overhang from J.C. Flowers. Court costs increased 86% year-over-year to $17.7 million, representing an upfront investment to support future legal channel recoveries. The company established a target leverage ratio of 2.0x to 2.5x net debt to adjusted cash EBITDA on a sustained basis. Seasonality remains a factor, with Q4 typically seeing peak deplo...

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-03-13

Jefferson Capital Inc (JCAP) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Highlights: Record Collections and Revenue ...

GuruFocus.com

This article first appeared on GuruFocus. Revenue: $155 million, up 30% year over year. Collections: $245 million, up 41% year over year. Deployments: $381 million, up 6% versus Q4 2024. Estimated Remaining Collections (ERC): $3.4 billion, up 23% year over year. Cash Efficiency Ratio: 71% for the quarter. Adjusted EPS: $0.69 for the quarter. Operating Expenses: $84 million, up 30% year over year. Court Costs: $17.7 million, up 86% year over year. Adjusted Pre-tax Income: $51 million, up 15% year over year. Adjusted Cash EBITDA: $178 million, up 34% year over year. Net Debt to Adjusted Cash EBITDA: 1.9 times as of December 31. Quarterly Dividend: $0.24 per share, 4.7% annualized yield. Warning! GuruFocus has detected 4 Warning Sign with JCAP. Is JCAP fairly valued? Test your thesis with our free DCF calculator. Release Date: March 12, 2026 For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript. Jefferson Capital Inc (NASDAQ:JCAP) reported record collections of $245 million for the fourth quarter, marking a 41% increase compared to the previous year. The company achieved record deployments of $381 million, up 6% from the fourth quarter of 2024. Revenue for the quarter reached a record $155 million, representing a 30% increase year over year. The Bluestem portfolio purchase is expected to be a significant contributor to financial results in 2026, solidifying JCAP's leadership in acquiring dislocated consumer credit portfolios. JCAP's cash efficiency ratio was sector-leading at 71%, driven by strong collections from recent portfolio purchases. Operating expenses increased by 30% year over year, matching the revenue growth, which could impact future profitability. Court costs rose by 86% year over year due to increased legal channel volumes, indicating higher upfront expenses. The company's business is subject to pronounced seasonality, with deployments typically peaking in the fourth quarter and slowing in the first quarter. The level of personal savings among consumers is substantially lower than pre-pandemic averages, which could impact consumer financial stability. JCAP's reliance on forward flow agreements, which may not always meet return targets, could pose a risk if market conditions change. Q: How do macroeconomic factors like employment and energy costs affect Jefferson Capital's purchasing environment? A: Da...

TranscriptFY2025 Q42026-03-12

FY2025 Q4 earnings call transcript

Earnings source - 55 paragraphs
Operator

Good afternoon, and welcome to Jefferson Capital's Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Conference Call. With us today are David Burton, Founder and Chief Executive Officer; and Christo Realov, Chief Financial Officer. As a reminder, this conference call is being recorded. This call may contain forward-looking statements regarding the company's plans, initiatives and strategies and the anticipated financial performance of the company, including, but not limited to, sales and profitability, expected benefits of the Bluestem acquisition, expectations on the market and macroeconomic factors, and expected collections and growth in certain collections. Such statements are based upon management's current expectations, projections, estimates, and assumptions. Words such as expect, believe, anticipate, think, outlook, hope, and variations of such words and similar expressions identify such forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that may cause future results to differ materially from those suggested by the forward-looking statements. Such risks and uncertainties are further disclosed in the company's most recent filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Shareholders, potential investors, and other readers are urged to consider these factors carefully in evaluating the forward-looking statements made herein and are cautioned not to place undue reliance on such forward-looking statements. The company does not undertake to update the forward-looking statements, except as required by law. Also, during this conference call, the company will be presenting certain non-GAAP financial measures. Reconciliations of the company's historical non-GAAP financial measures to their most directly comparable GAAP financial measures appear in today's earnings press release. And now I'll turn the call over to David Burton.

David Burton

Thank you, operator, and thanks, everyone, for joining our investor call. On January 9, we completed our first follow-on offering post IPO, which substantially improved our float and liquidity and reduced the J.C. Flowers ownership to 53%. I'd like to welcome our new investors to the call. We appreciate your support, and we look forward to delivering on the investment thesis we laid out in the road show. Let's dive into our fourth quarter financial performance highlights. We again generated strong results for shareholders. We delivered record collections at $245 million, up 41% versus the prior year period, and we continued to perform well on our underwriting expectations. We generated record deployments with $381 million invested, up 6% versus the fourth quarter of 2024, which had also been a record quarter. Our estimated remaining collections also reached a new record at $3.4 billion, up 23% year-over-year, driven by our continued deployment performance and attractive anticipated returns. Revenue for the quarter was a record $155 million, up 30% versus the prior year period. We delivered a sector-leading cash efficiency ratio of 71%, driven in part by strong collections from the Conn's portfolio purchase. Adjusted EPS for the quarter was $0.69. The previously announced Bluestem portfolio purchase closed on December 4, and we believe the transaction solidifies our leadership position as a strategic acquirer of a wide spectrum of dislocated consumer credit portfolios. We're pleased with the portfolio's performance to date and expect Bluestem to be a meaningful contributor to our financial results in 2026. Next, I'd like to offer a brief market update and cover some of the macroeconomic indicators to provide better context for why we remain confident in the investment opportunity for our business. I'll start with delinquency trends, which remain elevated across all nonmortgage consumer asset classes and create favorable portfolio supply trends. An important component to better understand the state of the consumer is the current level of personal savings. During the pandemic, consumers accumulated abnormally high savings as a result of the unprecedented levels of government stimulus, which served as a financial cushion against life's unexpected events. By the end of 2022, the excess savings had been depleted. And in fact, the current level of personal savings at $831 billion is substantially lower than the long-term prepandemic average from 2013 to 2019 of $1.1 trillion, which is -- which becomes even more pronounced when adjusted for inflation. This suggests that consumers have a more limited ability to absorb unanticipated temporary financial hardships, which is an important driver for delinquency and charge-off volumes. Next, regarding the insolvency market, we've seen a well-pronounced increase in the number of insolvencies, both in the U.S. and in Canada from the pandemic trough in 2021, which in turn has fueled the resurgence in supply of insolvency portfolios. Insolvency valuation and servicing requires highly specialized expertise, a robust data set to develop accurate forecasts, and a technologically advanced servicing platform. And we remain one of the very few debt buyers in the U.S. and by far, the largest debt buyer in Canada that can take advantage of this market opportunity. Finally, this backdrop is also underpinned by a low level of unemployment, which supports the expected liquidation rates on our existing portfolio and gives us confidence in underwriting new purchases. Our portfolio performance is less sensitive to changes in unemployment compared to an originator. And despite the recent negative surprise on unemployment, current employment levels are still very favorable for our business. All of these trends point in one direction, elevated levels of consumer delinquencies and charge-offs, which we're seeing across all consumer asset classes and which we believe create a long runway for a robust portfolio supply over the coming quarters, coupled with strong collection performance on our existing book and on any future portfolio purchases. Next, I'll review our outstanding 2025 performance in the context of our long-term financial results, starting with 2019 as a prepandemic full-year reference. We have successfully navigated credit cycle fluctuations, changing market dynamics, and evolving regulatory framework, and a global pandemic, while continuously improving our financial performance through a combination of sustained growth and acute focus on returns. We delivered a 27% revenue compounded annual growth rate, a 37% net operating income compounded annual growth rate, and a 43% net income compounded annual growth rate from 2019 through 2025, showcasing our growth trajectory, efficiency improvements, and the profitability of the business. I believe there are very few debt buyers globally who can demonstrate this level of profitability and recurring growth through changing market and economic conditions. I'd also observe that Jefferson Capital is much better positioned today to take advantage of opportunities relative to earlier periods in our history. We have a much more scaled operation and are much more broadly diversified both geographically and across asset classes, which allow us to evaluate a substantially wider funnel of opportunities. We also have a more sophisticated collection capabilities today and a lower cost to collect, which in turn should further improve our net returns. And today, we have a much more robust funding structure with proven access to both the banks and the unsecured debt capital markets at an attractive borrowing cost. Simply put, Jefferson Capital is in a solid position to continue to deliver on its outstanding financial track record in the coming years and to build shareholder value. Moving on, I'd like to review in more detail some key performance trends for the quarter. Our collections, as I mentioned, were $245 million, up 41% year-over-year, driven by strong deployments in 2023 and 2024. The Conn's portfolio purchase represented $36 million of collections for the quarter and the Bluestem portfolio, which closed on December 4, represented $14 million. We've completed all necessary servicer transitions for Bluestem and the portfolio is performing according to expectations. More broadly, our collection performance on the overall portfolio continues to reflect the accuracy of our underwriting models. A key trend in collection performance has been the increase in legal channel collections. Jefferson Capital utilizes the legal channel as a means of last resort in instances where we believe the account holder has the ability but not the willingness to engage or pay. We have achieved a number of important process improvements, specifically in the United States, which have significantly compressed the timing from placement of the account to filing of the suit, which in turn has accelerated suit volumes. The inventory of suit-eligible accounts has increased given the significant growth in deployments over the past 3 years. So over time, we expect to see continued growth in legal collections. Our portfolio purchases for the quarter were $381 million, up 6% despite the fourth quarter of 2024, including the Conn's portfolio purchase. Returns remain attractive, and we remain confident in the deployment landscape. As of December 31, we had $274 million of deployments locked in through forward flows, which is an important building block of our deployment strategy for the coming quarters. I will note that our business is subject to pronounced seasonality. The fourth quarter is typically the largest quarter for deployments as credit originators aim to dispose of nonperforming portfolios ahead of year-end. Deployments then tend to decelerate in the first quarter as portfolio sales activity declines as originators want to take advantage of consumer liquidity related to tax refunds in the United States. Our estimated remaining collections as of December 31 were $3.4 billion, up 23% year-over-year with ERC related to Conn's and Bluestem comprising $140 million and $296 million of our U.S. distressed ERC, respectively. Our ERC is relatively short in duration due in part to the lower average account balances in our portfolio with 58% expected to be collected through 2027. We expect to collect $1.1 billion of our December 31 ERC balance during the next 12 months. Based on the average purchase price multiples recorded in 2025, we would need to deploy approximately $582 million globally over the same time frame to replace this runoff and maintain current ERC levels. I would note that as of December 31, we had $225 million of deployments contracted via forward flows for the next 12 months. Lastly, I'd like to review in more detail another core pillar of our business model and a critical building block of our differentiated return profile, our best-in-class operating efficiency. We seek to own the high value-added aspects of the purchasing and collection process, including portfolio and consumer payment performance data, extensive analytical and modeling capabilities, certain proprietary technological capabilities, and the collection process and techniques that we believe create both a competitive advantage for the company as well as a significant barrier to entry. In contrast, we seek to outsource the aspects of the collection value chain that we view as commoditized or operationally intensive and do not produce a competitive advantage, such as running large domestic call centers. We utilize Champion-Challenger performance measures, allocate portfolio segments to the best servicers, and our internal collection platform competes for market share against external collection service providers. Our mostly variable cost structure provides flexibility to scale deployments depending on market conditions. The benefits of our relentless pursuit of operating efficiency are evident in our efficiency metrics relative to the rest of the sector. As I mentioned, our cash efficiency ratio for the quarter was 71%. It was aided by the collections on the Conn's portfolio, which carry lower cost to collect given the significant portion of paying accounts in the Conn's portfolio and to a lesser extent, the Bluestem portfolio, which benefited the month of December. Excluding the Conn's and Bluestem portfolio collections and expenses, the cash efficiency ratio would have been 68%, which remains materially higher than other public companies in the sector. Our leading operating efficiency is a powerful competitive advantage and coupled with the strong returns on our differentiated investment strategy supports consistent, attractive shareholder returns. With that, I would now like to hand the call over to Christo for a more detailed look at our financial results.

Christo Realov

Thank you, David. Taking a closer look at the financial details for the fourth quarter. Revenue was $155 million, up 30% year-over-year, driven by continued strong deployments and higher net yields. Changes in recoveries were $0 million for the quarter, reflecting the accuracy of our modeling and our execution against our underwritten forecast. Operating expenses were $84 million, up 30% year-over-year compared to an increase in collections of 41%. Court costs increased to $17.7 million, or 86% year-over-year, as a result of the trends in the increased legal channel volumes that David reviewed in his comments. This is an upfront expense to support future collections through the legal channel and the accelerated time to suit pulled forward these expenses. We expect core costs to remain at this level given the increased inventory of suit-eligible accounts resulting from the significant overall portfolio growth over the past several years. Adjusted pretax income was $51 million for the quarter, up 15% year-over-year, resulting in adjusted pretax ROE of 44.8%. We realized a material level of collections on portfolios purchased in 2023 and '24, including the Conn's portfolio purchase, which in turn drove adjusted cash EBITDA to $178 million for the quarter, up 34% year-over-year. Finally, for the fourth quarter, Jefferson Capital recognized portfolio revenue of $15.5 million, servicing revenue of $1.3 million, and net operating income of $10.7 million related to the Conn's portfolio purchase. Separately, we recognized portfolio revenue of $5.4 million and net operating income of $2.5 million related to the Bluestem portfolio purchase, which closed on December 4. Moving on to the full year results. We delivered strong performance in 2025, while setting several important operating milestones by recording the highest annual collections, deployments in ERC in the company's 23-year history. That performance in turn drove record revenue, net operating income, adjusted pretax income, and adjusted cash EBITDA. Our cash efficiency ratio for 2025 was 74%. And excluding the Conn's and Bluestem portfolio collections and expenses, the ratio would have been 69.7%. Our credit profile remains strong and positions us well for future opportunities. As of December 31, our net debt to adjusted cash EBITDA improved to 1.9x, a level which is significantly lower than our publicly traded peers. Over the long term, our target leverage ratio is in the range of 2x to 2.5x on a sustained basis. Our balance sheet is solid with ample liquidity to support growth, create strategic optionality, and pay our quarterly dividend. On October 27, we completed an amendment of our senior secured revolving credit facility, which achieved a number of capital structure objectives and substantially improved the terms. We increased the aggregate committed capital by $175 million to $1 billion and added 2 new lenders to the bank group. We refreshed the tenor of the facility to 5 years with an effective 2.5-year extension. We improved pricing by 50 basis points across the grid and eliminated the credit spread adjustment for an aggregate interest expense savings on the drawn balance of the facility of 60 basis points. We also reduced the nonuse fee rate for unutilized commitments by 5 basis points. The facility had $232 million drawn at December 31, and we have earmarked $300 million of capacity to repay our 2026 bonds in May of 2026. Given the maturity was fully prefunded with a $500 million unsecured issuance in 2025 and at this point we are not taking on any market risk, we plan to keep the bonds outstanding as long as possible to take advantage of the attractive 6% coupon. This strong liquidity profile is a critical component of our value proposition to sellers who value certainty of costs in periods when portfolio activity increases, but funding markets could be constrained or unavailable. With regard to our capital allocation priorities. Our primary focus remains on deploying capital to purchase portfolios at attractive risk-adjusted returns. Our Board has declared a regular quarterly dividend of $0.24 per share, which represented a 4.7% annualized yield as of February month end. The dividend offers an attractive component of shareholder return, which is not available from other public companies in the sector, and it also reinforces long-term discipline around investment returns. In conjunction with the follow-on equity offering in January, we also repurchased 3 million shares or approximately 5% of the total legally issued shares for $59 million. This was a tactical share repurchase where the company used its capital to support the offering and to reduce the sponsor overhang. We will evaluate open market share repurchases at the appropriate time while also aiming to maintain liquidity in the stock. Finally, we have a long history of successful M&A, but we intend to remain disciplined and opportunistic. Now we will be happy to answer any questions that you may have. Operator, please open up the lines.

Operator

Our first question comes from the line of David Scharf with Citizens Capital Markets.

David Scharf

I guess probably obligatory to lead off, Dave, with maybe just some questions about your thoughts about maybe some of the macro uncertainties and whether it's employment headlines or the prospect of sustained elevated energy costs. Do any of these factors color how you're viewing the purchasing environment and maybe the types of bids you're putting in? Just trying to get a sense for whether it's just too early to really conclude that the macro in the U.S. has shifted much or whether you feel like we're starting to see some of the signs that maybe people saw in 2022 when inflation set in?

David Burton

Thanks for the question, David. I guess let me answer that question in 2 different ways. The first way would be that the incremental pressure that energy costs would have and some modest deterioration in employment could have. That modest on-the-margin impact is likely to really just impact delinquencies and charge-offs. That minor movement is not apt to change liquidation rates on charge-off accounts. because a charge-off tends to be a consumer who has had 1 of 3 things happen: either they've lost their job, they've had a divorce, or they've had a health care issue that has either caused them to incur an uninsured medical bill or a health care situation that keeps them out of work temporarily. And so, I think the net of the current environment is probably a net positive for us on the supply side and not likely, and certainly, we see no indications of it impacting expected liquidation rates.

David Scharf

And maybe just as a follow-on, shifting to the deployment side and purchase volumes. The information on the visibility that the flow deals provide over the next 12 months is helpful. I'm curious, do you ever -- well, I guess, number one, are there any trends among your sellers broadly in terms of either a willingness to engage in more flow deals or less? And I guess related to that is, as you plan out the year, is there usually a percentage of total deployment that you'd like to have locked in, in January 1 by flow deals? Or is it just more opportunistic based on the terms that are out there?

David Burton

So very insightful questions. I hope I'll be able to remember all of the questions, so I can answer them all. I'll start with, do we target a specific percentage of our deployments for forward flows? And the answer to that is we don't. Our history has been about half of our deployments have been in forward flows. But if forward flows were pricing in a way that wasn't meeting our return targets, we would not feel a need to reach in order to have this composition that we've historically had in the past. So we've been -- we continue and have been from really our inception to be very returns focused. As it happens, areas and sectors that we are a leader in have a consistent pattern of forward flows. And so that level has been relatively consistent. And you can see that our numbers don't move that much in terms of future committed forward flow volume. And with respect to your second question, which is, is there a market trend toward more forward flows or less. And I would say I need to answer the forward flow question by geography. The United States is the most prevalent market to offer forward flows. Most markets outside of the United States that we operate in have a much lesser emphasis on forward flows. And as a result, I would say Canada is probably the next highest percentage of forward flows that we have as a percentage of total deployments. And then the U.K. and then LatAm, which virtually has none. We actually, I think, had the first forward flow of any one or any seller in the Colombian market. But what I will -- I also want to point out is it's not just a geographic differential that exists. There's also differential across asset classes. Auto, as an example, which is an area where we are a leader, has historically been hesitant to embark on forward flows. There are some, but as a percentage of total deployment, it tends to be a much lower percentage. That is a sector that I think now, given some of the challenges that the auto sector has faced, we're hearing more discussions about forward flows, but I don't think that, that's manifested itself yet in any elevated level of forward flows for Jefferson Capital just yet. But I am hopeful that our long-term leadership in that market and that more sellers are discussing forward flows in that space that, that will lead to more forward flows because we do like to have committed future purchases at good returns.

David Scharf

No, interesting opportunity. I guess maybe just one more to wrap up. I guess this would be for Christo. Given the pace at which the Conn's portfolio runs off throughout this year as well as the half-life on the Bluestem collections, should we see -- I know you're not providing guidance, but when we think about the efficiency ratio, should we see a reversion towards that 68% level by the end of the year? Or are there other efficiencies and process improvements that would keep the ratio at 70% or above even as those 2 low-cost collection portfolios...?

Christo Realov

Yes. look, I think we certainly have a substitution effect that you see. You can see that the headline cash efficiency ratio trended down over the course of 2025 as the collections coming out of the Conn's portfolio declined. And now we're going to essentially reup and the Bluestem would have virtually the same impact, and it's similar in size. And we expect that to effectively take, of course, over the course of 2026, as we have discussed before. We also provide the underlying cash efficiency ratio, excluding any collections and expenses from both Conn's and Bluestem, and that would be in the high 60s as a underlying trend, excluding the impact of performing portfolios.

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Mark Hughes with Truist.

Mark Hughes

David, your commentary about supply is very interesting. Any way to characterize how much of an increase you've seen? Is it single digits, double digits? I wonder if you could maybe give us a little more detail there.

David Burton

And that's specifically as it relates to volume of charged-off accounts or insolvencies.

Mark Hughes

Yes, just the opportunity set that you're seeing.

David Burton

Yes. I would say there's a couple of things at play. First, there's this seasonality aspect where the fourth quarter is the biggest quarter that originators tend to sell. And then because the tax season in the first quarter tends to be a trough. And so you have both of those things going on. Those impacts are probably bigger than any impact on underlying charge-off trends. And so these are difficult quarters to gauge a steady state. And so I wish I had a little bit more clairvoyance for you. But I think the second quarter probably would be a better quarter to begin making something more conclusive. I think one thing I could say is we are -- the era of supply of elevated levels of supply began some time ago and broadly, it's continuing.

Mark Hughes

Very good. How about the returns? Have the return profiles been reasonably stable when you look across your book and what you're buying? And your returns have obviously been very attractive. Is that -- are we looking at being able to maintain that or a little bit better, maybe a little more competitive? How do you see that?

David Burton

Yes. So I would say that our returns have been pretty stable. And I think pricing is pretty stable in the market and fairly predictable. And that our win rates, which is another gauge of the level of competition, have been steady.

Mark Hughes

Then, Christo, the tax rate this quarter for the adjusted number, was it the similar 14%, 15%? And then what should we use for 2026?

Christo Realov

Yes. I would say for 2026, we now have a full clean year. And as such, I think something that's in the 24% to 25% is appropriate to estimate the tax provision. So call it 24.5% would be what I would use for '26 for full year.

Mark Hughes

And how about for 4Q, the adjusted EPS number, is that based on a -- I think just doing the math on the release, it was 14.5% tax rate?

Christo Realov

Yes. Although if that's the effective tax rate, that is true, I would not -- that effectively takes into account the full year tax provision that's required, except that we are only getting taxed as a taxpayer for half of the year since the IPO. So that is not indicative of anything going forward. Going forward, it should be relatively straightforward. There isn't anything special from a tax perspective other than the fact that we're not paying cash taxes. But for the purpose of estimating the tax provision going forward, 24.5%.

Mark Hughes

Then I'm sorry, I missed this when you were talking about the potential share buybacks in the future. What's the current authorization? What's your posture on that? Are you -- do you tend to be active...?

Christo Realov

No, the posture is that the $3 million that we repurchased was very much a tactical repurchase in conjunction with the follow-on offering. At present time, our focus is on deploying capital at attractive risk-adjusted returns in portfolio purchases. We will evaluate open market share repurchases in the future. But at present time, we, of course, are also focused on developing better liquidity and better float for our investors.

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of John Hecht with Jefferies.

John Hecht

Congratulations on wrapping up a pretty busy year. First question is just thinking about deployments. You guys are diversified from a product and geographic perspective. Maybe can you give us the characteristics of the deployments where -- in which markets and which products? And was there any shifts in that deployment that are worth calling out over the past couple of quarters?

David Burton

I think the one of the most prominent and promising shifts has been an increase in deployments in insolvencies, which is an area that, obviously, we have very limited competition because there's only a couple of companies that have the ability to value or service those accounts in the U.S. and in Canada. And our deployments correspond quite closely with how the filings have increased across the country. And then I would say other trends in deployments, obviously, our ability to undertake these attractive deployments in Bluestem and Conn's, I think, represent a unique capability and a good and a very attractive risk-adjusted return profile. And so I think that obviously is a change in our composition versus '23 and prior. So I think the trends have been relatively similar to quarters in the past. And we're -- they all reinforce the markets that we're in, our asset class specialization as being attractive, and the geographic diversification and the geographies we picked have, again, reinforced our investment thesis for those markets. So we're obtaining attractive returns across really all of the spaces that we're in, both asset class and geographies.

John Hecht

And then a follow-up is, obviously, acquisitions, you have good organic growth and then you've had successful acquired growth over time as well. How do we -- how would you describe the pipeline now?

David Burton

So I'm going to separate my comments into these runoff portfolios that in the form of like Conn's and Bluestem, which we have a unique capability set to value, navigate, integrate, and execute on. During '25, we saw more of those opportunities than we've ever seen. but that resulted in 2 very large purchases. And sometimes a process like that takes a long time to conclude. And so we're eager to evaluate opportunities in that space, and we're active. But there's, of course, no certainty on any one of those. Our hope would be that while we've done this successfully in the installment loan space and in credit card that we could, over time, expand our capabilities to include some of the other asset classes that we're in.

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Bose George with KBW.

Bose George

Actually, in terms of areas of potential growth, have you seen pricing become more interesting in areas like prime credit cards? Or is that still not quite there yet?

David Burton

I would say prime credit card continues to be an area that our win rate has been pretty consistent. So I don't know that we're seeing much change in pricing of those assets. And we obviously would welcome pricing to reflect better returns in those asset classes, but we're not really seeing much in the way of change, even though there has been a modest increase in supply.

Bose George

And then just there's obviously been a lot of concern about AI-driven white-collar job loss. It seems very early to think about what that means, but is that something that you guys have thought about in terms of the way it potentially impacts supply performance? Or is it just early for that?

David Burton

Yes. I think it would be early for that. And of course, it depends on who you read as to what the impact is going to be. I've read the full gamut of how all the -- formation of all these AI companies is leading to more demand for staff. But at the same time, there's efficiencies that are happening by the deployment of AI in various parts of other companies. So hard to know. I certainly don't consider myself an expert. What I do know is that we look at employment trends pretty closely. And we have a long way to go before an elevated level of unemployment would begin causing concern for us with respect to our ability to achieve our underwritten collection forecasts.

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Robert Dodd with Raymond James.

Robert Dodd

Congrats on the year and the beginning of the new one. Most of my questions have actually been already answered. On the tax season, to your point, we're at the beginning of the year, it is tax season in the U.S. If we look at it, there's always been 50 million returns filed and processed even though it's pretty early in season. That's about 1/3 of the total. So it's that you expect for. So it's a pretty decent sample and the average refund is up almost 9%. So are you seeing anything in the data to your point, the macro doesn't seem to be hurting you and the tax season may be of benefit. So are you seeing anything unusual at all? Any increase in utilization of payment plans or increase in spot payments? Obviously, it's -- that's Q1. You probably don't want to talk about it, but I'm going to ask anyway.

David Burton

I certainly don't blame you for the question. And your insights and instincts, I think, are very rational. I would say -- I think the comment that I can share is that things are in line with expectations. I wouldn't suggest anything materially higher or lower. And so we continue to expect to achieve the underwritten forecast that we have in place for the quarter, which obviously includes some seasonality in the expectation. And as you also note that we have very modest changes in expected recoveries and changes in collection performance relative to expectations during a quarter or so, which I think actually netted to 0 this quarter. So I know that's very different. And that might also be why some questions -- there are questions around this area. But that has typically not been an area where we generate incremental earnings.

Robert Dodd

One more, if I could. On the -- to Christo, the efficiency ratio. Obviously, there's a number of factors with a bit of seasonality and obviously, Conn's, Bluestem rolling off as we go through -- not rolling off, but Bluestem having a declining benefit as we get towards the second half of the year. But to your point, if we back that out and you give us the -- you do give us the underlying excluding that, are there any new initiatives? You're always working on that efficiency to improve the IRR with the Champion-Challenger model, the Mumbai center, et cetera. Are there any new initiatives in the works that can improve the underlying number if we look through the Conn's, Bluestem impact as we go through the course of this year and maybe a little longer term as it's hard to move that number in a 12-month window?

Christo Realov

So you point out that we have historically had a strong emphasis on each year having a myriad, literally dozens of initiatives aimed at improving our efficiency and effectiveness. And this year is no different. We have our laundry list of things we're going to tackle this year. But we don't really like discussing what those are. But I think the historical trend of cost to collect improvement is one that I think is a trend that ought to continue pending our -- assuming we have continued success against those initiatives as we have in past years.

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Randy Binner with Texas Capital.

Unknown Analyst

I'm mostly covered at this point. But the one thing that stuck out to me that I thought was interesting is you mentioned these process improvements that are leading to, I think, more effective suit activity in the collection process. And I think of the court system as being slow still, and maybe I'm not thinking of it the right way. But can you explain a little bit more like how those process improvements have helped in that area?

David Burton

First of all, again, you're actually right. The court systems are not moving any faster. Well, I shouldn't say that because, of course, there are lots of jurisdictions and some might be. But in the aggregate, I would -- I don't have any expectation for the court process themselves to work faster. What is -- where we have made the most inroads in our efficiency is all the things we have to do before filing the suit. And as you may or may not know, various courts and asset classes and states have different requirements with respect to what has to be available and included with the suit at the time of filing. And that list of things has gotten longer over time as those requirements and expectations have become more defined. And so, a process which, call it, 10 years ago had much less stringent requirements with respect to what needed to be included at the time of filing suit has massively become more involved. that complexity added time to the process. And we spent a fair amount of time engineering efficiencies in that area, which began more than -- at the beginning of last year and concluded in the third quarter, at which time we saw that the ramp-up and the acceleration in our suit volume. So you're right, it's not the courts, it's everything we do before to prepare an account for suit.

Unknown Analyst

But I guess the follow-up is, does it lead -- all that is great, the automation of the process. Does it lead to a better result? Or is it just more is getting through the process faster, so we're seeing it faster?

David Burton

Yes. So there's really 2 aspects of it that are improvements. The first is you just have this compressed time frame, which obviously also has an NPV impact. If you start the suit sooner, you're going to get to the collections from that suit sooner. The other aspect is to the extent that after starting the process, there was components of the process, which then required incremental materials that were not provided right upfront, that then would cause a fair amount of delay, if you will, or added time. So there's a secondary compression that also has occurred from the process that we implemented.

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Gowshi Sri with Singular Research.

Gowshihan Sriharan

Can you guys hear me?

David Burton

Yes.

Gowshihan Sriharan

Building on that collection strength you've shown all year, can you talk about the quality of those collections, specifically whether you're seeing any change in the mix between onetime settlements, payment plans, and now with the legal recoveries that you talked about, would that make the cash flow profile more durable as we move through 2026?

David Burton

Let me see if I can answer that in a way that gets at, I think, what you're looking at. The distribution of payment types and payment size has been pretty consistent over the last couple of years. I would say there was a different payment pattern that occurred during the government stimulus, which did involve more settlements and higher onetime payments, but that has reverted to the mean by the end of 2022.

Gowshihan Sriharan

And with the legal channel, you've leaned harder into the legal channel with court costs almost doubling, and I think you've alluded to that in a question. As we look at 2026, how should we think about the returns for the legal channel? Is there still room to scale that profitably? Are you reaching more of a near steady state?

David Burton

So I would say that the volume of legal accounts corresponds to our underwritten expectations. And as we deployed more capital and bought more portfolios and more volume, that inherently creates more volume to the legal channel. But because the expense of court cost is recognized upfront, it's just a little bit more pronounced when that volume enters the legal channel. But I would not characterize our effort in legal and the volume growth in legal as necessarily inconsistent with our underwritten expectations. It's not like we're having some type of material uncovered inventory that now has become incrementally profitable. Again, we are in line with the underwritten expectations. And because we just deployed more in '23 and '24 and '25, in particular, in U.S. distressed and really in the U.K. and to a lesser extent, in Canada, that just is -- as those accounts work through the voluntary collection process and we complete that, those that are eligible for legal and are profit generating after considering court costs, those just naturally flow to the legal channel at that time. Hopefully, that is helpful.

Gowshihan Sriharan

One last question. Given the supply backdrop that you've outlined, are there any parts of the market where you have consciously decided to walk away from either for pricing reasons or the return thresholds are not attractive?

David Burton

No.

Operator

And we have reached the end of the question-and-answer session. Therefore, I will now turn the call back over to CEO, David Burton, for closing remarks.

David Burton

Thank you. Looking forward, we're excited about the growth prospects for our business for the remainder of this year and beyond. We've built an outstanding platform over the last 23 years, and we're in a great position to capitalize on opportunities as the market continues to evolve. Thank you all for joining us today, and we look forward to providing another update on our first quarter earnings call.

Operator

Thank you. This concludes today's conference, and you may disconnect your lines at this time. We thank you for your participation. Have a great day.

Investor releaseQuarter not tagged2026-03-11

Jefferson Capital Inc (JCAP) Q4 2025: Everything You Need To Know Ahead Of Earnings

GuruFocus.com

This article first appeared on GuruFocus. Jefferson Capital Inc (NASDAQ:JCAP) is set to release its Q4 2025 earnings on Mar 12, 2026. The consensus estimate for Q4 2025 revenue is $153.76 million, and the earnings are expected to come in at $0.66 per share. The full year 2025's revenue is expected to be $610.53 million and the earnings are expected to be $3.03 per share. More detailed estimate data can be found on the Forecast page. Warning! GuruFocus has detected 6 Warning Sign with JCAP. Is JCAP fairly valued? Test your thesis with our free DCF calculator. Over the past 90 days, revenue estimates for Jefferson Capital Inc (NASDAQ:JCAP) have declined from $614.80 million to $610.53 million for the full year 2025 and increased from $667.96 million to $677.49 million for 2026. Earnings estimates have decreased from $3.23 per share to $3.03 per share for the full year 2025 and from $2.86 per share to $2.73 per share for 2026. In the previous quarter of 2025-09-30, Jefferson Capital Inc's (NASDAQ:JCAP) actual revenue was $150.84 million, which beat analysts' revenue expectations of $146.62 million by 2.88%. Jefferson Capital Inc's (NASDAQ:JCAP) actual earnings were $0.59 per share, which missed analysts' earnings expectations of $0.68 per share by -13.24%. After releasing the results, Jefferson Capital Inc (NASDAQ:JCAP) was up by 6.59% in one day. Based on the one-year price targets offered by 7 analysts, the average target price for Jefferson Capital Inc (NASDAQ:JCAP) is $27 with a high estimate of $29 and a low estimate of $25. The average target implies an upside of 28.63% from the current price of $20.99. Based on GuruFocus estimates, the estimated GF Value for Jefferson Capital Inc (NASDAQ:JCAP) in one year is $0, suggesting a downside of -100% from the current price of $20.99. Based on the consensus recommendation from 7 brokerage firms, Jefferson Capital Inc's (NASDAQ:JCAP) average brokerage recommendation is currently 1.7, indicating an "Outperform" status. The rating scale ranges from 1 to 5, where 1 signifies Strong Buy, and 5 denotes Sell.

As of 2026-05-30 • Updated weeklySource: Earnings sourceIngestion runbook